Avery. as for Thomas getting the Vezina, Mason should receive less credit for his system but Thomas doesn't get marked down for playing behind two strong Norris contenders? Fernandez (2.24/.921) hasn't had a hard go of it either, when he's been in net.
this wasn't intended to be predictive of what'll really happen, and you were too lazy to read my mention that i'd be slipping by any means necessary, but whatevs lawl!
i think we saw last night the big difference between the Sharks and Wings. Detroit can split up their lines, and they still function well but when San Jose had their top line split up it was an unproductive mess. the Whitney trade smacks of desperation for Pittsburgh oh, and give Steve Mason the Vezina or something
also, the last 10 #1 picks have combined for just 5 pro bowls between them. i think the stat was also that the last 20 #1 picks have combined for 29 total pro bowls, and Manning & Pace were 15 of them
character issues and combine overreactions are what have players who kicked ass throughout college slipping to successful teams where fans of the other teams wonder "hey why didn't we take that guy?" Randy Moss and Terrell Suggs, for example.
1) Detroit Lions - Andre Smith, OT, Alabama obvious character issues aside, Smith upgrades a dismal team at two positions; the borderline useless LT Backus can move inside to G. Smith's talent put him in the top 5, and anybody the Lions pick are bound to have motivation issues regardless. i'll go for talent and rely on a coaching staff to inspire him. but ideally, i'd just re-sign Orlovsky or take a flier on Vick and trade down, or even run out the clock and slide to #5 ala the Vikings and try to save 20 million.
i don't think it can be argued that when he's healthy he's a significant upgrade over Bucher/Harris. and for just $2.5m, he's absolutely a great bargain for the Twins.
and looking at that table, it appears he's leading the league with the worst TO%, an ungodly 7.7 TO/g equivalent Carmelo really jumps out at you, i didn't realize he was so efficient in that spot
i actually greatly prefer Bill James to the rest. Zips, Marcel, Chone are much more regressed to the mean, and you'll have a smaller error if you're trying to do something like Meph's spreadsheet comparing your team to the rest of the league or something like that, but some of the exaggerated projections from James gives a better idea of which players have a higher upside, leading you to consider reaching on them in the draft. ie the huge projection he had for Josh Hamilton last year. it was way off the mark from what Pecota and Zips had for him, iirc, and obviously reaching on Hamilton paid huge dividends. i'm also still pissed at Pecota for Chris Young
wow, SSR is the only one who makes sense in this entire thread. the rest is a terrible conglomeration of revisionist history. i would have loved it if we had included Fontenot in a Peavy trade so i could proclaim for all eternity that Sosa's rotting corpse netted us el Peavo. and meph, really? really?? Marte's minor league numbers surley portend he has significant talent with which to succeed in the majors, but it's a damn unforseeable mystery why Quentin, with like a .562 career OBP in the minors turned into a successful MLB producer? are you doing more of your rile-the-crowd devils advocate nonsense?
that's a really good deal for the Bulls Salmons is a viable 3rd scoring option and Miller still affords them the ability to part with Noah if the Amar'e talks resurface
you give money for expected performance, not past. Harris, due to circumstances outside of his control, will very likely not repeat his contributions in fielding from last year. and he had a career year with the bat too, so you'd be making a bad gamble that he'd repeat it. but i don't think it's ridiculous to say his contributions on the field were of significant value last year. you can use this information to make a good projection, using regression and three years of data. but if players had arbitration which paid them after the season in relation to their on-field performance (on a FA payscale), fangraphs' salary value would provide the most accuracy of widely available statistics.