I figured this is a pretty important debate, and rather than dump it in the lengthy 2007 draft discussion, I'll just start a new thread. I favor the Cubs going with a college player as opposed to a high school player, because I want something that is more of a sure thing. I know that this has been studied - I think by BA, maybe BP - but I found this excellent article on the equally excellent brewerfan.net page. Here are a recap of some findings: -Rated every player drafted in the first round from 1990-1999 on a scale from 2 (no production above A-ball) to 8 (superstar) -College players had a better average score (4.92 to 4.44) -52.6% of high school players were rated as a bust (2,3,4 - didn't make any meaningful contribution at the big league level) versus 43.9% of college players -39.4% of college players went on to become decent to great major leaguers (6,7,8) versus 34.3% of high school players And, I like what he has to say at the end: I agree with this sentiment. If there were a Delmon Young, Ken Griffey Jr., A-Rod, etc., sitting there when the Cubs picked, I'd be all for it. Those were guys who were regarded as lower-risk high school players because they were just that talented. But I don't see there being any players of that caliber, so I'd lean toward selecting a college player with the 3rd overall pick. I think Wieters is a safe pick who has a pretty solid chance of becoming a better than average major leaguer.