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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. i'm not sure how you can agree to disagree on something when you're wrong about it. the expected value of putting the ball in play is greater than the expected value of striking out. i'm not taking into account whether dunn would be a better or worse hitter if he played more to contact, but if you have two guys that are exactly equal except one makes 100 "expected outs" (including errors) by putting the ball in play, and the other makes 100 outs by striking out, i'd obviously take the guy who makes the outs by putting the ball in play. Your assumption is wrong. An out is an out. In real world there is "no expected" there is only what happens and what doesn't happen. The way the out happens matters not. yeah, and in the real world the guy who makes 100 outs by putting the ball in play hits sac flies, grounds home a runner from third, gets on base via errors and moves runners up. that outweighs the negative of the 2 times he rolls into a double play, and is more valuable than the 100 strikeouts from the other guy. So you are assuming only 2 GIDP? The theoretical 2 players who are exactly the same except for the way they make outs is a pointless exercise. The only thing that matters is productivity. How a productive player makes his outs is meaningless.
  2. They were 7-9. It may have felt worse than that, but they were hardly dominated. This is a huge test. A 9 or 10 win season is going to look really good on Lovie's resume, bringing his overall record to 45-35 or 46-34. Considering where this team was when he came on, that's not bad. A sub .500 season, however, is going to bring his overall record closer to .500 and mean 3 of 5 seasons of losing records. I think getting 10 wins out of this team is going to take a tremendous coaching job, or at least that's how it's going to be perceived.
  3. Sori 225/279 slug 319 Lee 226/289 slug 298 Ramirez 196/308 slug 464 Edmonds 277/365 slug 523 One has been there and did well while the others have struggled in post season play. Again, does this mean Edmonds will lead them to victory because of these numbers...maybe, maybe not. But, He may be a calming influence on these players and add a tip or two that they may be able to implement have have a little more success. This sounds like one of those self-fulfilling prophecies. If they do well, Edmonds gets credit, if they don't, it's their own fault. I would say it's highly highly doubtful Edmonds calming influence or secret tips that no other Cubs employee would be able to provide are going to make a lick of difference.
  4. If baseball is back in the olympics, and in Chicago, I would bet MLB goes on some sort of 1.5-week long all-star break that season. Teams take 4 days now, what's another 7? Eliminate a couple games from the schedule, plan a couple day/night doubleheaders, start a couple days early (Saturday instead of Monday) and end a couple days later.
  5. He's been disappointing and should probably be a long-term concern. However, he's not hurting this team. He typifies the lineups "good most everywhere with no superstars" makeup. Yes, I'd prefer he do more, but he's almost 33 and pretty much producing in-line with his career. The trend doesn't look good right now, and hopefully he picks it up a bit soon.
  6. The Tigers are the Astros of the AL. 9.5 out of a shaky division with a + 20 run diffential while Houston is 12 back and - 24.
  7. I don't want 2 of our lower half hitters hitting 1-2. I'm fine with how the lineup is now. It's hard to screw up a lineup as consistent as we have. What does 'lower half hitters' mean? As in not one of the best 4 hitters on our team. Riot should hit either 1 or 2. He is a single machine. Not to mention he's our primary SB option. Plus our best CS option.
  8. He is probably the biggest difference between last year's team and this, bringing the Cubs catching production from bottom of the barrel to top 2-3 in the league. But I don't think that's enough to make him MVP. Although he's hardly a bad choice.
  9. right. and those guys aren't as valuable as players who are "sluggers." i hear this "well, that's just not the type of hitter he is" arguments about theriot quite a bit. so does that mean you just don't consider his .367 SLG or whatever? hey, jason marquis just isn't the type of pitcher that strikes guys out, limits hits, or prevents runs. when you accept that he's just not the type of pitcher, you'll like him a lot better. I'm not saying that a singles hitter is as valuable as a slugger, but I do think that Theriot plays an important role on this team and shouldn't be overlooked because his slugging percentage is low. 20 years ago an overwhelming percentage of middle infielders were singles hitters and many of them were considered valuable members of the team. This isn't 20 years ago. Now you have to bring something with the bat. Theriot brings something, but not much, which, along with his "good enough" defense doesn't come close to making him top 5 MVP candidate. You can't list a guy as MVP just because you think he's an underappreciated role player. Nor can you list Edmonds/Johnson as MVP because they combine to be very good. Theriot has been a nice role player this year, which is a big improvement over last year. But that's not MVP in any way shape or form.
