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    BREAKING: Cubs Sign Third Baseman Alex Bregman to Five-Year Deal

    The Cubs got their man this time. With the largest annual average value in team history and the long-term, no-opt-out structure they craved last winter, they’ve signed Alex Bregman.

    Matthew Trueblood
    Image courtesy of © Brian Fluharty-Imagn Imagesan F

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    The Chicago Cubs and third baseman Alex Bregman have agreed to a five year, $175-million deal, sources confirmed to North Side Baseball. 

    Bregman, who will turn 32 in March, gets the largest AAV in Cubs history, at $35 million. The deal spares the team from having to spread money out into Bregman's late 30s and early 40s, though it almost guarantees that they will surpass the competitive-balance tax threshold for 2026—and perhaps years to come.
     
    In exchange for that, the Cubs get a player who fits their offensive philosophy perfectly. Bregman makes exceptionally good swing decisions and has run superb contact rates almost throughout his career. He lacks high-end bat speed, but creates power by excelling at pulling the ball in the air. He also plays a sturdy third base, and his arrival carries interesting implications for Matt Shaw and Nico Hoerner.
     
    Things were very different for Bregman this year, untethered from the qualifying offer but one year older and with a platform season in which he hit brilliantly early, got hurt, then struggled at times in the second half. Instead of being open to flexible structures and locking in on deals that offered him quick paths back to free agency, Bregman and agent Scott Boras sought a lucrative long-term deal. The Red Sox, who wooed Bregman with a deferral structure and multiple opt-outs last winter, were willing to go longer than the Cubs in terms of years, but refused to pay the high AAV the Cubs offered.
     
    Once he landed Edward Cabrera in a trade earlier this week, Hoyer got permission from ownership to exceed the CBT threshold in order to sign either Bregman or Bo Bichette, a source familiar with the team's plans said. That allowed Chicago to scale up its offer to Bregman, and helped them land the player they hoped would be the capstone to their offseason last year.
     
    In 10 big-league seasons, Bregman has had an on-base percentage under .350 just twice: in 2016 and in 2024. After being in the Astros organization for nearly a decade, he signed with the Red Sox in February and batted .273/.360/.462 in 495 plate appearances. That marked his highest slugging average since 2019, and with the deep well at Wrigley Field replacing the Green Monster in left field for his home games this year, don't expect him to slug as much for the Cubs. However, he adds a much-needed right-handed threat to their lineup, and will spend lots of time hitting between Michael Busch and Ian Happ or Moisés Ballesteros, giving the Cubs terrific lineup depth and balance.
     
    With Bregman locked up (and locked in, with a full no-trade clause, a source said), the team's infield is in for a shakeup. Dansby Swanson will be the shortstop for at least another year or two, but Matt Shaw has been displaced from the lineup. That could be a temporary change, with Nico Hoerner a free agent after 2026, but it could also prove to be permanent. Bregman is likely to stay at third base. Shaw could slide to second if Hoerner is traded, but the team could also plan to rotate him in as a backup at both second and third (with Hoerner sometimes spelling Swanson at shortstop) and/or to use Bregman as the designated hitter on a semi-regular basis, especially against left-handed pitchers.
     
    The ramifications of the deal will spread out and become clearer in the weeks ahead. For now, what we can say for sure is that the Cubs are serious about challenging the Brewers in the NL Central—and in 2026, they might just overtake them.

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    Derwood

    Posted

    I thought deferrals couldn't keep you from going over the LT? Maybe I misunderstood

    • Like 1
    Rcal10

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, Bertz said:

    I suspect the team is mostly done from here.  Them being a hair under the LT doesn't feel like an accident.  I'd assume the plan is to be basically right at the line entering the season and let the results in July decide if they're comfortable going over by more than a hair or whether they try and drop back down.

    They do have 2 more 40 man spots so they're definitely not done done.  I could see a trade or two to clean up the back of the roster.  Maybe move Rea to save a bit of cash for instance?

    I could see a Rea trade as well. But if they are just under I can also see Assad traded instead of Rea. It isn’t a big salary relief, but it is something. Maybe they sit $3M under. They would be able to add something at the TDL, if they had to do something. Plus, if all pitchers are healthy, they would have 6 pitchers. Maybe they move Tailon then. 

