BigbadB

By the way, HUGE THANKS to Bruce Miles for helping to spread the word. If OBP never left NSBB (not that we actually invented this important stat or anything), our message would probably go unheard. That it is being published in newspapers almost weekly is the one true way to educate more fans and maybe even a few front office guys. Maybe even a few Trib shareholders. Wouldn't it be great if a couple of Trib execs waltzed into Hendry's office and laid my spread sheet from above on Hendry's desk and started asking for some answers? My one big problem is that even though you can find it in print now (thanks to Bruce once again), why isn't Hendry being asked these tough questions? Why isn't he being shown these stats and forced to answer?

ESPN.com is blocked where they work? Good point. It's exactly where I got all of my information. I moved some stuff around and did some basic adding and percentage calculating, but it was all taken from the ESPN stats pages. Last time I looked, I wasn't the only one granted access to this secret society that is ESPN. LOL.

By the way, if anyone would like to copy my statistical analysis above and flood Hendry's in box with it, be my guest. :wink:

St. Louis: 675 hits + 233 BB + 33 HBP= 941 baserunners Cincinnati: 649 hits + 301 BB + 27 HBP= 977 baserunners Houston: 641 hits + 254 BB + 31 HBP= 926 baserunners Milwaukee: 644 hits + 234 BB + 34 HBP= 912 baserunners Chicago: 629 hits + 171 BB + 19 HBP= 819 baserunners Pittsburgh: 661 hits + 221 BB + 39 HBP= 921 baserunners St. Louis: 941 baserunners= 360 runs= 38% of baserunners score Cincinatti: 977 baserunners= 366 runs= 37% of baserunners score Houston: 926 baserunners= 337 runs= 36% of baserunners score Milwaukee: 912 baserunners= 340 runs= 37% of baserunners score Chicago: 819 baserunners= 290 runs= 35% of baserunners score Pittsburgh: 921 baserunners= 338 runs= 36% of baserunners score I did this with just the NL Central, but I could sit here and do it with every team in MLB, and the Cubs would be dead last in baserunners. And it's because their dead last in baserunners that coincides with being dead last in runs scored. They actually rank 22nd in hits. But, dead last in walks. That tells me that at least the other lousy hitting teams 23rd-30th in hits know that they suck, and at least value walks much more than the Cubs. Is the real problem timely hitting? While it can't be discounted completely, it is nowhere near the problem Dusty and Hendry make it out to be. The Cubs have the lowest percentage in their division at bringing home baserunners, but not by a huge amount. Significant is that Cincinnati has had 158 more baserunners than the Cubs. Only one team in the NL Central has less than 100 more baserunners than the Cubs, and not by much (Milwaukee). Looking back at the stats, the team that has had the most baserunners in this division has scored the most runs. The team with the 2nd most baserunners in this division has scored the 2nd most runs. Looks like better timely hitting has given Milwaukee a slight edge in runs scored over Houston and Pittsburgh, but the edge is insignificant. What is significant is that the Cubs aren't even in the discussion. They are pathetically horrible at getting runners on base, which explains why they are nearly 40 runs off the pace from the 2nd worst offense in that division. A 2nd worse offense that has next to nothing offensively outside of Jason Bay and a red hot Freddy Sanchez. Yet, Pittsburgh has drawn 50 more walks than the Cubs. Cubs are dead last in the league in baserunners and dead last in runs scored. IT IS NOT JUST A COINCIDENCE, HENDRY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The Bucs are letting us down :wink: Just kidding ... no matter how bad things get I will never, ever root against the Cubs or hope they finish in last. I think I'm in the minority on this board in that respect... :oops: I said that once myself. However, if losing would mean changes, I'm all for it. If 81-81 means more status quo, no thanks.

A year from now if he's putting up a .254/.315/.427 line (his 2004 numbers) we'd love to just see him dumped. His solid 2006 numbers make it more possible to get rid of him. If you think he's capable of maintaining these numbers, I understand not wanting to dump him. But if you believe his career path indicates this won't last long, you'd be more than willing to just get rid of him. But any trade of Jones is going to be more than a salary dump. Hendry would get back something for Jones or else he wouldn't trade him. Also, even if Hendry was able to dump Jones's contract there is little hope that he'd be able to wisely apply the money saved on a solid improvement. Exactly.

Agreed. However, they obtained him in what I would call a salary dump. :D

It's fine by me to have another hole to fill. Jones does not fit what the Cubs need. If someone is willing to take him off the Cubs hands, I applaud that deal. Unfortunately, I have no faith in Hendry to actually do it.

I think KC just used him wrong. It was great that they could make use of him in their bullpen last year, but once he was no longer required to stay on the 25 man roster, they should have sent him down to AA or AAA to stretch him back out into a starter once again. Just my opinion.

He's just trying to stay optimistic. There's nothing wrong with that.

I can't stand the guy either, but that article is pretty much on the money. They probably will make Dusty the scapegoat, but MacPhail and Hendry also need to go.

Agreed. Timely hitting and GIDP factor into the overall picture. Considering how many GIDP's the Cubs have with how few actual baserunners they have than other teams, I wouldn't doubt that it's a record setting pace. I have no idea why this organization continues to ignore this problem. They must not want to own up to their mistakes and look bad. The funny thing is, they are looking bad by sitting there and doing nothing.

