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FergieJ31

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Everything posted by FergieJ31

  1. FergieJ31
    Extremely well-written and extremely accurate. It's also quite diplomatic and charitable regarding Dusty's role in this mess, especially this section: The truth is more severe than this, as we all know. Neyer almost seems to suggest Dusty is merely an enabler and not the guy who said "walks clog bases". Nonetheless, Neyer is absolutely spot on when he implies the Cubs problems will not go away when they get a new manager.
  2. FergieJ31
    Ozzy Ozbourne The Guy that sang Louie Louie Eddie Vedder Bill Cosby "He's got Brain Damage you see!" Any member of the Rolling Stones - that SNL skit with Mike Myers as Ron Wood is a hoot.
  3. FergieJ31
    I agree. People used to say Harry should retire in his last few years on the air. Logic and possibly even good taste were on their side of the argument then too, but it doesn't make it the right thing to do. I don't care if Ron grunts and wails and tends to speak in incomplete sentences. He's the perfect foil for Pat, and it's hard to imagine Pat working with anyone else. They both seem to have an awful lot of fun in the booth even in this dismal season.
  4. FergieJ31
    Those ads are so bad. "Johnny from Schaumberg" probably started the Wave just to spite CJ Reynolds.
  5. FergieJ31
    But he did identify Chicago as one of his favorite cities to "chase tail" (of course, he didn't specify the gender of such tail).
  6. FergieJ31
    Ahhh gotta love the journalistic integrity of the NYPost; never afraid to put out a brazen, titillating front page.
  7. FergieJ31
    So David Justice cheated on Halle Berry, and now Paul LoDuca apparently cheated on this creature (Sonia is on the left, partially obscured by the door and holding a small dog): http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/441753p-372049c.html :shock:
  8. FergieJ31
    This is exactly how I feel too, especially the last line. I was about to post something to that effect, but Tim said it much better than I would have.
  9. FergieJ31
    (moved from Transactions - trading for Freel was wishful thinking before but it's really wishful thinking after tonight) He was a one-man wrecking crew tonight - check out the video on http://cincinnati.reds.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/index.jsp?c_id=cin click on "Freel's diving catch" .. just phenomenal. Just about every highlight in the game involves Freel; several standing ovations.
  10. FergieJ31
    Earlier this year someone posted a link to this BP site that posts updated playoff probabilities: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php One thing struck me when I glanced at it earlier today: the probability the Cubs make the playoffs is almost exactly the probability the Mets don't make the playoffs.
  11. FergieJ31
    Did you read that article? The gyroball's an urban legend. Certainly not the key to Matsunaka's success. Reminscent of this guy: http://www.museumofhoaxes.com/siddfinch.html Fascinating article. He'd look good in cubbie blue next season, gyroball or not. Edit: Wow, his slider is wicked.
  12. FergieJ31
    Jim Hendry, with glazed eyes and a Homer Simpson voice: "mmm high RISP ... mmm but can he catch the ball ... mmm high RISP but can he catch the ball ..."
  13. FergieJ31
    According to baseball reference.com he played 14 games at LF in 2003, made 1 error. I'd certainly take him and his 0.900-0.950 OPS for LF even if he is a butcher there.
  14. FergieJ31
    .. well, sorta .. ok, not really lol http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKZVpktzAys&NR apologies to Jake and other Bucs fans. I'm not a Braves fan but this play was just straight-up electrifying; one of the most vivid memories I have of watching post-season baseball.
  15. FergieJ31
    Me too my friend. http://imagecache2.allposters.com/images/pic/adc/10127553A~Kerry-Wood-2003-NLCS-Game-7-Home-Run-Posters.jpg (apparently we can no longer torment ourselves with that electrifying "and Kerry Wood plays long ball!" YouTube.com video)
  16. FergieJ31
    I dimly recall Hendry being asked his opinion on Moneyball on a radio call-in show once -- he might have admitted he didn't read the whole thing (not sure if I recall that correctly), but I remember him saying something perfunctory like "It's an interesting baseball book, and Billy Beane has done a wonderful job for the Oakland A's". Anyone else remember this? It was maybe a year or two ago. I remember thinking that he did not acknowledge or address any of the central themes of that book; the importance of OBP, how to properly value baseball players, the systematic mispricing of baseball talent, etc.