    Transmogrified Tiger

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, Derwood said:

    I thought deferrals couldn't keep you from going over the LT? Maybe I misunderstood

    The AAV that counts towards the Luxury Tax is based on the net present value of the contract, that NPV is lowered by deferrals.  Historically this didn't make a huge difference because deferrals were rare and when they did happened they didn't move the AAV by much since the deferred amount was on the margins.  The Dodgers have popularized doing heavy deferrals, probably as a tax dodge for the player, which can change the AAV enough to be meaningful(Ohtani being the extreme example).  In Bregman's case it's not nearly as seismic(appears to be lowering AAV by about 10%), but the motivation is likely similar as the amount Bregman 'loses' (from time value of money) is potentially offset by tax differences between Illinois/Chicago and his home in retirement(likely AZ where he lives now).

    Neuby

    Posted

    Won't be long before twitter has the Cubs still connected to Cody Bellinger. I know everyone believes them to be done and they probably are but standby.

    Derwood

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Transmogrified Tiger said:

    The AAV that counts towards the Luxury Tax is based on the net present value of the contract, that NPV is lowered by deferrals.  Historically this didn't make a huge difference because deferrals were rare and when they did happened they didn't move the AAV by much since the deferred amount was on the margins.  The Dodgers have popularized doing heavy deferrals, probably as a tax dodge for the player, which can change the AAV enough to be meaningful(Ohtani being the extreme example).  In Bregman's case it's not nearly as seismic(appears to be lowering AAV by about 10%), but the motivation is likely similar as the amount Bregman 'loses' (from time value of money) is potentially offset by tax differences between Illinois/Chicago and his home in retirement(likely AZ where he lives now).

    The Ohtani argument (I thought) was that you can't give someone (hyperbole) a billion dollars but defer it until the year 2250 to avoid LT issues

    Cuzi

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

    I wonder if there’s a clause in his contract that requires playing X amount of games at third base. DHing vs lefties with Shaw in the lineup and starting at third base seems logical if they keep all 4.

    What would be the purpose of doing that? He's already been paid. It's not like he's Machado going into FA and going back to SS for 1 year to get SS money for his next contract. Besides, Shaw, unless he is traded, will be the starting 2B after this season.

    Transmogrified Tiger

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, Derwood said:

    The Ohtani argument (I thought) was that you can't give someone (hyperbole) a billion dollars but defer it until the year 2250 to avoid LT issues

    You in theory can(pending league approval) but the player needs to have something in it for them to agree.  Ohtani is a unicorn in the sense that he'll have zero issues with short term cash flow through endorsements and such, so there's no hit to his quality of life. Then after retirement he can flee California(and possibly the US entirely) and have much better tax treatment on the bulk of his guaranteed money.  Giving, say, Matthew Boyd a 30 million dollar deal with 25 million deferred has much more downside for that caliber of player, and they do 'lose' money through TMV on deferrals so there's a natural pressure the other direction.

    Geographyhater8888

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, Cuzi said:

    What would be the purpose of doing that? He's already been paid. It's not like he's Machado going into FA and going back to SS for 1 year to get SS money for his next contract. Besides, Shaw, unless he is traded, will be the starting 2B after this season.

    Because some players have a preference. Assuming he doesn’t then he’ll be a valuable DH option in spots. 

    Andy

    Posted

    Found this interesting from Keith Law's article on The Athletic:

     

    Quote

    The Cubs now have one infielder too many, and they’re going to end up trading someone. The most obvious candidate is Shaw, whose rookie season was a disappointment at the plate thanks to some frequent mechanical changes and, according to people I’ve spoken to, resistance to help from the Cubs’ staff.  

     

    Cuzi

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Andy said:

    Found this interesting from Keith Law's article on The Athletic:

    I don't believe for one second that the Cubs staff would be willing to sabotage their #1 prospect and rookie of the year candidate. His stance completely changed from some scrunched up twisted ball to something more reminiscent of Javier Baez and he blew up at the plate in the 2nd half.