  10. My only concern is health. They are very good, balanced and deep.
  11. take it where you can get it
  12. no you weren't. We aren't asking him to run out a single. We're asking him to not turn a double into a single. This isn't a case of a guy thinking he had a HR and making it close at 2nd, nor is it a guy failing to bust out of the box on a routine grounder or pop fly. It was a sure stand-up double and he wasn't even on first base yet when the OFer grabbed the ball. People apparently don't even know what happened.
  13. I think they would have removed Soto quite a while before that if they were going to start him. Yeah, Blanco playing late was probably a way to get him an at bat before the 2nd game.
  14. I'm thinking they don't want to use Marshall today in order to get him on schedule for Sunday. Probably an inning or 2 on his normal throw on the side day Marshall was getting warm in the 4th. I don't think they plan on resting him through Sunday. If the throws a couple innings today, that will have absolutely no effect on whether he can bounce back and pitch a few innings Sunday. As things stand right now, some sort of Marshall/Samardzija piggy back sounds like the most reasonable plan for Sunday. I would start Marshall and try to get 4 strong out of him, then try and get 2-3 strong out of Samardzija.
  15. 5th on the team in games played. The other two points are worthless. We're talking about ranking MVPs, not whether a guy should be on a team. His defense should not be listed as a reason to defend ranking top 5 in MVP, neither should his production. For those who want him ahead of Ramirez. Ramirez plays just as much, is a better defender, and when you rank the Cubs positions against the league, they are 3rd at third and 7th at SS. I would put Dempster, Zambrano, Ramirez, Soto, DeRosa, Soriano ahead of Theriot without batting an eye. Edmonds hasn't been around long enough to warrent such a high ranking, but he competes with Theriot for honorable mention.
  16. I'm hoping for 6 innings at 95 pitches with 2 or fewer runs, the Marshall for 2 and Wood for 1, with the Cubs scoring 5.
  17. I hope they don't. It would be very dumb to waste a pitcher who is going to to get thrown out in a DH day when arms are needed. Nothing is gained from "protecting" Soriano by throwing at somebody else. Wait until tomorrow if need be.
  18. This is a stupid question. First off, I have no idea. He's done similar things multiple times. But why does it only matter if it happens in October? What if it actually does cost them a game that affects the date they clinch and forces them to use pitchers they wanted to rest. Anybody getting on Brenly is being absolutely ridiculous. This is about as meaningful to me as Aram hustling. They were up 8-2. In my opinion the reaction to Soriano was pretty stupid. IF it was a close game, I'd be more concerned. My reaction was to the idiotic bashing of Brenly more than Soriano. Soriano was wrong, Brenly was right. People blasting Brenly are being ridiculous.
  19. It might not be a popular choice, but I would think Theriot needs to be in the top 5. He has been consistently good all year while playing every day, unlike Soriano, Soto, and Edmunds. I could not agree more. When I saw the list of the original 5, my first thought was that Theriot was not there. He does play every day and his defense is good. He's often and unsung hero, not a lot of flash, but I don't think the Cubs are where they are without him. He doesn't play everyday, his defense isn't that good, and he's only marginally productive.
  20. I always thought it was weird how casually he spoke about Harry after he died, but he had the same tone talking about his dad. He's like a robot or something. A very dorky robot.
  21. This is a stupid question. First off, I have no idea. He's done similar things multiple times. But why does it only matter if it happens in October? What if it actually does cost them a game that affects the date they clinch and forces them to use pitchers they wanted to rest. Anybody getting on Brenly is being absolutely ridiculous.
  22. I like that the announcer believes if you are going to wave the W you should be willing to wave the L if they lose game 2. Idiot.
  23. It's a big enough deal that Brenly is more than justified in criticizing Soriano. Not big enough to carry on all week. And as a side note, it was big enough to get Atlanta to throw at his head,
  24. He's pointed out some stupid Theriot stuff. cubinny, you aren't making any sense. Soriano didn't think he hit a HR and end up with a double. He thought he hit a HR and ended up with a double. It's not a little thing. Soriano has multiple times watched doubles and ended up having to slide into what should have been a stand-up double. This was different, he didn't even get to 2nd. It is a big deal, and it is absolutely ridiculous that people are downplaying and acting like Bob is in the wrong for complaining. how is it a big deal? He walked to first base when he should have been standing on 2nd. I'm not one to get overly critical on hustle, but this was bad.
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