Gamble gamble gamble die

[Brian707]

So I have a Phillies World Series ticket at 25-1 I bet $50 to win $1250

 

Thinking of hedging the Padres to win the NLCS at -120 will cost me $60 to win $50 to cover my original bet. Would break even if Padres win

 

If the Philles make the WS, I can hedge on the AL winner to break even. If the Philles win the World Series I still can net around $1000 profit. Last year I had tickets on both the Braves and Astros so I did not need to hedge.

 

Would you hedge in this situation or let it ride? $1250 is by no means life changing money lol

I'd only hedge if I thought the hedge is a good bet.

 

 

Good point, and I feel San Diego should beat Philly

 

My Phillies ticket still alive! Glad I was wrong about the NLCS

[Old Style]

Took over 162.5 yards passing for Fields and over 49.5 yards rushing for Montgomery last night. Two easy wins to go 5-0 on NFL bets this weekend. Too bad I went 0-2 on MLB and horsefeathers the bed on my college football bets too. Almost broke even after last night so I shouldn't complain.

 

This week:

 

Kentucky +12.5

Notre Dame +3

UAB -5.5

UTEP -2

[Brian707]

BETMGM is offering me $430 to buy out of my WS ticket on the Phillies. horsefeathers that

 

[Old Style]

BETMGM is offering me $430 to buy out of my WS ticket on the Phillies. horsefeathers that

What was the amount of the bet and how much do you stand to win?

[Brian707]

BETMGM is offering me $430 to buy out of my WS ticket on the Phillies. horsefeathers that

What was the amount of the bet and how much do you stand to win?

 

 

$50 at 25-1 to win $1250.

 

Astros are -185 to win the series, actually using a hedge calculator my expected value is only $420 so its not that bad of an offer. I may just bet $92.50 to at least get my original $50 back

[SouthSideRyan]

FanDuel does $10 “risk free” (get $10 free bet if you lose) bets for TNF, hit mine last night at +11239.

 

Drake anytime TD

Evans over 66.5

Fournette under 48.5 (loved this figured White would steal a bunch of snaps, did it separately as well)

Bucs/Ravens 1H/Final

 

Helps make up for the disaster that has been my last 2 weeks on DK

[SouthSideRyan]

BETMGM is offering me $430 to buy out of my WS ticket on the Phillies. horsefeathers that

What was the amount of the bet and how much do you stand to win?

 

 

$50 at 25-1 to win $1250.

 

Astros are -185 to win the series, actually using a hedge calculator my expected value is only $420 so its not that bad of an offer. I may just bet $92.50 to at least get my original $50 back

 

I like that type of hedge in those situations.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

FanDuel does $10 “risk free” (get $10 free bet if you lose) bets for TNF, hit mine last night at +11239.

 

Drake anytime TD

Evans over 66.5

Fournette under 48.5 (loved this figured White would steal a bunch of snaps, did it separately as well)

Bucs/Ravens 1H/Final

 

Helps make up for the disaster that has been my last 2 weeks on DK

Chalk has been running so pure on DK lately.

[Old Style]

Right now I have these bets open:

 

Kentucky +12.5

Notre Dame +3

UAB -5.5

UTEP -2

Miami Ohio -8

Nevada-San Jose State under 44.5

 

I hit Wednesday night on Cleveland -8.5 and an easy under 57 on the Utah-Washington State game last night. I bet under 236.5 on the Grizzlies-Kings and of course they ended up at 235. That was a tough loss.

[UK]

Right now I have these bets open:

 

Kentucky +12.5

Notre Dame +3

UAB -5.5

UTEP -2

Miami Ohio -8

Nevada-San Jose State under 44.5

 

I hit Wednesday night on Cleveland -8.5 and an easy under 57 on the Utah-Washington State game last night. I bet under 236.5 on the Grizzlies-Kings and of course they ended up at 235. That was a tough loss.

 

I like the under on Nev/SJSU. I also put 1u on Toledo (+6.5) /EMU.

