jersey cubs fan
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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan
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Fukudome is gone? -
I'd be interested in seeing your stats to back up that 10-12 win regression. And it is a little hard to make any such definitive statements until you see the final team they bring to spring training. Considering we were a 90 or so win team that managed to win 97 games last season I don't have to do much. Basically, all I have to say is that Ryan Dempster's ERA needs to go up a run and that Milton Bradley isn't Carlos Beltran and Grady Sizemore and I've covered my three wins or so. I'd put the Cubs right around 88 true level, right around 90 adjusted for the NLC. Wow, You're so smaaaaart! The way you wax poetic about how a 97 win team can regress to about 90 wins is so interesting. I'm sure you're so smaaaart, you already know that any 97 team can win 7 less games (shockingly, even ones with Sizemore and Beltran). This is why I love reading your posts. You save me so much time. Now I don't have to waste the season watching games. I'll just tune in to see a 90 win Cubs team begin a playoff series in Wrigley taking on the hated Diamondbacks. well then
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That's the point. It's not about Marmol replacing Wood. Ideally, Marmol doesn't replace Wood, but the pen as a whole is probably going to be worse. Assuming Peavy at this point is a stretch. Assuming improved OF production is a bigger stretch. Confidence in Bradley playing 140 games is very risky. Repeating 2B production is a near impossibility. You've glossed over nearly every concern and are only assuming positive outcomes to as yet undetermined questions. The Cubs had a lot go their way last year. Most teams suffer unexpected setbacks. That's the whole point - I am not being realistic. Meph's argument of a 10-12 win digression ignored the assumption that we will acquire Peavy. And what is wrong with ignoring such an assumption? The Cubs are who they are right now. If the story changes, the projections will change, but I don't see the point in assuming Peavy is a Cub.
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That's the point. It's not about Marmol replacing Wood. Ideally, Marmol doesn't replace Wood, but the pen as a whole is probably going to be worse. Assuming Peavy at this point is a stretch. Assuming improved OF production is a bigger stretch. Confidence in Bradley playing 140 games is very risky. Repeating 2B production is a near impossibility. You've glossed over nearly every concern and are only assuming positive outcomes to as yet undetermined questions. The Cubs had a lot go their way last year. Most teams suffer unexpected setbacks.
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Versatility, younger, and cheaper. There is some explanation. Remember, the owner is bankrupt the market is in the crapper and the people rumored to be buyers of the team are all heavily involved in that market. I'm hoping that's not the case, but until they actually do make improvements, the current Cubs are significantly worse than last year's Cubs.
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The 40-man roster will have him, but will the 25-man roster really get that many more innings out of him? I'd say we'd almost be lucky just to get the same amount as last year.
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By a guy who isn't worth crap backing up anymore than 2 (2B and SS).
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Miles's "ability" to play the OF only means we have an option to put a really bad OF on the field. The Cubs do not lack of outfield depth. The fact that Miles has played there brings absolutely no real value to the Cubs.
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He could have. But who would have given it to him? Nobody is signing big money free agents outside the Yankees. The Red Sox went cheap. A couple teams talked about Teixeira for PR purposes. CC was Milwaukee or NY. I'm not convinced he would have had a bigger buyer.
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And if that all goes down and we add Peavy that I really don't mind this move...yeah the money is a little high, but its not ridiculous as previously stated after having a career year The career year part is the problem. He had a career year at 31. It was a very mediocre year, but why overpay for career years from guys who have had poor careers, especially those who are past 30?
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Possibly, but the market changed dramatically in November and December. There's only one team spending money, and that is NY. Maybe they would have gone after Dempster instead of one of the guys they got, but all indications were they got the guys they wanted all along. He probably would have cost less if they let him stay on the market for a while, but that's only after realizing just how much worse the economy got late in the year. Who would have predicted the Mets owner would lose a large chunk of his net worth in the Madoff scandal? Had the Yankees wanted him, they probably would have paid more. But I doubt anybody else would have.
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His only non-bad year was 2008.
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No. I was hoping for a platoon, and this is probably what's going to happen with Miles.
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It's reasonable for a bench player that provides some sort of value, by doing something really well. But does Miles do anything really well? I don't think so. His career seems like definition of replacement level production.
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Ryan Theriot with more versatility? Career year at age 31 who switch hits, Jim Hendry come on down, you're the next contestent on the Price Is Wrong, Bi***!
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If you could lock-in DeRosa's 2008 numbers again, then maybe you'd hesitate to see him go with Bradley coming in. However, I'm not sure it's all that likely to happen. He's a nice player, but he's in his mid-30's now. I don't like counting on guys to repeat career years, let alone career years at 34. I still say trade high with the guy going into his final year of his contract.
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Soriano Market?
jersey cubs fan replied to Sever82's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Wow, you seriously believe that could happen? Even if he did that, it still may not be worth $17.7 million, and one year of that still does not justify an 8-year deal. He'd have 5 years remainings in his mid-to-late 30's. -
Soriano Market?
jersey cubs fan replied to Sever82's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Thats true but too many people are jumping the gun in thinking Soriano is Injury Prone. Before he signed with the cubs he was a 150+ games a season type of player. I wouldn't close the book on the guy or think he has no worth or that he's an average player after only two seasons with the Cubs. I understand the Cubs Fan mentality is if a player doesn't produce in his first yr you have to move foward and get someone else. Kind of how people gave up on Cedeno after his rookie yr, fukudome after this past yr, Pie after his first stint, etc. Where are you coming up with this crap? Who is closing a book or saying he's average? He's good, he's just nowhere near $17.7 million per year over 6 years good. -
Soriano Market?
jersey cubs fan replied to Sever82's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I said he's not "very" productive, at least nowhere close to his $17.7m average salary. He's a good player, but nothing special. You said it was likely he's going to have his best year as a Cub. He's going to be 33, well past a player's typical prime. What he's probably going to be is similar to what he's already been as a Cub. If you want to pretend that 33 isn't past his prime, go right ahead. You'd be wrong, but feel free to pretend otherwise. -
Soriano Market?
jersey cubs fan replied to Sever82's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
He's owed 106m ($17.7m per year). Yes, it is that bad of a deal, no he's not "very" productive and no, he's not "probably" going to have his best year as a Cub next year. There could be a market if they ate a big chunk, but I don't see the point in that. There are 150+ free agents still out on the market because nobody outside the Yankees is committing any money this offseason. -
It is easy to get Rockies tickets, even for Cubs games.
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Uh-oh, Lovie. Being contradicted in public by your boss cannot be good. Safe to say, Angelo will prolly be looking for a QB this offseason. Severe dischord? I think that's taking it a bit too far. Lovie said Kyle's the QB -- which is the ready-made comment he has on speed dial whenever a reporter lets slip a QB question. It doesn't mean there won't be competition for QB next tranining camp. And when you consider there is no real competition currently on the roster, it makes even more sense for Lovie to say Kyle is the QB.
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That's the biggest reason I wouldn't want a big name, if he insisted on being GM as well.
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Holmgren too maybe? I'd love to see Shanahan given the moon and full control over the offense, but I doubt he'd take it or the Bears would offer it. What has Mike Shanahan done since John Elway retired that Lovie Smith hasn't? Smith is more accomplished since 2005 than Shanahan is since 1999. ONE playoff win in that span and numerous late season collapses. I like him as offensive mind and think he's overall one of the better coach's in the league but he in no way deserves "the moon" at the expense of Lovie Smith. Smith's been a flat out more accomplished coach recently. read again
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Holmgren too maybe? I'd love to see Shanahan given the moon and full control over the offense, but I doubt he'd take it or the Bears would offer it.