  17. FergieJ31
    There isn't a rule against accepting less to stay. It's not going to happen via arbitration, but could through normal negotiations. Kerry seems pretty adament that he will not be a starter next year, and probably not for at least a couple years, if ever. I do not think many teams would be at all interested in guaranteeing him $5-6m as an experiment. The Cubs have been one of the most aggressive "experiment" teams, in terms of signing risky injured guys to low guarantees/high incentive contracts. Boston tried and failed with Wade Miller. The Yankees did it with Jon Lieber, but the Cubs seem to do it with somebody every year. I could see a team offering more than the Cubs, but I could also see him staying with the Cubs for a little less, out of some sort of duty. $1m is probably not going to do it. $2m guaranteed with $2-4m more in incentives (and even higher incentives for throwing "starter" innings), plus some sort of option/buyout for the following year could get it done. This would be a fair deal for everyone, a good deal for the Cubs and also for Kerry. I hope something like it happens; I'm on the Kerry for Kloser bandwagon.
  18. FergieJ31
    After reading that article it's not hard to imagine the actual conversation between Maddog and his new catcher in the clubhouse: "Ok kid, a few ground rules: Number 1, don't tell when to bury a curve or climb the ladder. I know when to do that. Number 2, I'm not gonna shake off many signs; I'm just gonna throw the pitch I wanna throw even if it's not the one you called. Number 3, Set up early and then don't move. Just give me a target and I'll hit it. I throw it, you catch it. Got it? Good, now let's play poker, how much money do you have?" :lol:
  19. FergieJ31
    Seconded. Schmidt is the only FA pitcher I have any man-love for.
  20. FergieJ31
    Completely agree with every word. And the 2B I wouldn't mind seeing is Ray Durham -- especially if they can package Ronny with a minor league arm for a solid bench player. That high OPS corner OF spot appears to be the most elusive ... at this point, realistically, I think I'd rejoice if it did turn out to be CLee. He's about the best we can hope for, isn't he?
  21. FergieJ31
    Don't say it! I'm not listening! LALALALALA
  22. FergieJ31
    Yes, in 2000 one can't rule out the hypothesis that the Cubs were at a disadvantage in day games: 11-5 at night, 27-38 day. But just one year prior to that, in 1999, we'd have to conclude the opposite: 3-14 night and 31-33 day. Pretty much the same (sucky) Cub team between 1999 and 2000. Doing the year by year comparison is a weak test because of sample size -- it's dodgy and inconclusive. Look, I'm not trying to denigrate anyone's opinion -- everyone can believe what they want -- and I can understand why certain Cub players would complain. But it's simply not true that playing more day games is any sort of systematic disadvantage to the Cubs.
  23. FergieJ31
    So it's a 0.009 difference since 1988? Statistically insignificant. It's less than one standard deviation away from an equal winning pct between day games vs night. One standard deviation of winning pct, after about 1350 games, is about 0.014 (= 0.5/sqrt(1350)). You typically need a 3+ standard deviation diff to argue significance.
  24. FergieJ31
    I'm sure you're right but he's one player; the example is hardly typical. Hawk also played 10 years at Olympic Stadium - classic turf knee. How many stadiums have astroturf these days? Also, you used the phrase "which hurt more". I'm certainly not saying professional baseball isn't hard or painful on the body after 162 games. I'm saying it's not nearly as physically grueling compared to the other major sports, which is why the day games excuse is so pathetic.
  25. FergieJ31
    I was at that game too. Kerry and a few other Cubs were visibly shaken up by that; I'll never forget their body language as they stood over him. Choi was absolutely out cold, didn't move a muscle -- one of the scariest things I've ever seen at a baseball game. In a way that play was a turning point in his career. That said, I'd probably take a flyer on him too -- even if just for nostalgic reasons. I can still hear Wrigley chanting "Hee! Seop! Choi! Hee! Seop! Choi!"
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