mul21
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Everything posted by mul21
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STL Free Agent Pitchers
mul21 replied to moorecg's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
what are his politics? how do you even know what his politics are? I don't get it either. I could care less if a guy has diametrically opposed views to me on each & every issue. You deliver a WS to this old Cub fan? You're a saint. He and Kurt Warner were in political ads in St. Louis during the WS opposing the stem cell research proposition that was on the ballot. As a person with a science background, I found the ads offensive because they so blatantly distorted the small amount of truth what they were saying contained. Plus they're idiots for having their viewpoint, but that's just my opinion. But, back on track, Suppan will be too expensive for what he's worth. Even though Weaver's agent is Boras, I think he'll try to sign a short term deal to get his price tag back up and then strike while the iron is hot after Duncan fixes him. No thanks to Mulder, we have enough of those already. -
Settling on SP
mul21 replied to soapy's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I think the best part of that lineup is that there aren't any gaping black hole like there were last year. The only real bad spot would be Jones against lefties. The pitching is ok, but you only have that one good power arm for the playoffs in Zambrano unless Prior gets healthy. I think that team would make a very strong push for the playoffs because the pitching is decent and the lineup will score some runs, assuming everyone is healthy. And unless somebody else in the Central starts spending, there may not be a lot of competition. -
Apparently someone's been Dusty-ized!!!!!!
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Cubs still pursuing Lugo.
mul21 replied to Uber's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
If the rumors of getting Westbrook for a SS and reliever are true, it wouldn't surprise me if the Cubs did go and get Lugo. The money would be there, especially if Eyre is the reliever going. Westbrook at $6M and Lugo at ~$8M would about equal Izturis at ~$4.5M and whatever free agent they get at $7-10M. -
I think it has to do with the supposition that Hendry is after him or Cliff Lee and Westbrook is the better option of the 2, but I'll look up some numbers too. Pitched almost 6 2/3 per start with an ERA of 4.17, 2.3 BB/9, 4.5 K/9, whip is a little high (2006 stats). I guess I'm kind of with you Tim. Nothing spectacular, may get a little help going to the NL, but he's a serviceable guy and if he can be had for little I'm not against it. I wouldn't want to give up Murton for him
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I prefer regular Pepsi but Diet Coke, not sure why. Everybody I know who likes the regular of either prefers the diet of the other. Weird if you ask me.
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It's funny because normally the majority of our posters are fiscally conservative about what the Cubs are spending for big names, but now a lot of people don't care...just sign a bunch of people and worry about the negatives later. I think the majority of the posters have no problem over-spending for good players. It's the 3/13 million for DeRosa's of the world that drives everyone here crazy... Not everyone, I certainly saw the value in it and there were several other people that didnt have a problem with it either. Try not to speak for everyone, just because the majority agrees with you. I wasn't dancing in the streets over it but I certainly understand why he was signed even if it was slightly over paying. I think alot of people are going to be eating crow on the DeRosa signing. Not to turn this into another DeRosa thread, but Mike North tried to make a point today that Mr. DeRosa fit 'a little too well' in his uniform last year compared to his other years. Probably just unfounded speculation, but can't dismiss it altogether I might normally take that report into account if : A. It didn't come from a complete and total waste of skin like Mike North and B. If there weren't numerous reports of a completely new hitting approach and C. There was a huge power increase inthere, which there wasn't Did I mention Mike North is a raging moronic, non-sensical idiot?
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Living in St. Louis, I may have a little insight on this. What worries me here is the fact that Duncan has turned around so many pitchers, but the most common report down here was that Marquis just wouldn't listen to him and pitch the way he was instructed to. He's been characterized as hard-headed and difficult to work with. With that info in hand about a guy who just came off a 6+ ERA season, I'm leary of doing anything with the guy unless he signs a minor league or very low cost deal. I know LaRussa and Duncan aren't the most happy go lucky guys, but they typically don't have a lot of problems with players and they both have had enough of Marquis.
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Soriano and Lugo News?
