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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    well that was just a fantastic defensive series at the end there edit: wait, wide open look? he was falling to his left, the shot was awkard as hell
  2. sneakypower
    Yeah, but on the flipside there's bumstalgic reasons to root against them. it's embarrassing how much i want them to lose for that reason weren't allowed on the bandwagon?
  3. sneakypower
    Vlad and Soriano saw their plate discipline worsen going from the minors to the majors, Hanley's improved a moderate amount Okay. Less than 2% Now explain to me how that isn't his upside. it's his upside insofar as my professional upside is to become a billionaire, i guess; it's so prohibitively unlikely, it's not even worth thinking about for all practical purposes
  4. sneakypower
    Vlad (.83 BB/K), Hanley (.52) Soriano (.36) still all showed much better command of the strike zone in the minors than Lake (.23) has also, somewhat tangential i guess, but i sort of hate using Sosa as an example for anything, the guy hit .227/.276/.382 in his first three years; if the hope for a player is to give you less than a win of value in three years and get traded for a fading has-been, that's a little grim
  5. sneakypower
    Do you really not understand the term? I stated it earlier. Lake has the raw physical tools to hit 20+ HR and swipe 40+ bags while sticking at SS. There's also something like a 2% chance of that happening. that's been done four times in the history of baseball, so i'll certainly take the under on those odds
  6. sneakypower
    Do you propose ignoring potential development by a prospect when determining upside? no, not attainable potential development. a guy can add bulk to his frame and start putting doubles over the wall, but guys don't really ever suddenly start to gain some semblance of strike zone command after nearly 2000 PA of horrible ineptitude seriously, people ronny cedeno 6.2% BB, 16.8% K junior lake 5.4% BB, 23.8% K
  7. sneakypower
    then tell me, what's his upside
  8. sneakypower
    "Huge strides" is probably an exaggeration. Ian Desmond is a pretty good comp for the career path Lake is on right now. Low walks, high strikeouts, poor fielding, but with a bit of pop and some speed. Desmond grades out as a somewhat below average regular, with fWAR totals of 1.3 and 1.4 the last two years. If Lake takes a good step forward in any one of those categories (or numerous small strides), that would make him a league-average starter. He'd still be young, cost-controlled, and have considerable upside beyond that. As long as Lake is making some forward progress it doesn't make much sense to cash in a chip like that just to gamble he might be a closer someday. i get serious indigestion every time i read that Lake and Vitters have "huge upside"; it's so ignorant to overlook their total cluelessness of the strike zone or inability to field their position and hope that's somehow able to drastically change; their upside is to i guess suppress these problems just enough to sneak their way into the majors for a few seasons hey if Ryan Harvey can fix his inability to hit the ball...look out- he could be a good one! think Cubs shortstops, circa 2006
  9. sneakypower
    http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/baseball/mlb/07/18/bp.bonds/index.html
  10. sneakypower
    you don't know that, at all
  11. sneakypower
    http://images4.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20111120083909/simpsons/images/thumb/3/34/Wonder_Bat.png/640px-Wonder_Bat.png
  12. sneakypower
    bring back the hot air balloon! http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=19986305&c_id=mlb
  13. sneakypower
    i fail to recall a good transition from a 1B to the OF, moreover seemingly every single time it's ever been tried before the results have ranged from very, very bad to just embarrassingly awful
  14. sneakypower
    yes, that is an understandably grave concern
  15. sneakypower
    Mike Cammalleri traded to Flames for Rene Bourque http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=384922
  16. sneakypower
    Clay Davenport did a killer write-up on Cespedes http://claydavenport.com/?p=97 the whole thing is a must-read, but some highlights: Cespedes: (age 25): .333/.424/.667, 33 HR in 354 AB Jose Abreu (age 24): .453/.597/.986, 33 HR in 212 AB :shock:
  17. sneakypower
    Liriano will be there, too
  18. sneakypower
    Paul Lo Duca was traded midseason, and losing him was blamed for Gagne's subsequent struggles
  19. sneakypower
    he only managed a .270/.325/.385 MLE in AAA, and even giving him +7 between defense & baserunning keeps him at "substandard" in a full season of PA
  20. sneakypower
    oh damn, we might end up with a lousy 28 year old #1 starter
  21. sneakypower
    i'm even more shocked that someone in bama uses the handle lsufreek
  22. sneakypower
    hogwash!
  23. sneakypower
    Love Jrue Holliday. today's episode of "The Pistons passed on that guy to draft..." is titled: "Austin Daye"
  24. sneakypower
    in '11 Davis had (by far) the lowest HR rate of his career and a LD rate right in line with his career average; that doesn't really scream "batting practice" to me it stands to reason a LH pitcher wasn't served many favors by having Ramirez, Castro, Soriano hanging out on the left side of the field pretending to play defense. Marshall had a career-worst BABIP too, though Russell wasn't quite so ill-effected (presumably because his hits all went over the fences)
  25. sneakypower
    Davis has been on MLB rosters for 12 seasons was he a better pitcher in '07 or '09 than he was this past season? what made him effective in those seasons and a pitching machine this year? I don't know, old age? Injuries? Davis was horrendous over 17 starts in the past 2 years? Why should I care what he did 5 seasons ago? the point is he wasn't a better pitcher, he just had better defense, basically; which is why we care about fielding independent pitching stats and focusing more on peripherals
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