That doesn't really make much sense. Whomever finishes in second has the highest odds of winning the WC. The Yankees clearly don't have the highest odds of finishing second, Boston or TB do. Right off the bat the Red Sox can only win the wild card 57% of the time and the Rays 64% while the Yankees can win it 79% of the time. It's also, as I said multiple times, random ass guesses, not a simulation of the remainder of the season, just my opinions on the teams. Basically I've got the Rays winning the wild card ~1/3 of the time they don't win the division, the Yankees ~1/2 the time they don't win, and the Red Sox ~2/3 they don't win. I know it seems like I'm slagging the Rays here, but the Yankees are a better team now than they were 2 months ago.(Depending on Joba's shoulder) I think the Red Sox are too. I really think it'll be a close race between the 3 of them, and it's probably more my pessimistic side(it exists UM) that has the Red Sox and Yankees back in the playoffs again.