You won't jinx it. We are going to make the playoffs. 99.5% chance. Thats about what our chances were of going to the Series after being up 3-1 on the Marlins in 2003 I looked and can't find what our % chance was after game 4, but I would bet that it was less than 99.5% Well I remember being in Vegas after game four and the Marlins were 20-1 to reach the Series after being down 3-1 so I guess it was 95%???? Vegas odds aren't the actual odds of something happening. They're set to ensure that Vegas makes money, and when taking a national fanbase and nobody knowing who the hell the Marlins were, it's gonna be skewed to the Cubs. 8th inning of Game 6, it was probably like 96% to win the pennant. At no point in that series were the Cubs a 99.5% favorite to win the NLCS.