The 1980 Cubs had these numbers: .251 AVG/ .309 OBP/ .365 SLG The 2006 Cubs have these numbers so far: .259 AVG/ .311 OBP/ .394 SLG The 1980 Cubs scored 614 runs on their way to a 68-94 season. The 2006 Cubs will be lucky to score 614 runs and they maybe lucky to win 68 games. Oh, here are the names of that great 1980 Cub team: Tim Blackwell, Bill Buckner, Mike Tyson, Mike Vail, Scot Thompson, Lenny Randle, Ivan DeJesus and Jerry Martin.

The importance of OBP does slap them in the face everyday. For the month of April, the Cubs had a batting average more than 20 points higher than their opponents (.256 to .235). The Cubs had 19 more hits than their opponents that month. The opponents scored more runs than the Cubs. (112 to 109). For the month of May, the Cubs batting average slipped to .248. However, the opponents AVG was only .249. The Cubs had more hits in the month of May than their opponents (243 to 240). The Cubs were outscored in the month of May 151 to 93. That's almost a 60 run difference. So far in June, the Cubs are actually hitting the ball pretty well. For the month, they have a .282 AVG. The opponents have a .280 AVG. The Cubs have had 4 more hits than their opponents, but have been outscored 91 to 77. If you go through the entire 2005 season month by month, you'll see the same pattern. That pattern is where this organization falls flat on their face. The refusal to acknowledge the importance of a walk. As a team, they have drawn a base on balls 166 times this year. They are on pace to draw less than 350 for a full season. I wonder what the record is for least amount of walks in an entire season? That has to be right there among the worst walk rates in history. Meanwhile, the opponents are walking AND scoring runs when they play the Cubs. They've walked 294 times already. They are on pace to walk over 600 times, and may just double the Cubs output and walk closer to 700 times for the year. No, it's not "just" about the walk. The Cubs are being outslugged as well. But, not at the significant rate that opponents get on base and score runs on the whole. Many walks turn into runs. Ask our pitching staff. It's honestly smacking them in the face everyday, yet they pretend that it is not a problem. The only way to fix this problem is to get rid of those people who fail to recognize it as a problem. How well would Dale Earnhardt Jr. do in a NASCAR race if he pulled a couple of spark plugs out of his engine before the race? That's what Dusty has done with this offense. And just to exaggerate his stupidity, he bats one of the worst offenders at the very top of the line up, assuring he makes even more outs with those extra at bats. Utter stupidity.

Yet? They have never adjusted the right way, period. They don't even realize the problem and it's been smacking them in the face everyday the entire time Hendry and Baker have been in charge.

Hendry has done the most damage.

So, you are about to hit pay dirt on the free agent market. Your value couldn't be any higher. Do you? A. Sign an extension with a team you just got traded to? B. Let 30 teams attempt to outbid each other? So, a crappy, poorly run organization like the Cubs has this illusion that they are just 1 good player away from turning things around, so they trade off most of their farm for a guy like Soriano. Keeping in mind the Cubs are one of the most futile organizations in any sport, do you? A. Sign an extension to play on a team that may never be competitive? B. Let 30 teams attempt to outbid each other, and choose one of the teams that has the best chance of reaching the World Series some day? Zito? The dude loves to surf. Expect him to sign with San Diego or LA next year. Trading for him and giving him an extension will require lying to him about the size of the waves on Lake Michigan. :wink:

I guess it depends on what shade of lipstick satan is wearing. I have read enough to know that satan is passionate and not the horned, red skinned demon looking thing with a forked tounge and tail. One good looking win last night. It's step number one to the drive toward .500. Last night was the same old song and dance. Nothing is being changed. Great, everybody made contact last night. A team of NSBBers could hit well against ineffective pitching occasionally. Heck, Cubs opponents have been doing it all year, and last night was no exception. The team also only drew 2 walks last night. Until they start showing some patience at the plate and taking some freebies, this team won't amount to squat. Their approach is horrible. With their poor SLG and AVG, they should be doing anything and everything they can to improve their OBP. They should be doing everything they can to knock pitchers out of games earlier with high pitch counts.

Darn that Figgins!

Matt Cain with a no hitter thru 7. 112 pitches already, though. Dilemma time for Felipe.

I could have sworn that Rolen's top two choices were the Cubs and Cardinals.

I'd keep Speier, because you need someone to take over as the interim manager. This gives him an opportunity to be evaluated. Let him call a few of his buddies to fill in at the other coaching positions. It may be tough finding someone to fill the manager's position midseason, and it's not like anyone could do anything positive with this current mess anyway.

No [deleted] the building can't pitch, etc. And I'm not making excuses for bad baseball, etc. You are missing my point. Recap: The reason why the Tribune/MacPhail aren't motivated to win is because people happily flood Wrigley Field simply because it's Wrigley Field. And the Tribune/MacPhail have absolutely no motivation to put a winning team on the field because Wrigley continues to sell out and be extremely profitiable for the Tribune. Thus I have a love/hate for Wrigley because I want a World Series right now!!!! No cussing, please!

Yeah. Not sure if you saw a post I made in another thread, but if they fired Dusty and paid 1m for his replacement, they'd have 3m right there to spend on scouting in the DR, Japan, Venezuela, PR, South Korea and Mexico. I'm quite certain that a manager making 1m could do what Dusty is doing for the Cubs at 4m.

Brenly?