RB Decision

[Roast]

I've got LDT as one of my RB's, and i'm obviously starting him. The other decision is harder...

 

Warrick Dunn v. Baltimore

 

OR

 

Ahman Green V. New England....

[PrimeTime]

Dunn

[cheapseats]

Dunn

 

No way!

 

Green by a mile this week.

[Roast]

See, Thats the thing. Normally I start Dunn without a doubt; however they're playing Baltimore. Who has an outstanding defense, and if I remember correctly they're better against the run than the pass. I'm leaning towards Green, but I'm not sure.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

Dunn

[The Voice of Reason]

In a standard scoring (1/10), I'd go with Dunn as I think the Pack will be behind and passing and believe Green could be in for a difficult afternoon versus New England. The Patriots have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game on the road (60.5), and the four featured backs they've faced outside of Gillette Stadium have combined to rush for a mere 188 yards and one touchdown. That list of backs includes the likes of Rudi Johnson, Willis McGahee and Chester Taylor, and Green could be next in line.

 

Dunn on the road (just barely) over Green at home.

[cheapseats]

New England is tough against the run, but they're only average against passes to running backs, and they're a very slightly above average defense overall.

 

Green gets many more touches in the red zone than Dunn.

 

I do my own weekly projections, and I have at least 15 RB's ranked ahead of Dunn this week.

[soccer10k]

Dunn.

[NCCubFan]

In one of my leagues I'm benching Dunn in favor of Wali Lundy this week. That tells you what I think of Dunn's matchup against Baltimore.

[cheapseats]

In one of my leagues I'm benching Dunn in favor of Wali Lundy this week. That tells you what I think of Dunn's matchup against Baltimore.

 

Finally, a voice of reason. :D

 

In standard Yahoo scoring, Green has been worth two points more than Dunn this season, and he's played in two fewer games than Dunn. And Dunn is facing one of the best defenses in the league.

[soccer10k]

New England is tough against the run, but they're only average against passes to running backs, and they're a very slightly above average defense overall.

 

Green gets many more touches in the red zone than Dunn.

 

I do my own weekly projections, and I have at least 15 RB's ranked ahead of Dunn this week.

 

Just out of curiosity - I'm not being sarcastic here - but how accurate are your weekly projections and how do you do them?

[cheapseats]

New England is tough against the run, but they're only average against passes to running backs, and they're a very slightly above average defense overall.

 

Green gets many more touches in the red zone than Dunn.

 

I do my own weekly projections, and I have at least 15 RB's ranked ahead of Dunn this week.

 

Just out of curiosity - I'm not being sarcastic here - but how accurate are your weekly projections and how do you do them?

 

I trust my projections more than those of Yahoo, footballguys.com, or Fox.

 

In week 8, for example, my numbers said Vince Young would have a better day than Donovan McNabb, which seemed crazy to me, but it worked out that way.

 

Of course, no one can tell the future; there's a difference between figuring probabilities and prophesying.

 

I use a lot of the numbers from footballoutsiders.com, which is a sister site of Baseball Prospectus. They even break down which defenses are best and worst against #2 receivers, tight ends, etc.

 

I do fundraising research/projections for a university, so I work with statistics every day. This is the first year I've done fantasy football, and I'm addicted. :D

[The Voice of Reason]

In one of my leagues I'm benching Dunn in favor of Wali Lundy this week. That tells you what I think of Dunn's matchup against Baltimore.

 

Finally, a voice of reason. :D

 

In standard Yahoo scoring, Green has been worth two points more than Dunn this season, and he's played in two fewer games than Dunn. And Dunn is facing one of the best defenses in the league.

 

Hey Rookie - Dunn had 57 yards and Green had 29. Ray Lewis didn't play making previous D stats irrelevant. There is more to Fantasy football than stats and predictions :wink:

 

Some times you just got to go with your instincts. :)

[cheapseats]

In one of my leagues I'm benching Dunn in favor of Wali Lundy this week. That tells you what I think of Dunn's matchup against Baltimore.

 

Finally, a voice of reason. :D

 

In standard Yahoo scoring, Green has been worth two points more than Dunn this season, and he's played in two fewer games than Dunn. And Dunn is facing one of the best defenses in the league.

 

Hey Rookie - Dunn had 57 yards and Green had 29. Ray Lewis didn't play making previous D stats irrelevant. There is more to Fantasy football than stats and predictions :wink:

 

Some times you just got to go with your instincts. :)

 

Haha, I forgot there was a Voice of Reason here. :D

 

I wouldn't be sad if I played Green over Dunn today. Green was worth just 1 point in standard scoring, and Dunn was worth 2. Both were lousy.

[Roast]

Darn. I started green.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

Darn. I started green.

 

That's what you get for not listening to me.

[NCCubFan]

In one of my leagues I'm benching Dunn in favor of Wali Lundy this week. That tells you what I think of Dunn's matchup against Baltimore.

 

Finally, a voice of reason. :D

 

In standard Yahoo scoring, Green has been worth two points more than Dunn this season, and he's played in two fewer games than Dunn. And Dunn is facing one of the best defenses in the league.

 

Hey Rookie - Dunn had 57 yards and Green had 29. Ray Lewis didn't play making previous D stats irrelevant. There is more to Fantasy football than stats and predictions :wink:

 

Some times you just got to go with your instincts. :)

On the other hand, in my league, my decision to start Lundy over Dunn was right. :D

 

Too bad the rest of my team stunk this week. :evil: