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Tryptamine

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Everything posted by Tryptamine

  1. 9/225 is a number that keeps rattling around in my head. A few months ago I would have said like 6/140, but yeah.....
  2. If he's what we hope he is, he either starts in AA or has a brief stint in A+ to start the year before AA. He spends the vast majority of the year there and gets a taste of AAA at the end of the year. Then he likely opens 2024 in AAA with a chance at a call up around the 2024 ASB, perhaps earlier if he's completely torching AAA.
  3. Luckily I'm on a bye or I'd be in panic mode too. Brady and Dak have pretty much sucked for me.
  4. I wouldn't give up a ton, but it's pretty clear he's very unhappy there and the overall team chemistry is a dumpster fire.
  5. Based on their unwillingness to spend, I can't see them moving their top prospects who they're going to almost entirely depend on to make the team relevant in the next few years.
  6. A no shortstop offseason would have been a lot more viable if it was the plan from the beginning. Add an Abreu or Bell, go harder on SP, etc. I think at this point the top tier no SS offseason is probably something like - Trade for Danny Jansen - Sign Nate Eovaldi - Sign the best DH option available (Michael Brantley?) - Sign someone who can cover 3B and/or SS. I'd prioritize offense and do someone like Justin Turner - Go fairly hard on the bullpen, but guys who are already good rather than those you think you can make good, something like Taylor Rogers and Adam Ottavino But like if they're drawing such a hard line on keeping the powder dry, even the above plan you have to have doubts around Jed's appetite for the modest prospect costs of Jansen and Eovaldi's QO. In this scenario, which is far from ideal, do you get someone like Segura for 2B (keeping Hoerner at SS), or do you sacrifice a live chicken in the hopes that it wakes up Madrigal's bat? Not that it's great, but after his return from injury on 8/4 he did put up a 95 wRC+. That's greatly improved from the 47 wRC+ he put up in the 115 PAs before that. As a 100-105 w RC+ guy he's probably a 3 fWAR player.
  7. So it sounds like the plan is to try and replicate the historically great farm the Cubs had in 2014/2015 before going all in. A totally reasonable scenario and not at all completely unrealistic.
  8. We know the first part of option 1 isn't true. If they had no money, they wouldn't have been trying to buy a soccer team.
  9. You understand that, like the Bogaearts and Turner contracts, they're only giving them these extra long contracts to lower the AAV and help them with their cap situation correct? That's why Correa is only 27.5m annually. If not for the cap implications he would have gotten more like 35M annually and 3 or 4 years less.
  10. Does Hoyer really have a choice? Ricketts is the owner and doesn't have to do anything. Jed... Well, that's kind of his job. I honestly think there's at least a part of them that is considering cancelling the convention. They're going to get absolutely destroyed by the fans and the media.
  11. There's no way Ricketts or Hoyer have the balls to show up to the convention, right?
  12. They're just going to roll the savings over. That's what they claim right? So grabbing Devers and Ohtani next year should be just a drop in the bucket.
  13. I may have been too optimistic back then.
  14. it seems much lower than 50/50 that the cubs will even get swanson taillon was our splurge Honestly, the "best" move they can make at this point is just sitting out. They're going to give Segura some ridiculous 3 or 4 year deal and try to sell him as an undervalued star.
  15. Chicago Cubs: Small Market Team Who needs a World Series when you can chase the smart spending championship. That's the real prize.
  16. I guess my summer is officially free. Enjoy a half empty Wrigley Hoyer.
  17. If you're Hoyer, why not spend? Ownership is publicly telling you to. So your options are spend a bit recklessly and face the repercussions a few years from now or spend nothing and likely get canned at the end of the year.
  18. They won’t fire him this offseason. But I have to think he has to be on the hot seat unless he swings a trade for Tatis or something. If he doesn’t get either guy I may have to buy a cubs convention ticket just to see the atmosphere I don't know that I'd have the restraint to keep myself from flipping off Ricketts if I ever saw him, so I'm pretty sure it's best I avoid the convention.
  19. If they miss Correa and Swanson the uproar is going to be huge to the point where someone, probably Jed, is going to have to be the sacrificial lamb.
  20. Nope, not getting suckered in again.
  21. What are the Orioles doing? They were surprisingly good last year, they'll be adding 2 of the top 10 prospects in baseball to next year's team and rather than spend some money to fill in the gaps, their lone fa signing is kyle Gibson. They're where the 2015 Cubs were, but instead of grabbing Their Lester they're doing basically nothing.
  22. Periodic reminder that if not for a last second fg against Houston, the Bears currently have the #1 pick that they could trade for a huge haul.
  23. swanson will be on the cubs for more than 1 year, they still need to add talent and get closer Swanson is a 2.5-3.5 win player most likely and committing 9 figures to him in a lost season when he’s getting closer to 30 makes little sense to me. He’s not a guy and there’s ways to create his value for cheaper and try and thread a needle vs having him hamstring you when maybe we’re good in 2-3 years. I'm not thrilled on Swanson, but this is pretty hard underselling him. He was worth 3.4 fWAR in 2021 when he put up a .297 babip, 50 points below what he's done in '20 and '22. In 22 he put up a 6.4fWAR and in '20 he put up 2.3fWAR in 60 games.
  24. They're just finishing out what little lingering attachment I have left.
  25. I think they can sneak into the playoffs right now without adding another player with playoff expansion. The Cardinals appear to be the only team in the division actively trying to win in addition to the Cubs, more or less. It use to drive me crazy when Hendry and MacPhail would say they wanted to be competitive within the division, but the more things change the more they stay the same (See, Carlos Beltran, 2005) How? The offense has gotten worse, the pitching is only marginally better from a team that finished 19 games out of the division and 13 games out of the WC last year.
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