Why should he be a 14 win pitcher with an ERA in the low 4's? Why, for that matter, would you think that any pitcher with an ERA in the low 4's would get 14 wins for this team? He can't even perform that well now, so why do you expect him to be better when 2 years older? I don't understand the thinking behind anything you wrote here, I guess Maddux's ERA's the past 5 years (including 06) 2.62 3.96 4.02 4.24 4.77 I just think if he's kept in the role he should be at at this point is his career, he'll do fine until he retires in a couple of seasons. He's not a #2 or #3 starter by any stretch of the imagination, and yet that's the role he's been put in the last 2 years. That's going to change which players he sees batting against him when he pitches. And why is 14 wins and a low 4 ERA so unbelievable? If he had even an iota of run support when it pathetically dired up last year, he woud have had 15-17 wins, easy. I predict that as a consistent #4, he'd hover around that 4.00 mark. And when you KNOW this team will only go with guys like Rushc or Williams in that spot if they get rid of Maddux (they're not going to trade him, bottom line. Hendry's not trading off a "name player" when things are this ugly), I'd go with Maddux and his aging pitching a thousand times before the inevitable alternatives. If the Cubs pick up Maddux with the intention of keeing him in the #4 slot for his final 2 seasons, I think it's a relatively minor concern compared to other gaping holes in the team.