goonys evil twin
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Everything posted by goonys evil twin
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I'll never understand how Hendry could justify going into 2005 with the OF he had, which pretty much guaranteed Burnitz would get a ton of playing time.
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I think I sent mine a couple weeks ago Tim.
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Izturis has never hit a HR against the Cubs. Alex Cora had an 18 pitch at bat against Matt Clement on May 12, 2004. http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN200405120.shtml Looks like I'm quite late to this story. If you go toward the bottom of this link, it was in the 7th inning. If you click on the 18 next to Cora's name, it gives you a pitch by pitch breakdown of the at-bat.
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Exactly. Price is the BPA. I think it's impossible to take a pitcher and a hitter and determine which is the BPA. It's completely subjective. People should be reminded of the flameout rate of pitchers and exercise extreme caution when drafting them.
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Well, Sweet Lou said it can cause complacency so perhaps you might take it up with him. baseball people never say foolish things based on conventional wisdom with no basis in reality.
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You are simply wrong. 2004 spiked because of 2003 results. 2005 stayed high because of 2003/2004 results. Attendance spikes in the years following the playoffs. Additionally, tickets sales were in party driven by the huge profit margins on the secondary market. Fans had very high expectations in 2005 based on the relative youth of the core. By 2006 however, people started taking a bath on unused tickets. They sold out early, on higher expectations, but butts in the seats was clearly lower. And they would have stayed lower in 2007 had it not been for huge offseason investment.
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This isn't true. Fans didn't suddenly changed. Fans have ditched Wrigley everytime the team sustained crappiness. They come back in droves when the team succeeds. The Cubs have been spending more than 80% of the teams in the league for over a decade. The myth of a complacent team with no incentive to win has no basis in reality.
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I don't think you can. Management sucks because of flawed theories about how to put together a good baseball team, not a lack of incentive to succeed. The incentive is tremendous. Aside from achieving legend status as an individual (the pres, GM, manager, etc), ownership would reap tremendous profits from a winning team. The revenue skyrockets when the team is good. Why do you think ownership approved the huge investments this offseason? They knew they were on the verge of wasting the insane upswing in demand caused by the success of 2003.
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Excuse my lack of modesty, but I've been trying to make this case for years. Finally someone of stature lets it slip: unwavering fan support even in the face of utter failure can have a negative impact. If the Cubs had good players that played poorly, maybe that would make sense. But the Cubs have sucked because their personel decisions have sucked, not because overly supportive fans brought about complacency. Why bother making great personnel decisions when it doesn't really matter? What doesn't matter? Are you arguing Wrigley sells out regardless of the record? Because that's not true. It was an easy ticket up until 1998. But in 2000 and 2001 it went back to being easy to get. It wasn't until the nearly unprecedented (for the Cubs) success of 2003 that Wrigley regularly sold out again. Management noticed all the empty seats late in 2006 and realized they weren't going to sell-out in 2007 without improving a lot. This is a tired old argument that doesn't hold up. The Cubs suck because management has sucked. Not because the fans show up.
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Rowand isn't good. As a platoon with Jones, okay. But he's not good on his own. The Cubs don't need anymore .325 OBP type players.
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Excuse my lack of modesty, but I've been trying to make this case for years. Finally someone of stature lets it slip: unwavering fan support even in the face of utter failure can have a negative impact. If the Cubs had good players that played poorly, maybe that would make sense. But the Cubs have sucked because their personel decisions have sucked, not because overly supportive fans brought about complacency.
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2007 Spring Training NOW WITH PICTURES thread
goonys evil twin replied to moorecg's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Look at B's hand. -
The Cubs did just fine against RHP last year. LH threats aren't nearly as necessary as overall threats. The Cubs sucked against LHP last year, due largely to players like Jones who were completely worthless against them. But you do need SOME left-handers in your lineup. I'm not saying it has to be 5RH/4LH, or vice-versa. Late in the game against a closer, who in this division are mostly, if not all RH, it would be nice to have some guys from the left side with a little bit of power. Yeah, it would be nice, but not necessary. If you are replacing Jones with Pie, you are keeping the same number of LH bats anyway.
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The Cubs did just fine against RHP last year. LH threats aren't nearly as necessary as overall threats. The Cubs sucked against LHP last year, due largely to players like Jones who were completely worthless against them.