    Rcal10

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Andy said:

    Found this interesting from Keith Law's article on The Athletic:

     

     

    Seems like he did take the Cubs help. He definitely altered his stance and swing during the year. I doubt they trade Shaw.

    Brian707

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Andy said:

    Found this interesting from Keith Law's article on The Athletic:

     

     

    I Dare You Do It GIF

    Banks-Williams

    Posted

    Terrible decision!!  Cubs management needs to be replaced. We don’t need cheaters on the Northside team.  

    Just compare Bregman’s stats ftom the 2017-19 Astros cheating years to those post cheating revelation.  And listen to what Bellinger said about them.  I doubt Bellinger would ever play for the Cubs with Bregman on the team since the Astros stole the 2017 World Series from the Dodgers. 

    • Disagree 1
    • Haha 3
    Rcal10

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Jason Ross said:

    Yep. And I don't think you sign Alex Bregman and then immediately look to ship Hoerner off for future players. So my guess is that the Cubs keep Hoerner for 2026 and then Shaw is the heir apparent. 

    The Cubs can do a lot of damage in the 2027 draft as they will probably be able to get QOs on a lot of their FAs which makes it less likely, IMO, for the Cubs to try to restock the MiLB side of things with a Nico trade. 

    If Mo makes the OD roster and stats the entire season he also has a shot at ROY. Don’t the Cubs get a pick if that happens as well? What is that rule? 

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    Just now, Rcal10 said:

    If Mo makes the OD roster and stats the entire season he also has a shot at ROY. Don’t the Cubs get a pick if that happens as well? What is that rule? 

    I do believe Ballesteros would qualify as he is still technically a rookie.

    Cuzi

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Banks-Williams said:

    Terrible decision!!  Cubs management needs to be replaced. We don’t need cheaters on the Northside team.  

    Just compare Bregman’s stats ftom the 2017-19 Astros cheating years to those post cheating revelation.  And listen to what Bellinger said about them.  I doubt Bellinger would ever play for the Cubs with Bregman on the team since the Astros stole the 2017 World Series from the Dodgers. 

    I mean... I dont want Bellinger on the team.... So, YAY!

    Banks-Williams

    Posted

    13 hours ago, Rex Buckingham said:

    They did it!

    Did what?

     

    They signed a loser from the Astros cheating team!

    Bertz

    Posted

    There's a bit of wiggle room left depending on where exactly the last few QO guys sign, but these look like the Cubs' day 1 picks next year

    #23 (1st round)

    #62 (2nd round)

    #75 (Tucker comp pick)

    #97 (3rd rounder)

    Banks-Williams

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Cuzi said:

    I mean... I dont want Bellinger on the team.... So, YAY!

    You prefer cheaters eh?  That says a lot about you.

    Rcal10

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Jason Ross said:

    I do believe Ballesteros would qualify as he is still technically a rookie.

    Does he have to win ROY, or is it if he comes in the top 3 and qualifies from a top prospect standpoint? 

    Jason Ross

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Banks-Williams said:

    Did what?

     

    They signed a loser from the Astros cheating team!

    The loser they just signed has been the 19th most valuable position player in baseball since 2022. I'd like it if the Cubs signed more losers like that.

    Banks-Williams

    Posted

    13 hours ago, Dfan25 said:

    Fair to say , Jed loves Alex Bregman 

    Well if this was his decision, he should be fired.  Bregman’s stats post cheating era are that great.  Plus who wants someone associated with cheating on their team 

    Cuzi

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, Banks-Williams said:

    You prefer cheaters eh?  That says a lot about you.

    I prefer better baseball players and someone who's wRC+ dropped 60 points outside of Yankee Stadium doesn't top my list of wants and wishes.

    Rcal10

    Posted

    Why do we get trolls every time the Cubs do something significant? We end up with new posters who are just here to howl at the moon. This is another example. 

    • Like 2
    Banks-Williams

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Cuzi said:

    I prefer better baseball players and someone who's wRC+ dropped 60 points outside of Yankee Stadium doesn't top my list of wants and wishes.

    Well Bellinger is much better than Bregman both morally and statistically.  




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