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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    i wasn't even doing that, though; i ended up only debating the merits of advanced stats for football, and Cutler's individual effect on singular games after that...the argument stopped being "i don't see Cutler as the MVP" really quick
  2. sneakypower
    those replies...were in response to what i first posted about the yahoo guy's article do you want some kind of a tutorial on how to read a message board or something?
  3. sneakypower
    Dawson: 61 WAR in 19 seasons Morris: 38.5 WAR in 17 seasons (discounting boundary seasons of little significance, for both)
  4. sneakypower
    recap the article was brought up on here i said: "the Cutler for MVP talk is mystifying to me" somebody else: "continue to try to put words in people's mouths" so i link to the article previously brought up, with the Cutler for MVP talk
  5. sneakypower
    "Bears QB Jay Cutler for MVP? Yes, he deserves serious consideration" http://sports.yahoo.com/news/nfl--jay-cutler-for-mvp--yes--he-deserves-serious-consideration-020935212.html
  6. sneakypower
    Yeah, think about all the utterly elite assets they sent out in those trades... ...i was
  7. sneakypower
    and that preference has been shown time and time again, in their trading for Andrew Miller, Hanley Ramirez, Cameron Maybin, Jacob Turner, Jake Marisnick, Justin Nicolino...
  8. sneakypower
    then how do you propose we evaluate QBs with any shred of objectivity? i've probably watched the majority of Bears games and had the same reactions, but that alone assuredly would get shrugged off as homerism PFF, which evaluates players on a purely individual level, didn't include him in their Top 51 Players of the season list a short while back (Briggs was #35, Marshall #12, Tillman #6)
  9. sneakypower
    :beg:
  10. sneakypower
    he was stellar against Dallas, and i don't deny that, but the defense themselves outscored Dallas up until a garbage-time TD with :34 left in the game. i already gave you the Carolina game too, and looking closer you're probably right about the Colts game (29% WPA, +13.8 EPA) but the Detroit game, he had a completely neutral effect on their win probability and expected points, and didn't even muster 5 YPA. this also wasn't a game where you could say the OL completely betrayed him. PFF: "Customarily the offensive line draws the ire of Jay Cutler due to its pass protection, but their Pass Blocking Efficiency this week as a unit was 82.5, their second best mark of the season with only Lance Louis (-0.3 pass blocking) grading negatively in pass protection." so even then, we're left with 2-3 games you can argue they might have had a tough time winning with just an average backup QB (of which they have none, of course) playing instead; i just feel most other QBs can make that argument, plus some also, fwiw- he's in the bottom 10 amongst QBs for WPA, EPA, QB rating, which is the main cause of my puzzlement over these articles that have started popping up of late
  11. sneakypower
    Latest in a long line of meathead ex-players who don't belong in the HOF who piss and moan until they're let in. Leave Santo out of this. seasons with 5+ WAR Santo: 7 Morris: 1 i'd say he was a little more rightly aggrieved and you clearly didn't read the "don't belong in the HOF" part
  12. sneakypower
    http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/earned_run_avg_plus_career.shtml the career ERA+ leaderboard- go ahead and try to find Jack Morris on there
  13. sneakypower
    the Cutler for MVP talk is mystifying to me, mainly because: have there been many games so far where the Bears don't win with just a completely average QB in there? this might sound antagonistic, but it's more that i respect the Bears defense and give them most of the credit for the team's success so far i'm OK with giving Cutler credit for the Panthers win (with a huge assist from Jennings), but beyond that all their wins look more like defense-dictated blowouts and if you argue that his backups are so dismal that it elevates his importance, then you can probably then make an even easier argument for Roethlisberger's case; it's like saying Louis Delmas is the most valuable safety in the league because our primary backups are a ST and practice squad guy that get horribly abused by opposing offenses
  14. sneakypower
    Yeah, if I tried to make arguments anywhere near as bad as the ones he's putting forth (33 wins would have cost $150 MILLION!!!), you'd be all over it. He's losing, badly. ok, Karl Rove
  15. sneakypower
    Alvarez wasn't a good hitter before last year http://www.claydavenport.com/ht/ALVAREZcubaD03.shtml Diaz: http://www.claydavenport.com/ht/DIAZcubaA04.shtml
  16. sneakypower
    ok, spaz even with THJ bricking countless threes, no big deal, cause everyone else is sinking their shots; gonna be a real fun year
  17. sneakypower
    The statement was silly and absurd in itself. It didn't me to change anything about it. The only things Theo inherited were people who played for the Cubs in 2012, and their 2012 WAR is what they will do in 2013. i thought i was being kind! we don't actually project Soriano and Barney to repeat their '12s when WAR projections come out we'll see that the difference is largely indistinguishable and too negligible to really even care about
  18. sneakypower
    What does the fact that you think playoff teams cost $200 million say about you? it says that i made a statement specifically speaking to the state of the 2013 Cubs roster which you for some insane reason wildly extrapolated into a general statement regarding all teams operating under different restraints, only God knows why
  19. sneakypower
    You're doing a helluva job, Theo-ie. yes, he's either Randy Smith, or Branch Rickey; that you're framing these two opinions as the only possible conclusions speaks volumes about your inability to reason and use nuance
  20. sneakypower
    Kyle is strolling through New Jersey right now, asking "why hasn't this been cleaned up yet?"
  21. sneakypower
    Well a big reason there is teams being able to draft and develop impact guys who compile high WAR for low initial costs. The Cubs don't have a whole lot of those, but are trying to get them. Guys like Starlin Castro, Darwin Barney, Jeff Samardzija, Welington Castillo? that's 10 [expletive] wins! basically our whole entire foundation is essentially worth one buttfucking Mike Trout*! ah...in the first few months of their tenure, Theo & co. should have shrewded their way into a good 30 extra wins; i see what you're saying *or 2.5 Jon Jays/David Freeses (who both outproduced the best player on our team last year)
  22. sneakypower
    go ahead and take a quick gander at our 2010 draft http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/events/draft/y2010/drafttracker.jsp?p=0&s=30&sc=pick_number&so=ascending&st=number&ft=TM&fv=chc yeah, why aren't we steamrolling the NL?
  23. sneakypower
    so, about those 33 wins that we talked about earlier, that we'd have to buy to catapult ourselves into contention... the most efficient way of doing it, paired with this roster (so, obviously assuming no more than 2 OF and 3 SP) would require us to sign at least the top 8 available free agents (going off last year's WAR) this group combined for 34 wins last season: Michael Bourn Torii Hunter Zack Greinke Hiroki Kuroda Adam LaRoche Anibal Sanchez A.J. Pierzynski Jeff Keppinger it gets a little more hilarious thinking about money we'd need to dish out if you were more interested in the perceived safer bets, like Hamilton, Napoli, Lohse, Swisher
  24. sneakypower
    if you really loved me, you'd buy me the great pyramids
  25. sneakypower
    we'd expect to pay like an extra $150M PER YEAR on top of all other commitments to get those 30+ wins to put us back into immediate contention you're essentially grousing incessantly and ceaselessly about our front office, because they're not being moronically reckless
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