It all depends on how long the "process" takes. I had initially signed up in late '03/early '04 (I think starting around 39,000) and didn't get the call until last year. If the tickets become popular like they were when they were actually good, you can probably make a minimal profit, but with dynamic pricing, the margin for error is much slimmer. If this team remains terrible for the next few years, you might be getting the call in 3-4 years. ETA: Reading the first page tells me it must not have been that early that I signed up, maybe '06? And yes, it's very depressing to read people talking about their spots will never come up short of a plague hitting the city when they're at ~6,000