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1908

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Everything posted by 1908

  1. And Darvish is starting for Japan. AAAAAHHHHH!!!!!
  2. Team Japan playing the Cubs. Z starting. No TV or Radio. The baseball gods obviously hate me.
  3. Part-time Cubs scout Aaron Shinsano shared some perspective on scouting today. I really enjoyed reading it. Figured I'd share. http://eastwindupchronicle.com/diving-into-spring/
  4. I guess it depends on how many tickets you're buying. If you're buying 20 tickets and Ticket Master charges an extra $10 per ticket in fees, you'd save $200 buying them in person for instance. Being charged face value is one of the main reasons I've kept my season tickets.
  5. Can't you do that buying online? I'm pretty sure Ticket Master charges extra fees for tickets purchased online.
  6. You get to pay face value for the tickets?
  7. PER adjusts for pace.
  8. He's not this year but his 27.61 PER last year was good enough for third best in the NBA.
  9. The Cubs offered me a chance to buy tickets but I declined. I'll probably watch it on TV but I'm not enough of a hockey fan to brave Wrigley in January. It's cold enough in April.
  10. I have a semi-related question, that came up when me and a friend were arguing about Dayan Viciedo. When an international players signs his first big league contract, do the service time rules apply? (ie he is under organizational control for 6 years [or whatever it is]) Ex. In 2012 when this three year deal is up, is Tazawa still under Red Sox control? Service-time rules apply, but high-profile free agents from Japan often have language added to their contracts that requires the team to release them after their initial contact is up -- effectively making them free agents sooner.
  11. Agreed. Plesac was terrible in the play-by-play role -- worse than Joe Carter bad. How can you be so right and so wrong in the same post?
  12. I've learned better than to argue with you.
  13. http://eastwindupchronicle.com/couple-of-new-korean-cubs/
  14. So you don't think the three year averages become less "skewed" when you factor in the 2005 data? I think it lends support to Meph's analysis. That said, I think you and Meph are arguing over semantics. You both exaggerated a bit to make your point, and you both agree that Iwamura and Fukudome are not similar players -- and I agree with that.
  15. So what are your thoughts now that you have access to accurate data?
  16. Um, no, I'm not. http://japanesebaseball.com/players/player.jsp?PlayerID=993 146 Ks for Iwamura in 618 PAs in 2005. That's 23.6%, right?
  17. 12.1% in 2005? Kosuke walked 93 times in 612 PAs that year, a little over 15%. Where are you getting your numbers? Mine are from http://japanesebaseball.com/players/player.jsp?PlayerID=1064
  18. The year after that outlier year he struck out in 24% of his at bats. So in his last three seasons in Japan -- the three years that his power jumped significantly -- Iwamura stuck out around 20% of the time in one of the seasons. In his final three years in Japan, Kosuke walked 15%, 13% and 20% of the time. I think his patience at the plate was improving toward the end of his career. I'm not a fan of career numbers for the same reasons you are normally, and I don't think the 3-year data is as skewed as you paint it to be.
  19. Are you looking at their career numbers? Over their last three seasons in Japan, Iwamura struck out in ~24% of his PAs and walked in ~11%, and Fukudome struck out in ~19% of his PAs and walked in ~15%.
  20. Good stuff. Thanks for sharing. An odd coincidence -- Kouske played for the Chunichi Dragons.
  21. It's difficult to improve upon the for arguments presented by Bill James on pages 541-542 of his Historical Baseball Abstract. http://books.google.com/books?id=mUzTJ4-8N0EC&pg=RA1-PA542&lpg=RA1-PA542&dq=ron+santo+essay+bill+james+historical+baseball+abstract&source=web&ots=UEjgbOleUz&sig=GTrIC9IAsfztYEBoZSGqhAf17xc&hl=en&sa=X&oi=book_result&resnum=4&ct=result#PRA1-PA541,M1
  22. Yeah, there's a days-spent-on-the-active-roster minimum for a season to count toward free agency. Just not sure what that is, and games played as a relief pitcher might not indicate the number of days on the active roster as clearly as it would for a starting pitcher or position player. Kosuke had some injury-shortened seasons but he still qualified for free agency after the minimum nine years, for instance.
  23. http://eastwindupchronicle.com/new-barbed-wire-for-the-the-gulag/#more-2579
  24. As a free agent? After the 2009 season would be the earliest, assuming he spent enough time on the active roster every season between 2000 and now -- he didn't play in 2001. I suspect it's after the 2010 season. He can be posted sooner, of course, if he and the Tigers agree to do so.
  25. Something warm. It's going to be chilly at the game tonight.
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