Cot's Contracts/Baseball Prospectus collaboration

[TruffleShuffle]

for those interested in player valuation, this has the potential to be a great resource... here's what BP has put online:

 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=14836

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/?cyear=2011&team=CHN&pos= (cubs)

 

i'm just getting into this now, but the layout looks really good and i can see this being an excellent tool that enhances the work that cot's does.

[Guest]

Good stuff.

[javy knows my name]

Oh damn, this is awesome

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I love the offseason more than I love the regular season. This stuff is great.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Alfonso Soriano, $/WARP: $831 million.

 

Starlin Castro, $118 thousand.

 

At those rates, using BP's definition of replacement level as a 25-win team, it would cost $47 billion to produce a .500 team of Alfonso Sorianos, and you could build more than 15 100-win teams out of Castros on the Cubs' payroll.

[bukie]

Because I was curious...

 

Obviously, Castro was the most value-efficient player on the team. But how does he compare to the rest of baseball? Well, turns out there were 14 players (that got more than a cup of coffee at the MLB level) that were more value-efficient than Castro this year:

 

Player ($/WARP)

1. Alex Avila, COL ($66,350)

2. Clayton Kershaw, LAD ($71,376)

3. Andrew McCutchen, PIT ($85,792)

4. Mike Stanton, FLA ($86,703)

5. Ian Kennedy, ARI ($88,528)

6. Madison Bumgarner, SF ($92,852)

7. Daniel Hudson, ARI ($92,658)

8. Dexter Fowler, COL ($93,595)

9. Pablo Sandoval, SF ($106,793)

10. Carlos Santana, CLE ($106,888)

11. Justin Masteron, CLE ($108,082)

12. Elvis Andrus, TEX ($111,349)

13. Matt Harrison, TEX ($113,266)

14. Jhoulys Chacin, COL ($113,498)

15. Starlin Castro, CHC ($118,646)

[bukie]

Alfonso Soriano, $/WARP: $831 million.

 

Starlin Castro, $118 thousand.

 

At those rates, using BP's definition of replacement level as a 25-win team, it would cost $47 billion to produce a .500 team of Alfonso Sorianos, and you could build more than 15 100-win teams out of Castros on the Cubs' payroll.

 

Also, using BP's definition of a 25-win replacement level team, say you want to build a regular playoff team, which we'll assume for this exercise to be a 95 win team. Here is the advantage of payroll:

 

With TB's payroll ($43M), the roster would need to average about $615,000 per WARP, to a player.

With the average payroll ($95M), the roster would need to average about $1.357M per WARP.

With the Yankees payroll ($207M), the roster would need to average about $2.957M per WARP.

 

So, essentially, the Yankees have more than double the cushion of the average team, and about five times the cushion of the Rays to build a winner.

 

Incidentally, the Cubs ($134M) would need to average about $1.914M per player to win 95. The players the Cubs had on the roster that were more efficient than that average were Castro, Barney, Johnson, Marshall, Wells, Garza, Soto, and Cashner (and Cashner barely played).

[bukie]

One last marvel at efficiency: The Rays to this point have just $16M committed to salary for next year's roster for 7 players: Zobrist, Longoria, Price, Shields, Davis, Farnsworth and Kelly Shoppach.