bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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Yeah, I would. What's the difference between St. Louis and Xavier that is worth 13 places on the S-Curve? St. Louis didn't start a brawl that got half their team suspended for 6 games. They're basically even if you take that out, but since it was their own fault, I'm tempted to leave both as they are. I don't think St. Louis's seed is far out of line.
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As far as overseeded, I still think Temple is slightly overseeded, and UNLV is more overseeded.
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For tomorrow, we just have to put together a legitimate bracket and finalize the S-Curve. No submissions, just finish a bracket and compare to the real one.
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I'd be willing to argue that Memphis and New Mexico are criminally underseeded in our S-Curve (meaning that they should be about 10 spots higher). I'm also willing to listen to an argument that they shouldn't, but both have great numbers and won regular season titles for decent conferences, and won their tournament championships with ease. In terms of team quality, both are performing as top 20 teams (despite not doing so earlier in the year).
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Stage 5 results: The completed S-Curve: If the Bonnies win tomorrow, they'll be placed below Colorado in the S-Curve, and Drexel would be bumped out.
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I'm also now convinced SSR is just trying to actively sabotage Memphis by putting them last in every list.
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My rankings: Middle 16: Memphis (C-USA) St Louis New Mexico (MWC) Cincinnati Kansas State Purdue Texas Gonzaga Virginia California Alabama Notre Dame Iowa State Connecticut San Diego State Southern Miss Precarious 16: Miami NC State Drexel Seton Hall BYU South Florida Tennessee Northwestern Colorado (Pac-12) Arizona St Bonaventure Mississippi Washington Massachusetts Mississippi State Cal-Santa Barbara
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And their earlier win over UNC was by 33. I'm high on FSU If they beat UNC tomorrow, could they get Temple's four seed? 4 wins over teams in the top 8 is really impressive. Louisville is in the mix as well.
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My thoughts for seeding differ on my thoughts for getting into the tournament. For me, getting into the tournament is about measuring achievement, and seeding in the tournament is about capability. Or, in other words, what you've done gets you in, and what you can do gets you seeded. So, for getting into the tournament, I'm all about the RPI criteria, SOS, records vs. top 25/50/100, bad losses, road/neutral records, etc. For my seeding, though, I go strictly off of predictive measures that take into account victory margin. Specifically, Sagarin predictor, Pomeroy ratings, Massey MOV ratings and TeamRankings predictive ratings. I throw everyone's rating for each formula into a spreadsheet, average them, and boom, there's my ranking, save some subjectivity for teams playing with/without injured players.
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Sunday games: A-10: Xavier-St. Bonaventure - Bid stolen if Bonnies win ACC: UNC-Florida State Big Ten: MSU-OSU SEC: Vandy-Kentucky
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The answer being "Because Ohio State spent a long time coasting this season".
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Lamar wins the Southland.
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To fix the Duke-UNC region issue, we can swap Duke and Missouri (Missouri keeps the Omaha pod against the Southland, Duke keeps the Greensboro pod against Lehigh). To fix the rematch problem: switch Indiana to a Nashville pod and Georgetown to a Portland pod, IU plays the Pac-12 winner, Temple plays the NC State-BYU winner, Creighton plays the Drexel-South Florida winner, Louisville plays VCU, Miami gets bumped up to an 11 and plays Florida, and Long Beach gets bumped down to a 12 and plays UNLV. Yeah, it gets complicated.
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From the NCAA selection rules: - No more than one team from a conference may be seeded in the same grouping of four in line Nos. 1-4 and 13-16 in a region, unless a conference has four or more teams seeded in line Nos. 1-4. In line Nos. 5-12, two teams from the same conference may be placed in the same group of four. So, it can happen when there are four or more teams in a conference on the 1-4 line. Since UNC and Duke are the only ACC teams on the 1-4 line, they should be separated. The issue with switching NC State into the other first four game is that it's also the same region as UNC/Duke.
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Norfolk State wins the MEAC. St. Bonaventure beat UMass to make the A-10 final against the St. Louis-Xavier winner.
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i guess it just depends on whether he is a franchise QB. if he is, that's worth paying a really heavy price. but he has to be great to make this trade worth it. He pretty much has to be an elite type of QB for this to make sense. And the problem I have with this trade is that RG3's chances of that just aren't high enough. He's a really terrific talent, but he's still not the type of sure thing Luck is or Peyton was. He's definitely Mark Sanchez material, though, and that guy is paid like one of the elite QBs in football.
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I also noticed UNC and Duke are in the same region now. Some fixes will be needed... EDIT: Anyone can have at it if they want. Here are the stipulations: - No two teams from the same conference in top 4 seeds in the same region. Except for the Big Ten, which has 5 teams in that group, and those teams in the same region should be on opposite sides of the region (a 1/4 with a 2/3) - No home court disadvantage for top 5 seeds in the first two rounds (so a 4/5 game shouldn't provide any sort of home court advantage) - No rematches in the first two rounds - Competitive balance should be as equal as possible among the top 4 seeds (so if you add the S-Curve ranks of each top 4 seed in the region, they should be fairly equal region to region) - BYU has to be set up in a Thurs-Sat pod in a Thurs-Sat region. Because BYU is special.
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Memphis won the C-USA. Forget about Marshall.
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New bracket! I made a few slight adjustments to the existing S-Curve: - UNC moved above Kansas, so they go to the St. Louis bracket instead of the West/Phoenix bracket nobody wants. - IU shifted down slightly and Wisconsin shifted up slightly, so Wisconsin bumps up to the 3 line and IU bumps down to the 2 line after Wisconsin won a semi-road game against Indiana. It bumps Baylor/Marquette/Michigan up slightly as well. Baylor and Marquette stay in the same location/pod, while Michigan gets upgraded to Columbus, Wisconsin to Louisville, and IU bumped out to Portland. - Temple gets the last 4 spot - Davidson gets shifted around slightly to account for what we like to call "The BYU problem", since they need to be in Thurs/Sat slots for any potential games. http://i.imgur.com/AWwUQ.png Updated S-Curve: S-Curve (top 24, bottom 28):
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If I am reading this rule right, I don't think Kansas can drop to a #2 in favor of Michigan State/Ohio State: The Big XII only has three teams on the 1-4 lines, so Kansas and Missouri can't end up on the same line. The same goes for North Carolina/Duke in the ACC. So that basically ensures that one of Kansas/Missouri will get a 1, and the same for North Carolina/Duke (as long as nobody falls to the 3 seed line, which is unlikely and in the case of the Big XII Baylor is sitting there already anyway). Am I interpreting that correctly? Actually, what it's saying is that you can't put two 1-4 teams from the same conference in the same region unless there are more than four 1-4 teams from a conference (so, the Big Ten). There can be two of the same seed in the same conference, though.
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It's still early, but I don't believe the C-USA is in danger of stealing an at-large bid.
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Despite Cal not having any top 60 wins, they're 9-7 vs the top 100, which compared to the bottom of the bubble is safely clear of it, sadly enough.
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I don't really see Syracuse falling below #2, the gap between UK/Syracuse and everyone else was pretty sizeable as well, and KU was the #3. As far as KU slipping to #4, that's perfectly reasonable, but then again I had them #4 already. We could potentially re-vote the top 8 again based on further tourney results, but a potential OSU-MSU title game isn't going to be finished until 5 minutes before the selection show anyway.
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The Jets just signed Mark Sanchez to a 5 year, $58.25 million dollar extension that makes him the 7th highest paid QB in football. 20.5 million guaranteed over the next two years.
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If any curious people want to read up on the actual selection rules, the NCAA actually posted them here.