[Brian707]

FanDuel does $10 “risk free” (get $10 free bet if you lose) bets for TNF, hit mine last night at +11239.

 

Drake anytime TD

Evans over 66.5

Fournette under 48.5 (loved this figured White would steal a bunch of snaps, did it separately as well)

Bucs/Ravens 1H/Final

 

Helps make up for the disaster that has been my last 2 weeks on DK

 

Awesome! I used to do those risk free SGPs on FD when they returned your loss back as site credits instead of free bets. I tried only one this year with Fields as first TD scorer +Montgomery over rushing and + Mooney under receiving in the GB game. It was nothing like what you got paid on but still paid like $150

[Brian707]

Right now I have these bets open:

 

Kentucky +12.5

Notre Dame +3

UAB -5.5

UTEP -2

Miami Ohio -8

Nevada-San Jose State under 44.5

 

I hit Wednesday night on Cleveland -8.5 and an easy under 57 on the Utah-Washington State game last night. I bet under 236.5 on the Grizzlies-Kings and of course they ended up at 235. That was a tough loss.

 

 

I like Kentucky too. But I have been giving back all my NFL profits on college this year so what do I know?

[SouthSideRyan]

I also like Kentucky

[Old Style]

Added a little NHL action with VGK -1.5 tonight.

[Old Style]

Added a little NHL action with VGK -1.5 tonight.

Vegas with the easy 4-0 win.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

FanDuel does $10 “risk free” (get $10 free bet if you lose) bets for TNF, hit mine last night at +11239.

 

Drake anytime TD

Evans over 66.5

Fournette under 48.5 (loved this figured White would steal a bunch of snaps, did it separately as well)

Bucs/Ravens 1H/Final

 

Helps make up for the disaster that has been my last 2 weeks on DK

 

Awesome! I used to do those risk free SGPs on FD when they returned your loss back as site credits instead of free bets. I tried only one this year with Fields as first TD scorer +Montgomery over rushing and + Mooney under receiving in the GB game. It was nothing like what you got paid on but still paid like $150

Yeah, and making longshot bets boosts your EV on those free bets significantly. Myself and a group of friends went to different sites and maxed out the offers and pooled winnings to reduce longshot-varience. We each won about 7k.

[UK]

My early game bets for the week:

 

Penn (-10.5) @ Brown

Harvard (-1) @ Dartmouth

Beth-Cook (+15.5) @ Prairie View

[Old Style]

Right now I have these bets open:

 

Kentucky +12.5

Notre Dame +3

UAB -5.5

UTEP -2

Miami Ohio -8

Nevada-San Jose State under 44.5

 

I hit Wednesday night on Cleveland -8.5 and an easy under 57 on the Utah-Washington State game last night. I bet under 236.5 on the Grizzlies-Kings and of course they ended up at 235. That was a tough loss.

Two easy wins with ND and Miami Ohio to start the day off right. Unfortunately the UAB starting QB is out so that one may blow up on me.

[UK]

I got saved by the Penn/Brown line going off the board an hour before kickoff.

 

2-0 ATS this week.

[WrigleyField 22]

Just settled on my +1120 N'Keal Harry TD bet that puts me up for the weekend no matter what else hits

[WrigleyField 22]

Just settled on my +1120 N'Keal Harry TD bet that puts me up for the weekend no matter what else hits

Now I hit on Khalil Herbert +250.

 

Should have Parlayed it I guess :D

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

[Old Style]

Hit on a Schwarber HR last night at +280 and Harper (+150) over 1.5 bases. Missed on Altuve (+135) over 1.5 bases. That was a nice little cash to start the week.

[UK]

Took the under on New Mexico @ Utah State (43).

 

Waiting for the lines on....

 

 

Southern @ Florida A &M

Howard @ NC Central

Idaho @ Eastern Washington

 

Took Florida A&M, NC Central, Eastern Washington.

[Old Style]

Was a crazy 17-3 on the week before today including hitting on numerous WS props so I had a nice bankroll. Today is a regression to the mean. Lol.