Of the two exceptions mentioned, 3 of the 4 losses were to really good football teams, 2 of them went 13-3 and the other was a 12-4 super bowl participant. I think it has more to do with who you lose to. Yes, that Cowboys example lost to what turned out to be a crappy Redskins team that was 2 years removed from being great. On the other hand, if Dallas goes 0-2 this year it will be against a couple squads that have peaked at mediocrity the past 3 seasons and aren't anything special. Raw's rule holds up in that context. Dallas itself has been an inconsistent performer of late, and they have tougher tests going forward. They can't go 0-2 with the schedule they have left.