Who is the #33 Prospect for the Cubs? (run-off)

[CaliforniaRaisin]

This is a tie-breaking run-off vote between Jose Arias and Tayler Scott for the Cubs #33 prospect (serious votes only, please!). Please post your rationale below. The loser of the run-off vote will be the #34 prospect. Also, please let me know if you want to keep going.

 

If someone convinces you that the other player should be higher, please feel free to change your vote anytime between now and Monday.

 

Results so far:

 

#1: Javier Baez

#2: Jorge Soler

#3: Albert Almora

#4: Arodys Vizcaino

#5: Dan Vogelbach

#6: Brett Jackson

#7: Juan Paniagua

#8: Christian Villanueva

#9: Dillon Maples

#10: Josh Vitters

#11: Pierce Johnson

#12: Junior Lake

#13: Jeimer Candelario

#14: Duane Underwood

#15: Matt Szczur

#16: Arismendy Alcantara

#17: Ronald Torreyes

#18: Marco Hernandez

#19: Gioskar Amaya

#20: Alberto Cabrera

#21: Logan Watkins

#22: Rob Whitenack

#23: Barrett Loux

#24: Ben Wells

#25: Paul Blackburn

#26: Hector Rondon

#27: Tony Zych

#28: Jae-Hoon Ha

#29: Trey McNutt

#30: Steve Bruno

#31: Michael Jensen

#32: Trey Martin

[Guest]

I went with Arias.

[craig]

I went with Arias.

 

I voted Scott. Basically because he's 20 to Arias's 22, because Scott allowed zero HR, and because I know more about Scott.

 

cal, can anybody fill in more "story" on Arias? What I know is that:

1. he's tall (6'5") with a strong build for rotation pitching (lists 220)

2. that he throws hard and scouts with some natural sink.

3. That he's kinda raw in terms of offspeed stuff.

4. He's already 22.

 

For scott, we know he's a South African who picked up baseball late and didn't have tons of coaching. So it's easy to imagine that his breaking stuff is going to be way better at 25 than it is at 20.

 

But does anybody know how Arias, with his size and velocity, didn't start pros till he was 20? Most Dominicans with his size/velocity are pros at 17 and their offspeed stuff is well developed by 22. Is he as near his breaking-stuff ceiling as most 22-year-old Dominicans? Or is there reason to think that like Scott he's just getting started on his developmental journey, and what he is now may be nothing like what he might end up becoming?