OK, so apparently part of the deal with Marmol is that the Dodgers get a bit more money from the Cubs if he doesn't finish the year with the team, but the Cubs get a PTBNL if Marmol does finish the year with the Dodgers and meets some qualifications. Which is now likely irrelevant, because they just DFA'd him.
There's almost no way that signing the about-to-turn 30, injury-prone, most expensive FA starting pitcher on the market is the best use our resources this offseason.
I think that seriously underestimates the price to keep Garza. He's not going to come back on a reasonable deal. He's going to hit a money-rich, talent-poor FA market as the best pitcher available and get something stupid. Then you can pat yourself on the back with the No. 35 overall pick or whatever that might slot into the back of our top 10, instead of getting a top 100 prospect + a guy as good as the No. 35 pick.
That's a horrible [expletive] return. I'd rather make the qualifying offer and try to sign him. I'm definitely looking forward to your reaction when he is traded.
It's not like Samardzija busted his way into a press conference with something to say. The reporters sought him out and asked him how he felt about his friend being traded, I'd imagine.
I would assume he can fit into most windows. OK, I'll bite. What makes you think he is going to be such a star? The .260 average or 2 homeruns? Those two home runs might be the difference between getting the No. 1 draft pick in 2018 or not. Can't risk it.
Now that rationalization has had time to drown out kneejerk reactions, I guess I can warm up to this trade. I like the fact that it seems to be trying to address our immediate problems for 2014 rather than just stockpiling talent.
Theo and Jed are pimps and you know it. I will say this: I'm intrigued by the fact that they eschewed a prospect return and instead went after pitchers who *might* have value in 2014. Len Casper tweets: @lencasperCubs moves so good that many people don't even know what they did today. Focus on players traded is missing the pt. Fun to watch process. Len Casper is a Red Wings fan, so he can shut up forever.
Theo and Jed are pimps and you know it. I will say this: I'm intrigued by the fact that they eschewed a prospect return and instead went after pitchers who *might* have value in 2014.
What? You missed all that? Don't want to derail this thread. Was it earlier in this thread or something? I didn't plan on reading all of this mess. This was all months ago, I'll PM you.
So we agree that they haven't had some superhuman hit rate on pitchers and we are justified in looking at the pitchers they acquired and forming our own opinions (at least as justified as fans can ever be in this matter)?
No, not even a little. What's the Kyle opinion du jour? I thought it was "Theo/Jed are, in fact, awesome and everything bad is Ricketts's fault" now Theo and Jed are talented but human, Ricketts has blown everything. They're good, they just don't get my blind trust.
No, not even a little. Wood, Feldman, Maholm, Villanueva and Gregg HAVE to give you faith they can find under the radar, cheap yet effective pitching options. Volstad, Baker, Fujikawa, Camp and Corpas have told me they are pretty capable of whiffing, too.
You are. That's the rate of change every year, so it's kind of confusing. At 25-26, the rate of improvement starts slowing down (hence the uptick in the line), and at 27-28 the improvement stops (crosses the 0 line).
Feldman's pretty obviously pretty high on the outcome scale for pitchers with his performance through that age. I don't agree with the second part at all. If he follows the standard pitcher aging curve, we're already in the second half of his peak and the downward decline begins in a year or two. Is this the generally accepted peak, or Kyle's "peak"? http://cdn.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/Pitcher_Curves_All1.png FIP stops improving and begins getting worse between 27 and 28.