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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    i don't really know why; it'd make you feel better if we unintentionally had a lousy season? you can't break an omelette without breaking some eggs, any good cook will tell you that
  2. sneakypower
    they've lost commit DT Tommy Schutt (Rivals #52, to OSU), and PSU lean DE Noah Spence (Rivals #9, to OSU) and their top two current commits LB Camren Williams and DB Armani Reeves are both looking around; Michigan's waiting to scoop up the latter if he jumps ship
  3. sneakypower
    You can use either for either, a similar point applies either way. The biggest difference between FIP and xFIP is normalization of HRs/FB. For Wood, he was better than average at limiting HRs and Volstad was worse than average, which is a little odd considering where each played the majority of their games. i know that. i'm just pointing out that people are kind of cherry-picking a little bit. with wood, everyone just said LOOK AT HIS FIP and ignored the fact that xfip said he was hr lucky last year. now we're all brushing off volstad's fip and saying he'll be fine due to hr normalization. Wood's given up HR at 4.5x the frequency at home, in the 2nd worst ballpark for HRs; it's fair to consider whether he might have a Matt Cain-like HR-suppressing skill that just hasn't manifested itself too well at GAB
  4. sneakypower
    Are you seriously saying that it would be easier to move from a 60 win team to contender than it would be an 80 win team to contender in one offseason? Yeah, no offense, gr, but that seems incredibly backwards. in a microcosm of this point, we traded a reliever that might tangibly be worth 4-5 wins, for two players not expected to contribute this year (and Travis Wood) but are a very safe bet to be productive down the road also, if the dichotomy is to shell out a large contract for a now-productive but declining player vs. gambling on a young player (specifically, Ramirez vs. Stewart), it's easy to see where our success this year is in direct conflict with future success
  5. sneakypower
    Drew Stubbs strikes out in 32% of his AB and is still a productive MLBer, and we already know Jackson will K less than Stubbs even Brandon Wood, Chris Davis and Dallas McPherson haven't been able to achieve the ignominy of a 35% K/AB; you'd probably have to go to the plate blindfolded to reach that level of ineptitude
  6. sneakypower
    His performance collapses when pitching out of the stretch, for whatever reason. I'd be curious to see how many of his HRs were given up with men on base and how that stacks up across baseball. Volstad - career bases empty: 44 HR surrendered vs. 1462 batters faced (.261 opp avg) runners on: 28 HR surrendered vs. 1062 batters faced (.296 opp avg) league wide (team avgs) - 2011 bases empty: 89 HR surrendered in 784 IP (.251 opp avg) runners on: 63 HR surrendered in 666 IP (.260 opp avg)
  7. sneakypower
    well, i definitely like Volstad a lot more than it sounds like you guys all do
  8. sneakypower
    .775 for LaHair
  9. sneakypower
    that line (.339 wOBA) for 525 PA and average defense at CF would still be good for 3 WAR
  10. sneakypower
    so...you're suggesting he's likely to either fall woefully short of a lowly .250/.320/.400 threshold, or simply average fielding and baserunning? well, no wonder i'm being considered extremely optimistic
  11. sneakypower
    ok, Jackson's floor is that he'll be assassinated and will never be able play for us
  12. sneakypower
    correct, Jackson has had virtually the same K rate (23.8% and 23.4%, respectively) as Stubbs did through his minor league career, despite being 2 years younger than Stubbs was at every stop he's also exhibited much better babip skill and significantly better power
  13. sneakypower
    Brett Jackson has a 3 WAR floor? yeah, i think that's safe to say look at Drew Stubbs: even a paltry .251/.325/.406 career line (aided by a favorable homefield) and average glove alone makes you a 3 WAR player in CF is there any reason to assume he'll fall noticeably short of that plateau, offensively or with the glove? fwiw, Bill James has BJax projected for .251/.333/.434 right now
  14. sneakypower
    would you ever trade an MLB-ready CF with a 3 WAR floor for an 18-year old with 18 professional PA? of course not, there's really no sensible justification for ranking Baez over Jackson right now
  15. sneakypower
    i'm not real hopeful about this one, but Stafford's fresh off probably the two best performances of his career, so who knows; i still like us to cover that ridiculous 10.5 pt. spread
  16. sneakypower
    i certainly didn't see an 11-win season coming last year at this time; what an unbelievable job Hoke's done so far so glad the seniors got to go out with a win
  17. sneakypower
    oh thank goodness, i would have been pretty irritated had a 3rd stringer went 5/5
  18. sneakypower
    that's gotta come back
  19. sneakypower
    i wish somebody would tell Borges you're not contractually required to run it on first down
  20. sneakypower
    this is hysterical
  21. sneakypower
    OH THANK GOD we needed that so bad
  22. sneakypower
    wow, can't say i've ever seen a 22 yard loss on a run before
  23. sneakypower
    awesome, Sal from Mad Men is doing the national anthem
  24. sneakypower
    theo, you blow-hard
  25. sneakypower
    fun fact: in 885 snaps, (pro-bowler) BJ Raji had just 13 tackles this season
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