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I doubt it. Jones is just as mediocre as Lieber, only he's not a pitcher so he's not going to be valued as much. Nobody is going to be giving up top prospects for Jones. I'd like to move Jones and a pitching prospect, if Pie proves he can play, for a SS prospect. I agree with BbB that it's nice to have some depth in the OF but the lack of talent at the SS postion in this organization really bugs me. I'd like to see the Cubs do that too, but from everything being said in the front office, they like Izturis. Yeah I know. Well let's hope that Lou and Perry can turn on a light for Mr. Izturis then and he can improve his hitting approach and numbers. Not only do they like Izturis, and have the opportunity to bring him back in 2008 at a price they probably like, but nobody is going to trade away decent SS prospects for Jacque Jones. Rawaction thinks he has a chance to have a huge year, and I would agree only because he's probably begun every year with the chance to have a huge year, given his talent. The problem is his physical talent has never translated into actual huge production, and given his age, probably never will.
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I doubt it. Jones is just as mediocre as Lieber, only he's not a pitcher so he's not going to be valued as much. Nobody is going to be giving up top prospects for Jones.
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I don't see how the more likely scenario is that those guys actually do solve the problem. Miller is more or less a lost cause. Releasing him is hardly a problem. I think the upside would be Lieber is a better bet to give you a fair amount of average innings this year than anybody else on that list. And I don't really see Jones as much of a trade asset. He's just another guy. I wouldn't be screaming from the rooftops for such a move, and my caveats remain that I'd only think about it if Pie looks great and Soriano can't handle center. But I'm not about to pretend that there is a great chance that the group of Marquis, Prior, Miller, Guzman and Cotts fill the 4 and 5 spots just fine. At this point, however, the Cubs need to focus more on improving their offense than adding another potential 4/5 starter.
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I wouldn't worry about complicating the situation. Personally I think you have to include Marquis into that group and admit you're really looking to fill both the 4th and 5th spots. Marquis is pretty much guaranteed a spot right now, but insurance against another disaster by him could be handy. Lieber could be the most stable pitcher in that group. My biggest concern would be about the offense, however. Jones is hardly irreplacable, but you'd better be really certain that Pie is ready to produce similar numbers as him. And I'm not sure you can be. I'd consider such a move under a few conditions: Pie looks great. Soriano can't handle center. The back end of the rotation remains in doubt. If Pie doesn't look ready, you can't move Jones. Even if he is ready, there's no reason to as long as Soriano can handle center.
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I don't see how Milwaukee could be the NL Central darling with such unclutch performances.
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Wasn't it something insane like 3/34? 3/34.5 I think. That is absolutely horrible. It's in-line with what's been going on in MLB. Teams are paying for IP more than anything else. Vasquez is probably good for about 200 average innings a year. I think he compares favorably to some guys who got more than him.
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Are they still considering the Marlins a minor-league team in the majors? :lol: His 1st appearance was against Boston College. Yeah, I know. I just found it funny that ESPN, obviously a typo, refered to the Marlins as "Major-Leaguie" hitters. Their major leaguers... but not so much They were 9th in the NL in runs scored last year and 8th in OPS. Both stats dwarfing the Cubs. Oh, now I get it, didn't notice the "leaguie" part.
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Isn't it funny how every good GM has their niche in the draft? For example, Bill Polian of the Colts is exactly the opposite of Angelo. Polian is the best in the league at his first pick in the draft, and he is the best in the league at picking up great undrafted free agents. As you said, Angelo is the best at the time in between those two points. I just find it interesting that GM's have trouble in certain rounds, but do very well in others-it would seem to defy sense (I mean, a good talent evaluator should be a good talent evaluator all the way through) but it definitely happens. I think there are different skills involved. And a lot depends on how your system works. Some systems require star caliber offensive players, which you need to get early. The Bears defense needs fast guys who can hit, but aside from one or two positions, they don't really need stars.
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I still don't understand this one. A 2nd and 7th for Wes Welker? He's a 3rd/4th receiver and average return man. Getting a 2nd for him is surprising.
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Jerry Hairston Jr. linked to steroids use
goonys evil twin replied to polosprt009's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
They know what it takes to make it. -
Jerry Hairston Jr. linked to steroids use
goonys evil twin replied to polosprt009's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
http://www.northsidebaseball.com/PremiumForum/viewtopic.php?t=38803