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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. Bucknell wins the Patriot in dominating fashion, giving themselves a shot at making a 4 seed really nervous.
  2. Low key contemplating the possibility the Pac12 is also a one bid league
  3. Eliminate 20 beyond the 20 we already sent, I'll list them all later when I don't have to do everything via mobile. One bid rankings should include all potential single bid leagues which is all outside the top 7 (ACC, SEC, BE, B12, B1G, P12, American)
  4. Based on that, there's a clear top 4 on the SCurve for now: 1. Virginia 2. Villanova 3. Duke 4. Kansas Based on bottom 20s, here are the clear one bid leagues: 1. MEAC 2. SWAC 3. NEC (LIU-Brooklyn) 4. Big South (Radford) 5. Southland 6. Horizon (Wright State) 7. Atlantic Sun (Lipscomb) 8. Big West 9. Big Sky Eliminating every team that everyone picked for bottom 20, we're still left with 95 teams for at most 64 bids, so that can be pared down another 20 yet with room to spare. Next step is to rank the one bid champs/potential champs from the bottom up and rank the 2-3-4 seeds from the top 20s we posted, along with choosing the next 12 teams and the bottom 20 to pare down again.
  5. My top 20: 1. Virginia 2. Villanova 3. Duke 4. Kansas 5. Cincinnati 6. Purdue 7. Xavier 8. North Carolina 9. Michigan State 10. Michigan 11. Auburn 12. Texas Tech 13. Gonzaga 14. Tennessee 15. Wichita State 16. Clemson 17. West Virginia 18. Ohio State 19. Nevada 20. Kentucky Bottom 20: Bethune-Cookman (MEAC) SWAC LIU-Brooklyn (NEC) Florida Gulf Coast SE Louisiana (Southland) UNC Asheville Radford (Big South) Penn (Ivy) Northern Kentucky Wagner Iona (MAAC) Bradley Lipscomb (A-Sun) Fresno State Wright State (Horizon) Southern Illinois Furman UC Davis (Big West) Montana (Big Sky) William and Mary East Tennessee State
  6. Charleston wins the CAA as the 1 seed, with a not terrible profile. Their best 3 wins were all Northeastern, who was probably the better team overall but could never find a way to beat Charleston. Probably a 14ish seed. LIU Brooklyn wins the NEC as a 4 seed, and is now probably the weakest team in the field as an auto bid. Congrats on your play-in game, LIU-Brooklyn! South Dakota State wins the Summt as the top seed and by far the best team in that conference. Their result metrics are much better than their predictive metrics, but they do have a neutral win against Buffalo as a Q1 victory, and no really bad losses, they could be looking at a 13 seed.
  7. Gonzaga won the WCC to prevent BYU from likely stealing an at-large bid. Wright State wins the Horizon as the 2 seed. Not the best profile, their best win being at Northern Kentucky.
  8. Reminder that if you want to participate just get me the top 20 and bottom 20 on the nolan site by the end of the night.
  9. Iona wins the MAAC as the 4 seed after top seed and decent quality Rider took their worst loss of the year in the quarters. Ionas best win is a home win vs Rider, with no other even decent wins of note. UNC Greensboro wins the Southern as the top seed, and are a decent quality tourney team, with a win at NC State and 3 Q2 wins. St. Marys lost to BYU in the WCC semis which puts them in the precarious position of having a worse profile than Loyola going into Selection Sunday.
  10. Lipscomb wins the A-Sun as the 2 seed, and while they played well in conference, overall they're probably the worst team with an auto bid so far.
  11. Michigan wins the Big Ten, which...they were going to the tournament anyway.
  12. Loyola wins the MVC auto bid, preventing potential bid theft. Loyola has a legit at-large profile, their best win being at Florida, worst loss being at home to Indiana State. They have an RPI of 28, so we'll see how closely the real committee treats that number still, but even their predictive metrics are pretty good.
  13. Radford wins the Big South, nowhere near at-large worthy, their best win was beating UC Davis on a neutral court. They were the 2 seed in the Big South, so they weren't terrible, but they are a borderline opening round team as is given no other upsets.
  14. Murray State wins the OVC to get the first auto bid. Definitely the best OVC team by far, their profile is arguably borderline for at-large consideration, though their best win of the season happened to be last night.
  15. Illinois 2018 offseason training: how to defend without fouling.
  16. Another year, another mock selection. Interestingly, the NCAA is now using the tier criteria that I'd been putting together for this in the past for their selection software, instead of RPI. It's still based off the RPI rank, but baby steps I guess. Even better, someone did all the work of doing the nitty gritty reports on all the potential tournament teams, so that saves me a ton of work and saves us a step. http://warrennolan.com/basketball/2018/nitty-team So thanks for that. If you want to participate, poat or pm me by end of next Tuesday 3/6 two lists: -Top 20 teams from those on that site -Bottom 20 teams from those on the site The site has the RPI top 105 plus the conference champs for each conference (which, spoiler, was the exact list of teams I put up for consideration each year), which should be plenty. If for some reason there is a team not on that list that you think should get considered, say something.
  17. Any interest in mock selection this year, or has that ship sailed after 15 years?
  18. Yeah Delaney had offers to hold the tourney next week at Barclays and Prudential in Newark but he wanted the allure of playing at MSG. I have no problem having the tournament in DC or NY or wherever but having the tourney a week early caused logistical issues during conference play and like you said takes us out of the spotlight of being the lead in to the selection show. Though maybe that’s for the better with how horsefeathers most of the Big Ten has been this year. Flip side of this argument, the B1G gets all the spotlight this weekend instead of sharing with other major conferences. Of course, this will backfire when 13 seed Illinois inexplicably makes a run to the BTT final.
  19. So who's excited for the tournament? *crickets*
  20. Grant Brisbee posted that he's stepping back from McCovey chronicles to write more about other baseball teams for SB nation.
  21. Well, first of all, the president will be primarily focused on the business end, amd a yet to be appointed GM will be in charge of soccer direction. Other than that, though, it was a hugely disappointing election with the change candidates splitting their vote, never really giving anyone from outside a chance.
  22. Jayson Stark also to the Athletic.
  23. I don't like calling out specific posts/threads, I think it's more fun in an "lol aren't we all dumb when we look back five years" sort of vibe. But that's the one I'm thinking of. I remember there being a chart with Harper vs. Castro surplus value comparison. Edit: Alright fine fun starts here. http://www.northsidebaseball.com/archive/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=61667&hilit=castro+harper&start=275 I'll even break my "no calling out specific posters" preference to point out that bukie wanted extra prospects thrown in on top of Kershaw to get Castro, only because bukie's always been kind of a dick. Good old hindsight. I don't thinl it's an unreasonable position to not be willing to trade a 22 year old all-star SS on a team-friendly deal for any pitcher straight up, particularly where his prpjections were at the time. Still thinl they traded him for pennies on the dollar, and felt he's gotten a raw deal for the timing of his career (similar to Heyward). And if calling you out repeatedly for your tired contrarian inane horsefeathers over the early Theo years is "being a dick", then, guilty as charged, I guess? You kind of earned it though.
  24. From my FB feed: "Darvish, meh. Probably going to be the next Soriano for the Cubs." To which I can't even begin to dissect the wrong. Like, so wrong, it circles back again to right.
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