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CubColtPacer

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  1. Here are a couple different attempts at ranking programs all-time. One averages out AP polls while the other one uses a variety of things in its formula. Oklahoma was #1 in both while Tennessee was 9th and 12th. I also saw a couple subjective rankings while I was taking a quick look. One had Oklahoma #1 and the other one had them #5, while Tennessee was in the back end of the top 10 each time. http://cfn.scout.com/2/1097657.html http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=3849468
  2. Same here. I knew the rule existed, as McCarthy was flagged for it in the preseason and then Arians was flagged for it earlier this year as well. How it cancels out a review is absolutely beyond me, especially when its been beaten to death that 'all scoring plays are reviewable.' This article explains why it came into being: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/story/21107400/nfl-to-examine-replay-rule-that-hurt-lions-may-make-change-this-year So basically they created a rule for a good purpose and by adding this to the list of penalties it would be enforced on created a huge unintended side effect. They must have felt originally that throwing the challenge flag would be one way to purposely delay the game in order to give the booth more time to review, but they didn't anticipate how many coaches would forget which plays are automatically reviewed and which plays aren't. They also say in the article that they are considering changing the rule before the season ends.
  3. I'm probably more disappointed that these kids still have to pay back part of the benefits than the suspensions. These kids had no reasonable reason to expect the benefits they were receiving were impermissible. While the suspension hurts both the kids and the institution (and indirectly the "booster"), paying back the benefits only hurts the kids.
  4. I'd say Oregon, but it will be pretty close. The majority of voters have Oregon ahead right now, and I don't see them changing their mind if that scenario happens. I also think there will be some push to not have another all SEC title game if the teams are close. The majority of computers will likely have Florida ahead. The thing to watch out for in that scenario is if Notre Dame ends up between Florida and Oregon in some of the computers. That may be enough for Florida to overcome the voter advantage. But I input some of those results into Colley's formula, and it looks likely that he would have Oregon having a slim margin over ND in that scenario.
  5. If the games hold as they are now, obviously ND would be in the title game. KState would probably drop to 6. And when looking at who's going to get BCS at-larges, I'm starting to think a 3 loss Michigan team is only one win against Ohio State away from making it into the BCS once again. Unless there is an upset in a conference title game or the SEC/ACC matchups, there doesn't seem to be another good team to take that last at-large.
  6. Sagarin predictor ratings for those four (and also Western Carolina playing Alabama) Georgia Southern 87 Maryland 106 Wofford 121 Jacksonville State 156 Western Carolina 206 Georgia Southern and Wofford are FCS teams, but they are good FCS teams. Still not good for top 10 teams to be hanging around with them, but they're probably more dangerous then a decent amount of FBS teams. I'm not sure why these SEC teams continue to play them for exactly that reason. It has more potential to hurt then help.
  7. A likely .650 OPS from the backup catcher is pretty solid. 1.75 million is somewhat steep for the marginal upgrade he's going to provide, but he's at least a quality player for his role. That's assuming a normal BABIP, which as normal for backup catchers has bounced around wildly for Navarro throughout his career. So he could easily be 100 points over or 100 points under that projection largely because of sample size.
  8. This is also hilarious: Indiana has 16 commits for next season. Serious question on that, I understood the Big Ten rule to be you could only oversign by 1? I'm pretty sure Creek doesn't count because a medical redshirt isn't officially approved until it is needed, and so right now his eligibility runs out at the end of this year. But that would still leave IU over by two, and I'm not sure what else they could do to comply with that rule.
  9. There's like 4 or 5 guys who have been doing a better job than him. He's not going to put up the numbers that a QB from an offensively focused dome team will be able to but he's much better than mediocre. You aren't paying attention if you think he's mediocre. You're not paying attention to the NFL if you don't think his decision making and throwing accuracy leave A LOT to be desired. I think there's plenty of room for improvement, no doubt. But every QB makes bad decisions/throws, and most of them are much worse than Cutler. 23rd in completion percentage, 21st in yards per attempt, tied for 16th in TD's, tied for 7th most in INT. 24th in QB rating, 30th in Dyar, 30th in DVOA, 19th in QBR. His offense around him is below average but not horrible, and some of those metrics account for that anyway. I don't see any evidence to support him as a top 5-6 QB.