mul21 replied to Blueheart05's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I think some of the speculation on here is probably right on that Hendry is trying to drive up value on Izturis to move him, then take Lugo and put him at SS with Soriano in CF. Whether or not Hendry can actually get that done is anybody's guess. -
The Gil Meche Thread
mul21 replied to RynoRules's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
But he's going from Safeco to Wrigley and the AL West (Seattle, Oakland and Anaheim are pitcher's parks) to the NL Central. He's a good guy to take a risk on. He has good stuff. But his price tag is going to be pretty expensive - I'd at least take a look at Schmidt first and fail at going after him before moving to the Meche tier of FA pitchers. I haven't looked at numbers, but isn't Safeco regarded as a pitcher's park? And I also don't really see a whole lot of difference in talent level between the AL west and the NL central outside of the DH being there. The Angels and A's have both struggled offensively the last 2 years. Aside from Meche possibly figuring it out under Rothschild, I don't see a lot of reason for optimism, especially since he averaged less than 6 IP/start last year with a nearly 1.5 whip. -
Fax Jim Hendry with your trade requests
mul21 replied to Sweet Swinging Billy's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I just sent the following to Hendry. Flame away..... Dear Mr. Hendry, As a faithful and hopeful Cub fan buried in the heart of Cardinals country, I would like to offer up what I think would be the solution to the Cubs terrible record last year. My suggestions are as follows: 1. Sign JD Drew. Yes, I know he has had injury problems in the past and may not always seem to be playing the game as hard as he can, but these are numbers you can’t ignore: .286 avg./.393 obp/.512 slg/.905 ops. He can also play CF, which happens to be a need right now. Please go get him, yesterday if possible. 2. Rumor has it the Cubs are pursuing Cliff Lee or Jake Westbrook. Please get Westbrook. He’s better (by better I mean he walks less people and doesn’t give up as many HRs). 3. Sign Jason Schmidt. He may be expensive, but won’t be paid any more than he’s worth in comparison to the contract you just gave Blanco. Give big Z a little help out there. Please. 4. Send Cesar Izturis somewhere for a minor league position player with some potential and sign Julio Lugo to take his place. If you can do these things, you will have this lineup: Lugo SS Murton LF Lee 1B Drew CF Ramirez 3B Jones RF Barrett C DeRosa 2B And a rotation of: Zambrano Schmidt Hill Westbrook Miller, Prior, Marshall or whatever other young guy might be healthy and effective. By my calculations, you have around $30 million left to spend if the budget will truly be $115 million. Drew at 4 yrs/$52-60 M, Schmidt at 3 yrs/$36-42 M, and Lugo at 3 yrs/ $24-30 M. You save ~ $4.5 M by getting rid of Izturis for a net of somewhere between $28.5-35.5 M per year. Possibly a little over budget, but if you can win, I don’t think anybody will notice. Thanks for you attention, -
The Gil Meche Thread
mul21 replied to RynoRules's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I can't fathom why, after last year especially, Hendry would go and get a guy who averages less than 6 IP per start with a whip of almost 1.5. I agree, Yeche. -
The way I look at it you've got this right now: 1. ? 2. Murton 3. Lee 4. Ramirez 5. Barrett 6. Jones 7. ? 8. Izturis I'd like to see Drew signed, which would bump everyone down one slot behind Lee. Then plug in either Iwamura, Durham, or Theriot at 2B and leadoff and that's a lineup that will be able to score some runs. I'm just leary of what Soriano is going to do after a big dollar contract is in his pocket and I don't like his peripherals anyway.
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J.D Drew Opts out of contract
mul21 replied to PrimeTime's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Conveniently both his free agent contract years. So did he conveniently get plunked last year? Interpret as you wish, this guy can turn it on or off like a light switch. He's that talented. I don't believe in clutch, but this guy's as non-clutch as ARod's portrayed to be. His knees are damaged goods. I don't see him even coming close to 3/4 of a season if he plays centerfield. I think the reason he wants to play CF is because it's easier on the body. I don't understand that. In theory, CF cover more ground than a corner spot. Is it because more balls are hit to LF and RF as opposed to CF? I think his claim was that all the starting and stopping and cutting you have to do in the corners was tougher on the body than just being able to go all out to get the ball when you're in CF. -
J.D Drew Opts out of contract
mul21 replied to PrimeTime's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Wolf, You may know the answer to this: Did LaRussa and Drew have some kind of relationship issue? It seems to me that I remeber something along those lines, but I could be wrong. -
J.D Drew Opts out of contract
mul21 replied to PrimeTime's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Have you looked at his last 3 years? He's played around 145 2 of the last 3 and the year he didn't was due to a freak hit by pitch broken hand. I think if he is signed to play CF, which he says is easier on his knees, he can be counted on for 140-150 games barring a freak injury. -
If the geniuses who vote for HOF aren't smart enough to figure out that Bagwell would have most likely easily eclipsed the 500 HR mark had he not played in the Astrodome for 10 years (?), then they shouldn't be allowed to vote anymore. I don't think it should be a question considering he and Biggio carried those Astros teams by themselves for so many years and the leadership they both provided (yes, I know it's not measurable, but I think it should play a factor).
