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goonys evil twin

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Everything posted by goonys evil twin

  1. UGH. WHO THINKS THE bEARS WILL LET HIM GO IF HE GOES TO JAIL? I HOPE NOT. I THINK THIS WHOLE EXPERIENCE HAS TAUGHT HIM A LESSON, AT LEAST I HOPE SO, AND TANK IS A GOOD DT. I think they decided to stick with him on a "next strike and you're out" basis. They could use the excuse of jail time to cut him, but I'm guessing they won't.
  2. I said no, only because the odds are much less than 50% that he will be. But I think he will be gone from the Yankees within 13 months and the Cubs have as good a shot as anybody to get him.
  3. I think it's probably during the second half of March, once they've got a pretty good idea of what they have and what their needs are, and after the injuries start to pile up. The Cubs traded for Lee in November. They got Clement and Alf right at the end of the spring.
  4. If the Bears do end up trading Briggs, I could see them coming out of this draft with a huge influx of young talent that would allow their current run of success to last well beyond the typical 3-5 year window. A straight up trade of Briggs for a 1st and 3rd would be nice, but probably not realistic. What I could see, however, is packaging Briggs and a 3rd, or even Briggs and the new 2nd for some significant early picks. I wouldn't be upset to see Briggs and Ogunleye both traded for a plethora of picks, if that's even possible.
  5. There's something left in the tank, sure, but the biggest issue is he's nothing special. I think he'll be fine in 2007, probably something like a 4.0-4.2 avg with 1200-1300 yards. He'll be 29 this season, the last of his current contract. The problem is he wants a big extension with lots of guaranteed cash, and he's really no better than a whole lot of other RBs. The market values what he got, it's just that they value it to the equivalent of a late 2nd early 3rd round draft pick, something that is very valuable in its own right. I think the problem is you aren't giving justice to the value of what the Bears got in return. They didn't give Jones away. They got something that is very valuable.
  6. I'm guessing the Cubs are really holding out hope that Pie does play well enough to earn the spot. How well he'd have to play, however, is questionable. They'd probably prefer to delay his service time by first sending him to Iowa, but if they got a trade offer for Jones and Pie was looking good, I'd bet they would forfeit that little perk.
  7. Hutchinson? Walter Jones.
  8. I think I've heard that you can only franchise a guy 2 years in a row for the top 5 at his position, then the 3rd year it's automatically bumped to top 5 salary in the entire league. I believe this was in response to the Seattle situation with that lineman.
  9. I'm not sure how Jones is a warrior. He was a 1st round draft pick who has been in the league 7 years and has only 5300 yards. He's essentially a 4.0 YPA runner who isn't a threat to break off long runs or rack up any significant TD totals. He was a nice runner, but nothing special. You have a handful of true stud RBs in the NFL and then a few special guys like Brian Westbrook and Fred Taylor who have some very nice YPA numbers, if not the total yards figures. And you have guys drafted in the 2nd round like Jones-Drew who come in and rack up some very impressive numbers as rookies. Then you have a very big least of interchangeable bodies. RB is the one true meat market position. Denver wasn't insane for continually rotating guys in and out of the position. These guys take such a beating, that you just have to keep throwing out fresh bodies whenever possible, and hope you're not left holding the bag when a guy's career starts to fade. The last thing you want at the position is a 30-something RB with 2000+ attempts and a huge cap number barely plugging along at a 3.5-4.0 clip.
  10. The movement was worth a late 2nd or early 3rd. I don't really think Jones was worth much more than that. They weren't going to get the 37th picks straight up for him. Maybe they could have gotten something like the 50th pick, maybe. I would have preferred they gave up a little later pick to move where they did, but they got pretty good value. I have no idea what Angelo wants to do. I think it all hinges on Briggs at this point. If Briggs goes, then I think he'll get a LB with one of the top picks. If Briggs stays, then I'm guessing they will go for offensive line help, receiver help or dback help. I would bet a lot of money that Angelo doesn't stand pat with the picks he has right now, though.
