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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. everyone has to vote for soccer due to raisin's premature theriot report.
  2. It is when you consider that nobody else on the roster can play SS for more than an emergency fill-in role... which means it's going to be all Izturis all the time. Bingo. Izturis has been outplaying Theriot. As the starting SS, Theriot has been abysmal.
  3. Theriot had been bringing less to the table than Izturis recently. As long as this doesn't mean Izturis the starting SS for the rest of the season, I can't complain about the move. Jim is trying to get something for Jones. If they are authorized to pay his salary when he leaves, it could help them actually get something back. A self imposed deadline of today for a deal doesn't help the team at all.
  4. On the other hand, MLB is getting on base at a .332 clip, on average, and 13 MLB teams are getting .332 or better from SS. 28 teams are getting better than the Cubs .276, 29 are getting better than the Cubs 553 OPS from SS. 10 teams are getting an 800 OPS or better from SS, while only 1 team is getting an overall OPS of 800 or better. SS is a position with a 340 point difference in OPS between top to bottom. The difference between 10th place and last place is 250 points, whereas most positions there is just about a 200 point difference between 10th place and last. There's quite a bit of solid production coming out of the SS position this year, unfortunately the Cubs don't have any of it.
  5. Yeah, I think if you deal Izturis Cedeno has to come up, and play. Then you still need to dump Jones for a pitcher. But the easiest move is still to just send Theriot down. He's been awful for a very long time now. I know they've said they want to keep him up, and they like him. But you aren't losing anything if you send him down for 10 days while this all gets straightened out (unless he's somehow out of options).
  6. 1 shutout inning...wow. Is he any good / worth calling up? http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/P/Bret-Prinz.shtml His minor league numbers have been solid, not spectaculiar. But he's logged a decent amount of major league service time and everything has been considerably worse. He didn't walk many in the minors, but the rate nearly doubled to 4.9 BB/9 in the majors. His strikeout rate sunk, his WHIP is way up, his HR and hits per 9 are up. I don't see how he's capable of helping the major league bullpen anymore than any other schlub.
  7. Don't know if he's overrated, I think most everybody agrees with you that Tillman is the better player.
  8. Not sure how the deal breaks down. The total "value" of the deal is 28 million. I expect the deal is backloaded to some extent. It seems like almost all of them are these days. If I had to guess, I'd say the first year is $900,000-$1m, the second year is probably $1m-$1.25m, the 3rd year is $2.5-$3m, the 4th year is $3m-3.5m and the 5th year is $4+m. That would keep the cap hit below $4m for the first year and possibly 2nd. But the last year would be around $7-8m, meaning he'd likely be cut or renegotiate. So maybe it's more like a 4 year $20m deal, averaging $5m per, instead of a 5 year $28m, averaging $5.6. Some teams go really extreme in the way they fudge the numbers, but the Bears are relatively conservative.
  9. Angelo had a bunch of experience, but none as a GM.
  10. $14m over 5 years averages out to $2.8m per year. The next question is what is the base for those years. If the bases are pretty low in the front end, it's a solid deal.
  11. They have 23 more games against teams that currently have a record above .500. 6 vs MIL, 6 vs AZ, 4 vs PHL, 4 VS LAD and 3 vs NYM. The rest is mainly against the rest of the NL Central. So 64 more games vs .500 or worse teams. If they can take 2 of 3 from all these games, that would be 43-21, leaving them at 79 wins. Have a couple hiccups here and there against those teams and hopefully they can go at least 38-26 (.590 W%). Then you have those 23 games against the good guys. 10-13 against those teams would leave the Cubs at 84 wins. If 5 or 6 of those 10 are against Milwaukee, maybe that's enough. If not, it's probably a bit short.