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I guess the question would be what qualified for a genuine interest in signing him. Would offering Matsuzuka a 6/30 deal qualify as genuine? I don't know and I don't know if the commisioner would agree or not. Definitely, Daisuke has no room to complain about a 6/30 deal. That wouldn't be a bad deal for a team. Submit a 50 million posting fee and then offer Daisuke 6/30. At worst, you have him for a cost of 80 million which is like 13 million a season. That's cheaper than offering a 30 million posting fee and then paying him 10 million a season. He may turn it down, but then he's kept from signing elsewhere. The only damage may be that he won't negotiate with that team when he returns as a FA next season. That's not taking advantage of the system though. If a team won with a 30 million bid, they could (and should) offer him a deal like that. Look at Ichiro for an example of a posted player's initial contract. What was his initial contract? I think it was 3yrs $14M
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I'm not sure if this is a serious question, since the answer is so obvious. In the late innings, when you've already scored enough runs to win, it makes sense to put in the guy that will do the best job of preventing runs from scoring. In the early innings, obviously the light-hitting, all defense guy is a bigger liability than the guy that can hit but plays inferior defense. Of course it is a serious question. It makes no logical sense whatsoever. What does it matter that the poor defensive player lets in runs at the beginning or end of the game? But more to the point, how often does his replacement prevent a run from scoring in the 8th or 9th inning? Are you honestly saying you don't understand the logic behind why a manager might substitute a Doug Mientkiewitz for a Craig Wilson in the 9th inning with a 1-run lead? The premise is elementary: when you need your defense to hold the lead and secure the win, then you put your best defensive players in the game. It's a basic principle that applies to many sports. You can agree or disagree with the wisdom of such a strategy as it applies to baseball, but to fail to grasp the logic is pretty puzzling. It's pretty basic stuff. i think that failing to grasp the idea that baseball is a completely different sport than basketball and football is puzzling. the "logic" as you call it, is conventional and anyone can "grasp" it, but it's faulty logic that doesn't apply to this particular sport and shouldn't be "grasped" by anyone at all. using terms like "basic principle" or "fundamental" doesn't mean anything, it's useless cliche that backwards coaches still use in little league when they can't produce a coherent thought of their own to illuminate a real principle that completely escapes them anyway. baseball is about run production, period. defense is nice to have, but pitching is more important and a completely independent factor. good pitching saves real runs, good defense saves peripheral runs and looks good on baseball tonight, providing an idiot like john kruk a chance to have a job. good defense has the same value at any time during a game, not just with a one-run lead in the ninth. many factors have contributed to a team having a one-run lead throughout the course of the game, the game was not simply born as being close in the ninth inning. i didn't particularly mind when our manager used neifi or macias late in a close game for defense because it gave them the least chance of actually hurting our chances to win, which is what they did each and every time they stood in the batter's box at any time during the game. Leon Durham and Bill Buckner say hi.
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Both are free agents following this season. I think it's a pretty safe bet to say Wells, as a 28 y/o CF, has a better chance to stay highly productive, longer, than the 29 y/o C who has a long list of injuries and plays a position where guys break down quickly. Ack, that's the second time I've messed that up too. Barrett hasn't been catching that long, and hasn't been hurt in 3 years. I think his positional value and the fact he'll be (much) cheaper to retain than Wells wins out over being further into his prime. There's also the thing that making that trade makes it harder to improve the offense since finding a new catcher that can hit is much more difficult than upgrading CF. Barrett has to been a catcher for long. He's logged nearly as many innings there as AJP, and is at the stage of his career, nearly 6000 innings, when lots of guys start breaking down. And how can you say he hasn't been hurt in 3 years? He was hurt multiple times this year, as well as last year. He was healthy in 2004, but he's missed time in just about every other season, and he had only logged about 3000 innings behind the plate before that season. We have to stop pretending Barrett is relatively new to the catcher position. You have guys like Fisk and Rodriguez who lasted a long time as productive guys at the position, but they had the DH to rest themselves. Bench and Berra switched positions in their early 30's. The Cubs have a decision with Barrett coming very soon. And the wise one might very well be to let somebody else squeeze the last bit of juice out of his catcher's frame, or move him to another position. Barrett has been a ML catcher for a while, but hasn't been playing the position his entire life and getting constantly beat up like the other guys you mention. IIRC, he played a lot of 3B in the minors and didn't become a full time catcher until he was a couple years into his ML career. I think he may last a little longer than the avg. catcher and still be productive on offense for that reason. Plus, for whatever reason, his offense seems to be undervalued because he's not a great defensive catcher.
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Where Will Bonds End Up? (Should the Cubs Be Interested?)
mul21 replied to vance_the_cubs_fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I soured on Sosa when some of the things about him came to light. I feel the same way about Bonds, Giambi, McGwire and any of the other idiots who may or may not have cheated. I want none of those guys anywhere near the Cubs, regardless of the fact it may get them to the WS. -
I don't see a problem with counting on Hill, Marshall, and the decent veteran FA to be the 3,4,5. You then have to rely on Z and that key FA to be the 1-2 that you really need. If the offense is improved the way it should be in the off season, that combo should get the Cubs a lot of wins and stay fairly healthy.

