Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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Yeah, this is about what I expected from you. -
He did exactly what he was supposed to do on a hit and run... put the ball on the ground. Can't fault him for that one at all.
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Z's control was a lot tighter that inning.
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Should we be worried about the Brewers?
Rob replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in General Baseball Talk
2008 Cubs: Actual W-L: 97-64 Pythag. W-L: 98-63 2008 Brewers: Actual W-L: 90-72 Pythag. W-L: 87-75 http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/?ymd=20081027 Tell me again who overachieved and who underachieved. I read his argument to mean individuals overachieved or underachieved compared to their projections... which isn't something that would show up in a pythag. -
The important thing to stress is that the Rays get six years of service time out of him unless they decide otherwise... through being traded, non-tendered, waived, etc... He has 2 years and 126 days of service time right now. He's likely a FA after 2012.
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Should we be worried about the Brewers?
Rob replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in General Baseball Talk
That's not entirely true. There is a minor expected bump in the right direction for people who have surpassed their career numbers by very large margins. Can you point to any published work on this? I'm extremely dubious that a regression study conducted honestly (without cherrypicking) would have any predictive value. It was from a BP article at the end of spring training a few seasons ago. I could pull the article, but I'm far too lazy to do all that work for a "oh, okay." Rest assured, it was just a very minor bump for players who had absolutely ridiculous ST numbers. -
Should we be worried about the Brewers?
Rob replied to Little Slide Rooter's topic in General Baseball Talk
That's not entirely true. There is a minor expected bump in the right direction for people who have surpassed their career numbers by very large margins. That said, I'm still not terribly concerned. -
I'd imagine his head is on the pike for the benefit of somebody else in the system. Was there anybody who showed up in bad enough shape this year that they required a scare put in them?
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I'd still have much rather had Freddi Gonzalez than Lou.
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Now here's somebody potentially useful we could add.
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Personally I'm inclined to agree that it's a wash. But I'm not above citing the numbers just to stop the stupid argument dead in its tracks.
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I love seeing the argument that speed on first base distracts the pitcher. Studies have shown that it distracts the batter too, generally causing them to do worse (though not by a terribly significant amount). The bulk of the value in speed comes from taking the extra base on a hit, and in extended fielding range. Net SB value is usually quite low, even for the most prolific of baserunners. Speed can certainly be a valuable tool for a player to have. But it is a secondary tool... closer in value to crowding the plate and being able to get a bunt down than it is to hitting or fielding in all but the most extreme of circumstances.
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That's absurd. "I know no arbitrator on earth would give me this contract, but I'm asking for it." "Sounds great!"
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I really can't imagine this decision having that much of a financial impact on him. I realize how contracts these days are working, but if he takes a hit because he is not recording saves, he needs a new agent. If he stays healthy and effective until free agency, I expect him to get a huge contract regardless of saves. you can't be serious. closers, with their high saves totals, get paid and get paid well. setupmen, not so much. So your saying that scouts and general managers won't realize that Marmol is one of the best, young arms in the league and they wont give him huge contract offers simply because he is not recording saves? Even if he doesn't have 1 save from now, till the time he hits free agency, I would expect his 1st free agency contract be be near market value for elite closers. Teams will be lining up to get Marmol when he hits free agency. Hopefully its a non-issue and we have extended him by that time. FA has nothing to do with it. Save totals absolutely will effect what kind of money he gets paid during his arb-eligible years.
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Let's wait a year on that. Gregg being the closer for us pretty much guarantees he enters next offseason as a Type A free agent... one we aren't likely to bring back. I certainly wont be crying when this move nets us a couple high draft picks.
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Dumb Trade Ideas Thread
Rob replied to Wrigley Rat's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I might be the only person on earth who doesn't mind having Joey Gathright on the roster. As long as Lou doesn't let him hold a bat very often, he can be quite useful as a pinch runner or fielder. -
god youre annoying. what the hell is the point of a post like this? And this one?
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Demp, Heilman and Ascanio looked great today. Harden relied heavily on the offspeed stuff, and seemed to be working around 92.
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Esmailin has had a great spring. Hope he is a starter with Iowa come April. He looked excellent out there today. The Royals batters barely even put up a fight.
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Yup. I know Jimmy Anderson was sent back to us to complete the trade where we sent him to Boston. That was back in 2004, I believe.
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Gary Matthews Jr., Vernon Wells, Eric Byrnes, and Carlos Silva are pretty terrible contracts. And the Chris Carpenter extension was boneheaded as well, though not because of the years or money.
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That's not to say he shouldn't have been more patient. Essentially benching him at the end of the season, when we already had everything locked up... there was no point to that.
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I think its pretty clear from this quote that I wasnt happy with his performance hence the qualifier "as a pitcher." I dont see how that is remotely about his personality. However, I do think that he does wilt when the pressure is on stats can support that. See the Arizona playoff game for a prime example and batting avg against in certain counts. Either way because I think he is mentally weak has nothing to do with a personal attack on him. There is obvious reason to think so and I am clearly not the only one You must have one heck of a man-crush on Rich Hill or you are a relative because this is ridiculous. And Rich Hill must have slept with your sister. You're going out of your way to come up with ridiculous (read: worthless) arguments about his mental state. BAA in certain counts? Are you serious? That's half a step above attacking him for HBPs on Wednesdays.
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Whoa
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Sold
