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TruffleShuffle

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Everything posted by TruffleShuffle

  1. TruffleShuffle
    Don't factor it into the total salary yet, but word is that Ward's contract is 1 year at $1.05M.
  2. TruffleShuffle
    I hadn't heard anything about money. About $1m is pretty good for a bench threat. It's at the bottom of this article. Obviously Meche went to the Royals, but $1.05M seems kinda precise to just be a number that the author pulled out of thin air. If it's right or even close to right, it's a good value signing.
  3. TruffleShuffle
    note to self - never use Fox Sports' website for statistics.
  4. TruffleShuffle
    Funny how people's perceptions of a player change year by year. I guarantee you after last offseason, most people would have preferred Marquis over Suppan, and just about everyone would have liked Marquis more than Jennings. A word of caution about judging a guy on one year.... We'll post these stats again for your benefit. That says to me that he's had 3 horrible seasons mixed in with 3 average seasons the past 6 years. We're not judging him on one year. We're judging him on the past 6 years of mediocrity or much worse. So 82 is horrible and 127 is average. That makes a lot of sense there, guy.
  5. TruffleShuffle
    Marquis hasn't had one bad year though. At his best, he's been good, at his worst, he's been terrible, overall, he has been bad. Overall, his career ERA+ is 94 and his WHIP is 1.42. That's a little below average, but not bad. Bad is worse than that - i.e., Marshall, Marmol, Rusch, Prior or Guzman last year. And the point about Beltre was that he was judged to be a great player on the basis of one year, that just happened to be the right year (before free agency). People are all over the Jennings bandwagon, but he was basically Gil Meche before a great 2006.
  6. TruffleShuffle
    That SLG isn't right is it? No. Here's what ESPN's 3 year splits say: vs LHP (176 AB): 216/262/301/563 vs RHP (654 AB): 277/340/492/832 So, he's God-awful against LHP but is very solid and has good power against RHP. From what I understand, they paid $1M per year or slightly over that figure. Good signing by Hendry.
  7. TruffleShuffle
    hey this makes me feel better about lilly... $1M less per year, 1 fewer year, and he's better than meche!
  8. TruffleShuffle
    Funny how people's perceptions of a player change year by year. I guarantee you after last offseason, most people would have preferred Marquis over Suppan, and just about everyone would have liked Marquis more than Jennings. A word of caution about judging a guy on one year....
  9. TruffleShuffle
    No Pagan? I'm not saying I'd be upset if he didn't make it, but right now it seems assumed he'll be one of the extra OF.
  10. TruffleShuffle
    boy you don't want to be here very long, do you?
  11. TruffleShuffle
    what about hospital jello jokes?
  12. TruffleShuffle
    I'll be shocked if Soriano isn't at least .340 next year. Shocked? Are you kidding me? Shocked? You'd be shocked if he had an OBP that wasn't higher than his OBP in every season but 2006? I'm shocked any reasonable person would think this way. There's no way a .335 OBP can be a surprise to anybody next season. He showed a huge jump in discipline last year, and will be hitting in a lineup with better players (Lee, Ramirez) behind him. Sosa's OBP jumped from .300 to .373 in a year when he learned how to control the plate, and it didn't go back under .350 until he got old. I'm betting that Soriano figured it out last year - I guess we'll see who's right. Comparing him to Sosa is an absolute waste of time. They aren't even close to the same level. Soriano was barely over .340 last year. For all that discipline, he was still just .351. You'd be shocked by a .011 drop in OBP from a career year? That's just silly. Show me a guy who has doubled his walk total in the same number of games, and who has taken 0.25 more pitches per AB than his career average, and then regressed right back to where he was the next year. Otherwise, I'm sticking with my idea. Hopefully in the pre-season predictions next year, there will be one for Soriano's OBP. You can predict him to be down near his career average, I'll put about .355, and you can be wrong. It'll be fun.
  13. TruffleShuffle
    never thought I'd hear that phrase uh, don't be so sure about that...
  14. TruffleShuffle
    I'll be shocked if Soriano isn't at least .340 next year. Shocked? Are you kidding me? Shocked? You'd be shocked if he had an OBP that wasn't higher than his OBP in every season but 2006? I'm shocked any reasonable person would think this way. There's no way a .335 OBP can be a surprise to anybody next season. He showed a huge jump in discipline last year, and will be hitting in a lineup with better players (Lee, Ramirez) behind him. Sosa's OBP jumped from .300 to .373 in a year when he learned how to control the plate, and it didn't go back under .350 until he got old. I'm betting that Soriano figured it out last year - I guess we'll see who's right.
  15. TruffleShuffle
    so who will be the biggest a-hole in that lineup? Bonds, Pujols or Edmonds? And will umpires need to start wearing earplugs so they don't have to hear the incessant complaining about balls and strikes from those guys? oh yeah, IBL too.
  16. TruffleShuffle
    point and laugh at dayton moore
  17. TruffleShuffle
    I'll be shocked if Soriano isn't at least .340 next year.
  18. TruffleShuffle
    point and laugh at coletti
  19. TruffleShuffle
    no. Yes. Bonds VORP: 46.6 Aramis: 44.5 Bonds WARP: 6.0 Aramis: 5.8 Bonds EQA: .335 Aramis: .294 Bonds Win Shares: 27 Aramis: 23 How does Ramirez have 26 more runs created than Bonds? I'm confused.
  20. TruffleShuffle
    no, please keep that door closed I felt just like that about Suppan but some pointed out his numbers and he wasn't that bad. Post all-star last year he had a 2.5ish era. so because of that we're willing to overlook the other 10 years that he was just an average pitcher? He is what he is, don't go fooling yourself into thinking he's good. Did you not just say: "I guess I value a league-average pitcher who has made all his starts for five years in a row."? not for 4/$40M I don't But you do for 2/$22 + several trading chips? Depends on the trading chips
  21. TruffleShuffle
    QFT. People forget that Marquis was a serviceable 4th/5th starter in 2004 and 2005 because he couldn't get anyone out in 2006. Maybe he'll suck just as badly, but if Rothschild can get him straightened out, or if he can straighten himself out, he'd probably be a bargain.
  22. TruffleShuffle
    no, please keep that door closed I felt just like that about Suppan but some pointed out his numbers and he wasn't that bad. Post all-star last year he had a 2.5ish era. so because of that we're willing to overlook the other 10 years that he was just an average pitcher? He is what he is, don't go fooling yourself into thinking he's good. Did you not just say: "I guess I value a league-average pitcher who has made all his starts for five years in a row."? not for 4/$40M I don't edit - Garland is 4 years younger than Suppan, too.
  23. TruffleShuffle
    Ohka would be better than Marquis. maybe. depends how far into the season we are before his arm falls off.
  24. TruffleShuffle
    no, please keep that door closed I felt just like that about Suppan but some pointed out his numbers and he wasn't that bad. Post all-star last year he had a 2.5ish era. so because of that we're willing to overlook the other 10 years that he was just an average pitcher? He is what he is, don't go fooling yourself into thinking he's good.
  25. TruffleShuffle
    nobody is saying that Marquis is better than those guys, but Suppan and Batista are both going to command 3 or 4 year deals worth $8M per year (for Batista) and probably around $10M per year (for Suppan).
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