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Posted
Perhaps a large part of why the Cubs are winning more lately has to do with luck. It had to even out at some point, and after starting 2-12 in 1-run games, they are 10-3.

 

Gambler's fallacy. Starting 2-12 in 1 run games doesn't mean you're due to go 12-2. It means you're due to go 7-7.

 

Law of averages, more so. Flipping a coin 100 times, even if 12 of the first 14 are tails, at the end of that 100 times it's most likely to even out. Sure, that next flip is still 50/50, and any single flip is 50/50, but at some point the greater average trends towards, well, average.

 

That's because at a certain point 14 flips is an insignificant amount. Flipping it 1000 times, after 12 out of 14 you wind up expecting tails 50.5% and heads 49.5% total. If any single flip is 50/50, then the total sum of flips is 50/50.

 

 

 

Guys let's settle this now. I'll flip a coin.

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Posted
"The guy came from Triple A and he knows what to do behind the plate," Zambrano said. "He calls good games. Sometimes when I try to throw any pitch, he puts one finger down, and that's what you're looking for. You don't want to shake them off and call time out and bring your catcher to the mound, especially me. You know me. I like to pitch fast, and if I want to throw that pitch, I throw it.

 

"It's good to have him catching me. I think the next time I will try Jason. I know he's a good catcher, and I don't have problems with catchers."

Zambrano paused for the laughs to die down, then flashed a big smile. It's all in the timing, and lately Zambrano's timing has been perfect.

 

:lol:

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