I think Boston matches up better with Miami than the Bulls, mostly due to the thin frontcourt not hurting them as much in the matchup, and Boston's defensive ability to limit Miami's transition. I'd still give Chicago and Miami a 75% chance each at reaching the conference finals regardless. As for the rest of the East: - Indiana, to me, is the kind of team that has no business losing their first round matchup, and no business winning their second round matchup. Whoever they catch in the first round, they'll beat in 5-6, and whichever of the Bulls/Heat they catch in the second round, they'll lose in 5-6. - Atlanta is only winning in the first round if they face Orlando, otherwise they're not making it out of the first round. - Orlando is only interesting if they somehow get Miami, which is either going to take a serious nose dive from them over the next two weeks to drop to 7, or they'd have to win their first-round matchup. If they bring it 100% every night, I think their best chance is against Boston aside from Miami, but their composition of Dwight plus shooters is a matchup nightmare for the Heat if they can catch them. - Philly should be better than they are, but they've been just plain terrible the past three weeks. They're excellent at blowing out bad teams, which inflates their overall statistical ratings, but I don't think they're a threat against a playoff team, especially with their troubles down the stretch of games. They'll be lucky to steal two games in their first round series. - New York, I just don't get the appeal. They'd have to get insanely lucky to win two games, and even to take a game from Miami/Chicago they'd need to play well all-around.