  10. And yet here we are. Notre Dame is 2 wins away from potentially being the first team in college football history to get shut out of the title picture for not going unbeaten against an objectively superior schedule impressively enough. You act as if this should just be accepted fact rather than debated. But it's not objectively superior. By Sagarin, KSU and ND's schedule's are basically identical. Oregon is 16/17 spots worse but they have the current No. 11, No. 12 and either No. 13 or 18 left on the schedule, so theirs will get significantly better. To add on to that since one data point is frequently flawed: Colley has ND's schedule 26th, KState 44, Oregon 63rd Anderson/Hester has KState 31, ND 32, Oregon 50. I think we can put to bed the theory that pollsters inherently favor ND. It might have been true in the past (although I don't think so) but it certainly isn't anymore. Even as an ND fan though, I can understand why pollsters have the other two ahead. Having too many close wins has always mattered in the polls, and their schedules are close enough that voters can use that to put ND behind. Hopefully one of those two lose with ND winning out to make it academic.
  11. IU will have to figure out their scholarship situation again next year. Vonleh committed to Indiana last night.
  12. There's no way IMO that two major conference teams with good schedules would get jumped by a team with 1 loss. Especially one that won't end up having much better of a schedule if it's better at all. ND isn't in a conference. Of course. That was just shorthand for saying a team that a pollster is naturally going to give more respect to (as opposed to Boise or TCU in previous years). ND isn't in a conference, but they play the same strength of schedule as teams in major conferences, so they are treated the same.
  13. There's no way IMO that two major conference teams with good schedules would get jumped by a team with 1 loss. Especially one that won't end up having much better of a schedule if it's better at all.
  14. As you said, he's on pace to finish 21 catches behind Harrison. He would have to average over 10 catches a game the rest of the season, and even with his monster start he's only had one game of double digit catches so far this year. I don't see that happening. Welker and Harvin probably have slightly better chances of catching Harrison this year, but I don't see anyone getting particularly close. And I see that soccer beat me to it!
  15. There'd be no hype for that game. None at all. Colts still aren't making the playoffs though -- five more road games. I'm not quite that definitive about their playoff chances. The last playoff spot will likely be a 9-7 team. Two winnable road games (at Jac and at KC). Split those, win the two home games they're favored in (BUF, TEN) and they are just looking to steal one more at that point to probably get in. It could come down to if Houston rests starters or not in week 17. If I had to go between the Colts and the field, I'd take the field. But I have a hard time picking out a 6th playoff team. San Diego has struggled outside their division, and none of the 3-5 teams are good bets to suddenly take off. Miami is probably the best of the lot, and the Colts have now a lead and the tiebreaker on them. Of course, the Colts could easily lose a few close games going down the stretch and only win 7 as well.
  16. Opt out clause. But true, Taj would probably be gone. Plus you have Mirotic supposedly arriving around then. It could get interesting. The Bulls are well positioned for 2014. No big commitments. Deng coming off the books. Presumably an amnesty of Boozer (you guys can cry about Reinsdorf it this doesn't happen). I wonder if they could add Love, another big FA, and Mirotic as well to go with Noah and Rose. Love can't opt out until the summer of 2015. I doubt the Bulls would have had enough money to add Love and another big FA even under that scenario. Rose and Noah are taking up over half the cap in 2014 (unless the cap suddenly goes way up). Add in the cheap players on the roster+Mirotic+cap hold for a first round pick and there probably isn't enough room for something of that magnitude.
