I didnt start this talk of next year's record, I was just throwing my opinion in there but with that said: Im going to break this down simply, so that everyone can understand where im coming from, because apparently I shot someone's puppy for suggesting a regression in the win loss record. 1. They went 13-3 last year 2. They have not improved on last years roster, and while their losses are fringe players that can be easily replaced by draft picks, they still have more questions then even last year. 2a. Questions marks new to this year: Lance Briggs, Tommy Harris's injury, depth at DT. 3. Maybe I didn't articulate properly, but Losing Mike Brown, while not the end of the world adds MORE problems for the team. The projected starting safety corp of Mike Brown and Chris Harris, with Danniel Manning and Todd Johnson as backups is better then Adam Archuleta and Chris Harris with possibly Danniel Manning(might go to CB), and draft pick(s). 4. "If Brown is out, and Harris is out, and Briggs sits out, and Benson fails to take the reins and Grossman doesn't improve and the draft picks provide no help" Almost no chance of this happening. I didn't suggest it would. I said its issues that weren't there last year for their 13-3 season. It doesn't help that anyone of those are possibilities IT HURTS THE TEAM. 5. The Schedule. The Bears played 4 playoff teams from the previous year in 06'(and ended up playing 4 playoff teams). Next year... 7. So with more question marks and a harder schedule, it is conceivable that they lose more next year. Losing Brown only hurts them more. In 2005.. Seattle went 13-3. Seattle added Julian Peterson, Nate Burleson, and Deon Branch. They went 9-7 the next year. And their problems (Alexander and Hasslebeck injuries) were not possibilities before the injury like Tommy Harris's injury and Lance Briggs holdout. They did lose Steve Hutchinson.