The Cubs have eliminated the Braves from NL Wild Card contention. The Cubs are now 99.6% to make the playoffs, with the Nats 0.3% and Giants 0.1% to snag the wild card. The Cubs are now 10 times more likely to win the division than miss the playoffs.
Unsustainably good things can happen for 140 games, even across a whole team. Two years ago there were lots of Cardinals fans trying to explain their RISP hitting by crediting the approach, but not so much when it regressed the next year. But yes, please tell Cubs fans more about how insecure they are in a game thread with a rival team on a Cubs website. I'm not sure the level of condescension he's been displaying is sustainable.
then we're back to the too man IF problem i really really am going ot have a hard time trusting castro ever again especially after he looked legitimately improved last year and then pulled this [expletive] I read a pretty amazing article about his struggles and how much they were do to being pitched differently and being slow to adjust. I can't find a link now though.
Probably yeah, we lose that game and we're creeping very close to .500 and at that point all confidence is gone Only for you, since you lose confidence when the Cubs bring in a new reliever to a 6-1 game.
Maybe I'm missing what you meant but the Giants series didn't start until August 6th. We won on the 29th too (Lester 14 K game I was at), so since that ugly Beeler start vs. the Rockies (that I was also at unfortunately) to drop to 52-47, it's 27-10. BREWERS was the first four gamer. They were 2.5 games behind the Giants going into the Brewers series.
On the morning of July 30, going into a 4 game set against the Giants, the Cubs were 53-47, 2.5 games behind the 56-45 Giants for the second wild card. Since then, the Cubs have gone 26-10 while the Giants have gone 15-22.
Man how much more do we have to do to get to 99.9%? Fangraphs remains convinced that Washington is a .620 winning percentage ball club. Fangraphs isn't factoring Matt Williams into their calculations. EDIT: Fangraphs redid their calculations again. 98.8% to make the playoffs and 2.3% to win the division.