I think they make it, but wouldn't be shocked if the loser of Mets/Phillies beat them out. Out of my ass calculations: NLE: Phillies: 55%, Mets: 35%, Marlins 10% NLC: Cubs 95%, Brewers 4%, Cardinals 1% NLW: Dodgers 60%, D-Backs 40% Wild Card: Brewers 60%, Mets 16%, Phillies 13%, Marlins 4%, Cubs 3%, Cardinals 3%, D-Backs .5%, Dodgers .5%