Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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As mentioned in transactions, we've reached the part of the offseason where Stockholm Syndrome takes over and I start to squint really hard so that the next season kind of looks OK. If we quit screwing around with the bench, get some development in the bullpen, and make a half-hearted attempt to put useful players in at CF, 3b and No. 4 starter, I'm starting to see a .500 team. Soriano/???/DeJesus (Sappelt/Campana) Valbuena/Castro/Barney/Rizzo (LaHair/???) Castillo (Navarro) Samardzija/Garza/Baker/???/Wood (Vizcaino) Marmol/Camp/Bowden/Dolis/Iowa Conga Line I kind of don't hate everything about that team. 78 wins with a slim chance of making things interesting enough in the WC race that we don't spazsell everything in July.
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Wrong thread. Too many threads ending in 2013 and too busy to read entire thread titles before posting.
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3rd Base
Hairyducked Idiot replied to marc_foust's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
He's young-ish and has a little power. -
Given the cost of reliably average relievers this offseason, I would have guessed he'd command at least twice that, maybe more.
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Why should you be able to get 2 good pitchers out of a group of 3 bad ones? The universe owes me.
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Are we ignoring the offense? Not so much "ignoring" as "fantasizing that we get a competent CF and 3b, and that we don't put together possibly the worst bench conceivable out of the available parts." The offense was 70 runs below average last year, and that included -25 from 3b (Vitters/Valbuena/Stewart), -16 from CF (Jackson/Campana/Byrd) and -15 from Joe "I got my job because of a hot ST" Mather. Plus another -25 from Koyie Hill/Soto/Clevenger. If Castillo can hit a little bit, we magically decide to try to field average players at CF and 3b and don't do anything terminally stupid with the bench, we can have a pretty average offense.
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I'm as burned by last year as anyone, but you really should be able to get at least one or two good relief pitchers out of Bowden/Cabrera/Dolis.
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3rd Base
Hairyducked Idiot replied to marc_foust's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Edit: NM, I keep forgetting just how awesome Samardzija was last year. -
"Bullpens are a crapshoot" belongs back in the days when "ERA+ is the best way to measure a pitcher's performance" was also true.
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If we could get him, we're starting to get into that fuzzy part of the offseason where optimism creeps in and everything looks .500ish. The bullpen truly was a huge reason why the Cubs were terrible last season.
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Restoring the public faith.
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3rd Base
Hairyducked Idiot replied to marc_foust's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Would love, love, love to see that. -
As fun as it might be to try and direct every thread to the same narrative, how about we actually try to talk about the topic at hand for a bit on this one? That *was* a comment on the topic at hand. If he's any good, the Dodgers will offer him 80 bajillion dollars and that's that.
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Let's just skip to the part where we congratulate the front office for putting in a competitive bid but are thankful we didn't go nuts like the Dodgers.
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Who's trolling if I post this? Me, Levine or the Cubs? http://espn.go.com/sportsnation/chicago/chat/_/id/46050
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3rd Base
Hairyducked Idiot replied to marc_foust's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Our 3b will be my favorite player in April, whether it's Ian Stewart or Not Ian Stewart. -
1) That is deplorable. 2) If they are willing to promise you something but not put it in writing when there's a common industry standard to do so, they are probably lying.
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When I'm trolling, you'll know it.
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I finally found the Dilbert comic from when I was a kid that describes Epstein's plan: http://dilbert.com/dyn/str_strip/000000000/00000000/0000000/000000/20000/3000/800/23887/23887.strip.gif
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He's going to be limited at about 100 innings and probably kept in AAA for some of that. Slowly stretched out, 10 starts in Iowa, then six in Chicago is probably the best bet. Praying he doesn't get reinjured every step of the way.
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Especially for that price.
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If you're looking for a sample that is recent enough to be relevant and large enough to be useful, years 3 and 4 look like the sweet spot to me.
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If you think Navarro's career numbers are the way to project him, then yeah, I don't think Clevenger can match .660. But those include some awfully old numbers. He's at a combined .594 the last four years, and I think Clevenger can probably match that.
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The evidence that Navarro sucks less than Clevenger seems pretty scant to me.
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Actually, the more I look, the more I want. About to turn 24 years old, league-average starting pitcher, 2.36 GB/FB ratio last year. Put him behind our infield defense and with the slow Wrigley grass and you really might have something. With him and Baker, you've got a nice start to breaking our impressively awful three-year streak of issuing the most walks in the league. And best of all, it actually involves filling a spot for several years. Every spot we fill now is one less we have to worry about in 2014 or 2015, so we can stop with the "we need so many people let's just get no one" routine.