  12. If the WC is realistic, so is the division. I personally believe that the Brewers at 7.5 is more reachable than the WC spot at 6.5. Bottom line is that no matter what happens, the Cubs have to be better to get there. Right on. The Cubs just have to leap the Brewers to win the division. They have to leap 2 of Arizona/LA/SD, plus the Rockies, Atlanta and Philly. It's not very realistic to think all 5 of those teams will play at a slow enough pace that the Cubs can pass them. Even if the Cubs don't sweep the Brewers, they have 3 more games against them to make up a pace. Go 4-2 in those games against the Brewers and that makes up 2 games in the standings, then you just have to outpace them by 6 games the rest of the year to win the division. The Cubs have 6 more versus Colorado, plus they play Arizona, LA and Philly. But they are done with SD and Atlanta, so it's a bit more difficult.
  13. It's hysterical. He must have been on his way out of the dugout when Hill was way up the line. What if Hill fell, or if he stumbled and slowed? Or what if there was a tremendous throw that made it a close play? DaRosa would have been a couple feet from the play.
  14. I didn't take issue with it. I assumed they were hot, considering the last I heard of them was the Yankees series. But I just noticed this morning they've lost 3 straight, which means they are no longer hot. They aren't the lowly Rockies some people remember, but they aren't some juggernaut shredding everybody either.
  15. pointless gesture it's like retiring in your original uniform
  16. Some people said they were, but I think Randy Bush, asst GM, is quoted saying it's not necessarily going to happen. If so, that tells me a trade is in the works and they don't want to be pressured into making a move they don't like due to a deadline of going back to 12 pitchers tonight.
  17. Who said we aren't signing Tillman? Where are you getting that? I will be really tough to give deals both starting corners. I'm not so sure that's true. Yeah, most of the roster was signed prior to the increase in salary cap. Their most expensive player, Urlacher, doesn't make an insane amount of money. That's from the Bears official story, and I think it's a sign taht something will get done. The Bears are very good at keeping the guys they want to keep, and I would bet they do in this case.
  18. Good idea, but Roberts has actually been very good this year, and is popular in Baltimore. They'd be mega-pissed if they traded Roberts for the worthless Jones, a guy who could've been picked up by anyone a few months ago, and a "pitching prospect." Unless that prospect is named Rich Hill, I'm guessing Baltimore would laugh and hang up. I do not think for a second that Lou talking about surprises means something as impactful as this would be going down, but I'm not one for the "they can't trade him he's too popular" story. Baltimore is a terrible team that's way out of contention and several years from contending. I don't think they are going to refuse to trade Brian Roberts, a sometime quality player, out of fear of pissing off fans.
  19. http://www.chicagobears.com/news/NewsStory.asp?story_id=3550
  20. What about Shapiro's right hand man Antoinetti? That is who I am died hard on for next Cubs GM. he's probably good, but given that the cubs are one of the higher-profile teams in the game, i'm hoping they can get a guy who's been a GM in the past Agree. The Ed Lynch and Jim Hendry learn on the job experiments have been disasters. Indeed, but the league is stock full of reclycled GMs who are a bunch of garbage. Experience in the GM role is way down the list of qualities I want the next guy to have.
  21. They were hot, but they just got swept. They are no longer hot. Hot and cold is all about streaks, and Colorado is on a 3-game losing streak. I wouldn't say they're struggling, or in a rut, but they aren't hot anymore. This is a really silly argument. If a team had won 100 games in a row and then lost three straight, would you say they're not hot? What if they had lost 100 in a row, but then won 3 straight? Is that team hot? It's really maddening that you would quibble over whether a team that went 20-7, then 0-3, qualifies as "hot". Look who is doing the quibbling.
  22. listen, i could be completely wrong, it wouldn't be the first time...looking at him this season though, i just really really hope he takes care of himself on a regular basis because he looks like the type of guy who would start to break down in a few years if he didn't i might be wrong I understand Ramirez could break down in a few years, and that would suck. But again, how does he look terrible?
  23. I hear he has a dramatic vaulted ceiling.
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