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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. bukie
    Last year on this date, the Cards were 24-30. This year, they're 35-25. What personnel changes have prompted the 8-game turnaround? They replaced Kip Wells and Anthony Reyes in the rotation with a rejuvenated Todd Wellemeyer and Kyle Lohse. Braden Looper is 7-4 despite an 83 ERA+ and a 5.03 ERA. Offensively, they switched out Scott Rolen for Troy Glaus, David Eckstein for Cesar Izturis, Jim Edmonds for Rick Ankiel, and Juan Encarnacion for Ryan Ludwick. Really, their only clear upgrade thus far has been Edmonds for Ankiel, although Ludwick is outperforming even the most optimistic projections by about double. The longer they hang around, though, the less likely that it is all a fluke. Maybe Wellemeyer is that much better than Wells. Maybe Ludwick does have more power than Pujols....nah....
  2. bukie
    So, is it too early for me to make the "What's gotten into the Cardinals?" thread? They D-backs were 20-8 at the start of this thread, and have gone 12-19 since.
  3. bukie
    The magic number to shoot for is to win 6 of every 10 games for the year. Any team that can do that consistently will finish the year 97-65. Right now, the Cubs are actually ahead of that pace. If they win 6 of every 10 for the rest of the year, they will finish 100-62. If the Cubs can do that, I don't think it'll matter what any other team does. The Cubs should at least make the playoffs.
  4. bukie
    agreed Corollary: The phrase "Ballgame" should not be uttered until the final out is recorded. Sheesh. You guys take all the fun out of game threads. What's next, no "XXX just hit a homer," no "nameresult," no posting of observations that are then completely debunked by a quick baseball-reference link? What's left? BTW, Braves lead Marlins 3-2 in the fifth. If Atlanta wins, Cubs are 6.5 games clear of the wild card. I don't know the numbers, but I'm pretty sure Mark DeRosa is bad in clutch situations. Oh, and Tony Gwynn just hit an inside-the-park homer because his flyball to left field was just Sorianowned.
  5. bukie
    agreed Corollary: The phrase "Ballgame" should not be uttered until the final out is recorded.
  6. bukie
    Even more concerning are his numbers in games where he's blown a save: 5 IP 7 H 6 ER 5 BB/HB/IBB 2.40 WHIP 10.80 ERA .300 AVG/.440 OBP/.700 SLG/1.140 OPS 0 Saves 4 Blown Saves Save % -∞
  7. bukie
    Next year every NHL team will play every other NHL team. This year wasn't the case (and many, many people complained about it). Even in the NBA, though, the schedules are hardly balanced. Even funnier than the schedule argument is Selig's argument of "Well, it's nice to know ahead of time where to reserve hotels and such for the World Series, and that's why we can't just let whichever team that has the best record get HFA" that he tried to pull a couple years ago.
  8. bukie
    Lilly's pitching style (super flyball pitcher, lots of pitches up) would seem to be custom-fit for this park, so it would be really nice to get another win. Would it be too much to ask to win a game by, say, 5 runs this time, though?
  9. bukie
    ugh, i hate this line of reasoning. it's innings that matter, not days. This is true. A starter will always affect more innings than a reliever if they are starting every 5 days and giving an average of 5 innings a start. Not even Marmol is on a 162 inning pace.
  10. bukie
    According to Will Carroll, the Braves are holding a press conference today to announce that John Smoltz is done for the season due to soreness and swelling after his last relief outing.
  11. bukie
    It was somewhat explainable for the world series cause the teams played a different set of opponents all year. That's the same scenario in every sport, though. Record-based HFA makes a lot more sense than "winner of the All-Star game" HFA. Only the NFL does things differently, because it's a single game at a neutral site. Now, if baseball decided on a seven-game series all at a neutral site, then maybe it'd be acceptable.
  12. bukie
    As I mentioned earlier the West had HFA in '85 as well. '85 was an oddball year for some reason. That was the first year the CS was 7 games, so perhaps it had something to do with that.