  11. To an extent, yes. If they waste the draft pick then it's a wasted trade. But the fact is Jones had no future with the Bears. They weren't going to give him a $12m signing bonus with a 5 year deal, and then risk him being a cap hindrance in 2-3 years. Jones wasn't going to play out his contract without being a huge problem. So the Bears essentially had to trade him, and they got a decent value for him. People tend to lump draft picks together as just some sort of crapshoot. But they aren't. NFL draft picks have real value. This was a fair deal on both ends.
  12. Moving up the equivalent number of spots that the Bears moved would essentially cost a late 2nd or early 3rd round pick. The Bears basically traded Benson for a late 2nd or early 3rd, and then traded that pick and their 2nd to move up. I don't think he got hosed. 2nd round draft picks are extremely valuable trade chips.
  13. Wow, NY media is fawning over this deal, saying among other things, that the Jets "got themselves an All Pro for essentially nothing." Jones stood little chance of remaining with the Bears. I certainly had no desire to see him signed to a new contract, not when he's turning 29 and already has a lot of mileage in what has been nothing more than a mediocre career. I think the Bears clearly got the best years Thomas Jones had to offer, and while it was okay, it was clearly nothing special. The media is describing him as some sort of superstar RB, and pretending that moving up 30 spots in the 2nd round of the draft is worthless. I would have preferred the Bears use their 3rd rounder along with Jones to move up, but this is essentially what I think they should have been able to get (a late 2nd/early 3rd equivalent).
  14. Zambrano will have already signed before he does. And Zambrano won't have much of a case if he tries to compare himself to Santana.
  15. I believe there's a rule about signing certain free agents in any one year, but I'm not sure about how it carries over from year to year.
  16. Bruce said there is no gun up on the board at the stadium-I'm sure there are some guns actually there, and the question is if Sullivan could get access to interview one of those people during the game. Or just has to be sitting near someone with a gun. There you go-looking for the easy and logical answer again :D You're right of course, Sullivan was probably just sitting in a little different place than Bruce and could see a gun from where he was. Maybe he's got his own gun.
  17. You might be right. Why do people insist on pretending the 48 starts in 2004 and 2005 didn't happen? If he "just broke down" after his one great year, then how did he manage to put together an ERA+ of 116 and 113 in those years?
  18. Assuming this guy was around Seattle when Randy Johnson evolved into a great pitcher, that's beyond ridiculous.
  19. I think that's a bit of an exaggeration. All you need are two teams to compete for him there's no telling what the deal could be. You can also get creative with a trade so that you end up giving up a later pick for the 1st rounder. Maybe you can't trade him straight up for a 1st. But what if you trade Briggs and a 4th for a 1st? Or trade Briggs and the Bears #1 for an earlier #1 and a #3? There's ways to make it work.
  20. I agree it shouldn't persist. But it's probably true that they end up getting the guys they really want, more often than any other team. I think the past few offseasons they have pretty much added one big money player per year. They got Clemens before 99, Mussina before 2001, Giambi for 2002. Matsui was the big addition before 2003, although he didn't really qualify as huge. 2004 was Sheffield, ARod and Vasquez. 2005 was Randy Johnson and Pavano. That's as close as they got to getting "every FA they wanted", but some of those guys were trades. 2006 was back to just being Damon, and all they got this year was Pettite on a 1-year deal.
  21. I don't understand this grouping. Is that Carlos Guillen? He's hit .300 plus for three straight years. And while he's no threat to the HR record, I wouldn't say he's got no power. Similarly, Bellhorn wasn't devoid of power either. Juan Pierre has no power. Neifi Perez has very little power. But Bellhorn certainly has (had?) some.
  22. One of my biggest pet peeves is hearing people say the Cubs (or any team) spent "X" dollars this offseason. They didn't spend $300million, they committed to $300m worth of contracts. Any one of them could be traded to another team before next season, in which case the Cubs wouldn't be spending that money. It's just a way for people to sensationalize the story. The Cubs went from about a $100m payroll to about a $115m payroll this year.
  23. I wouldn't have expected his good stuff. I'm just hoping he's able to make his next start. I was hoping for at least a glimmer of his old self. Well, yes a glimmer would have been nice. But I don't think it makes a lot of sense to expect anything special this early. The key right now is just getting him the proper amount of innings in March.
  24. I wouldn't have expected his good stuff. I'm just hoping he's able to make his next start.
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