Giants (Hicks) vs Cubs (Assad): 6/17/24, 7:05pm

[Transmogrified Tiger]

I think Wesneski is figuring out how to pitch in the bullpen.  Since he went to the pen, he has given up 100% of his runs on home runs, which is 1) weird & fluky, and 2) probably due to him trying to corral increased stuff out of the pen.  His walk rate is up pretty significantly in the pen, which tells a story that he hasn't harnessed his stuff at max effort and is frequently pitching from behind. That leads to more pitches getting whacked because while he has good stuff at max effort, it's not top of scale that's going to backfoot hitters in their approach to let him get away with heart of the plate mistakes.

[Stratos]

8 hours ago, soccer10k said:

Wesneski has a 3.23 ERA this year so I’m not quite sure why he’s catching strays right now.

3.97 ERA as a reliever, 5.93 FIP, 2.28 HR/9.  Sucking bawls.

[squally1313]

20 minutes ago, Stratos said:

3.97 ERA as a reliever, 5.93 FIP, 2.28 HR/9.  Sucking bawls.

Very much agreed that if he continues to give up HRs on 23.1% of his fly balls, something no qualified pitcher has come close to doing going back to 2000, we should stop relying on him for anything. 

[Stratos]

3 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

Very much agreed that if he continues to give up HRs on 23.1% of his fly balls, something no qualified pitcher has come close to doing going back to 2000, we should stop relying on him for anything. 

He had over 20% HR/fb last year and 23.1% as a reliever.

[squally1313]

2 minutes ago, Stratos said:

He had over 20% HR/fb last year and 23.1% as a reliever.

I'm seeing 15.8% as a reliever last year, but sure, let's just call it 23% in his 63 innings as a reliever in 2023 and 2024. 31 guys have run a HR/FB rate in 60 or more innings in a year since 2000. No one has done it in over 115 innings. Which still suggests to me that it's unsustainably high.