  13. bukie
    and your point is....? his point is that Wood is terrible in the narrow range of made up situations he has invented to prove his point You know, on days where Wood blows saves, his stats look terrible. He's even 0 for 4 on save opportunities in those situations.
  14. bukie
    The lights thing is a myth. HFA alternated between West and East back then. I wanna say 85 was the first year they switched to best record. Not true. '84 was the East's year for HFA, but they didn't let the Cubs have it because they couldn't have any night games. '89 was still alternating, and that year was the West's turn (The Cubs finished 93-69, while the Giants finished 92-70, but the Giants got HFA). Wrong on both accounts. '82's NLCS went 2 in St. Louis, then 1 in Atlanta(setup was 2-3). '83's went 2 in LA, then 2 in Philly(again 2-3). '89 went 2 in Chicago, 3 in San Francisco(set up was 2-3-2) I can't really figure out how HFA was determine after '84 as the West had it in '85 and '86, both years with inferior overall records. Head to head maybe? It was still alternating up until the wildcard was added (switch to three divisions) in '95 (well, '94, but '94 didn't have playoffs). I forgot about the 2-3-2 format, I just remembered the clincher was in SF, and apparently am just too familiar with the NBA style 7-game format. Even years gave the West HFA, odd years gave the East HFA.
  15. bukie
    That does not compute. .500 the rest of the way and the team gets 89-90 wins. Maintain their season pace, and the team gets 104 wins, which is an absurd sounding number to me.
  16. bukie
    The lights thing is a myth. HFA alternated between West and East back then. I wanna say 85 was the first year they switched to best record. Not true. '84 was the East's year for HFA, but they didn't let the Cubs have it because they couldn't have any night games. '89 was still alternating, and that year was the West's turn (The Cubs finished 93-69, while the Giants finished 92-70, but the Giants got HFA).
  17. bukie
    The '89 team didn't really kick it into gear until August, and even then they were never really the best team in the league (The A's were completely unstoppable wire-to-wire that year). The '84 team was unbelievable after the Sutcliffe trade, and were the best team in the NL by a decent bit, but got robbed of HFA because Wrigley didn't have lights. However, the Tigers were completely unstoppable that year. So, this is probably the first time in about 40 years where the Cubs were arguably the best team in the league this late in the year.
  18. bukie
    Heh, Brewers have won 8 of 9 and lost a game in the standings. That's got to be a little disheartening.
  19. bukie
    El Presidente (Dennis Martinez) pitched for a long time, didn't he?
  20. bukie
    Not that it matters much, but the Cards play the Nats at 6:10 tonight (not the Pirates) . . . but I still agree with your plan! It's June 3rd. You don't make in game decisions based on what is happening in another game. wait . . . what? What does this (clearly sarcastic idea) have to do with the date? Can I make in-game decisions based on what is happening in another game on a date other than June 3rd??? I'd say if it were, for example, October 3rd, and a Cardinals loss clinches the division for the Cubs, then I'd be willing to let that game's result determine whether to leave Marquis out there for 9 innings.
  21. bukie
    How about "Cubs can't count on Carlos closing consistently, 'cause Marmol makes me mad"
  22. bukie
    Good news is that the Padres scored more than half their runs for the week tonight and the Cubs still won.
  23. bukie
    Heh, I haven't even started a game thread since then. I'm the Mark Prior of NSBB.
  24. bukie
    I can safely say yes. If the Cubs were 52-5, I'd be saying they were the luckiest team ever.
  25. bukie
    above .500 (4/7) on this west coast trip should be considered success. with the Cubs 14-2 against the western division, and the roll they're on, I expect nothing less that 6 of 7. I expect nothing less than 3-4 this road trip. They may be 14-2 against the western division, but 14 of those 16 games were at home. 4-3 would be considered mild success, anything beyond that would be really nice.
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