  17. That's absolutely true.. For example, when Colts-Patriots was getting huge ratings, in 2005 they were on Monday Night football on ABC. The next year MNF and SNF had switched, and that game was on NBC the next 3 times they played at night on SNF. ESPN has always gotten the lesser priority of matchups whether they were broadcasting SNF or MNF.
  18. I was going to but after doing a bit of research, I realized I thought Kansas State's schedule was harder than it actually was. If both win out, I'd say Kansas St. should probably be ranked ahead. Based on... The one thing I could think of is that KState has had less close calls than ND has so far. ND will have played a better schedule. Not ridiculously better, but definitely better. So ND will have the schedule advantage, while KState has been a little more impressive against their opponents.
  19. They can't pay him. So they'd rather get 80 or 90 cents on the dollar now then risk losing him next year. It will hurt them this year, but having those extra picks will help keep their pipeline going to keep building behind Durant/Westbrook/Ibaka. It's unfortunate that the Thunder become the first casualty of the new luxury tax system. Hopefully the rules against sign and trades by luxury tax teams and other similar rules that go into place next season will start slowing down the big markets as well. Would the luxury tax penalties have been that onerous over the life of the contract? I thought I read somewhere that, though, high, they were well within OKC's ability to pay. There really isn't enough known about their revenues and the rest of the plan to hazard much of a guess on that. They would have been in the luxury tax for sure with Perkins and quite possibly without him (either by having to pay him through amnesty or finding a way to dump him), that much is certain. They've at least claimed they couldn't do that, and now it looks like they really meant it.
  20. They can't pay him. So they'd rather get 80 or 90 cents on the dollar now then risk losing him next year. It will hurt them this year, but having those extra picks will help keep their pipeline going to keep building behind Durant/Westbrook/Ibaka. It's unfortunate that the Thunder become the first casualty of the new luxury tax system. Hopefully the rules against sign and trades by luxury tax teams and other similar rules that go into place next season will start slowing down the big markets as well.
  21. I hope the coverage doesn't focus on the holding/INT. One clear call that was just made late, and one call that may or may have been right, but even if it was overturned ND is still in a great position to win the game. So nice to see Brindza make a huge kick there. ND is going to need to be able to trust him to get them out of a tight spot or two down the line.
  22. In the NFL, that wouldn't be an INT (since his hands come off the ball for a second after it hits the ground, which is a pretty clear sign of no longer having possession). Not sure if the college rule is the same or not.
  23. I would guess Oregon. They will probably finish 4th in the computers though in that scenario so Oregon would have to keep a solid lead in the polls, which they might be able to do with their strong schedule down the stretch. Obviously KState is ahead of them right now (and will be even further ahead of them after this week), but that will likely change as the weeks go on and Oregon slowly rises in the computers. Right now voters have KState clearly ahead of ND, but in that scenario I think they would be more split which would not help either of them catch Oregon.
  24. I definitely agree with the thought of selling high on Gore. Too many question marks for me. Little bit of an injury history (and banged up a little bit right now), somewhat limited amount of touches at times, and some bad matchups. He faces 3 of the top 9 run defenses during the fantasy playoffs, although one of those is the Seahawks D he just shredded. Fitzgerald doesn't have a good fantasy playoff matchup schedule either. As far as which deal you should be targeting, I'm not sure about that. I would lean towards Forte and Jackson, but I'm not quite sure why. It probably depends on how highly you think of McFadden at this point because if he can figure out his problems, his schedule is fairly easy..but he hasn't shown that burst yet and is probably still the biggest injury risk among the 4.
  25. Moreover, Freeman was in the pocket when the shove was made, so technically it was illegal contact on top of it. Right, any way you look at it, it's a blown call. It has to at least be illegal contact When they had Pereira on TV afterword he said that Freeman was out of the pocket when the shove occurred so there was no illegal contact, and that since the shove was legal the receiver still can't be the first one to touch it when he reestablishes himself. I can't see the replay right now to see if he was right about when the shove occurred.
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