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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    You're going with "they won't risk the backlash..." after all this?
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    Without blinking.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    There were reports that many teams didn't like Garza's medical reports. I don't think this means Jimenez is any cheaper, but I could be wrong.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    As well it should. He's going to armsplode. But one of his brief windows of health will cost the Cubs a key game in like September 2017, because Cubs.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ken Rosenthal ‏@Ken_Rosenthal now Source: Garza in agreement with #Brewers, four years, $52M, pending physical. Huh...
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's not required, but if you try sooner than that you might not be able to sustain the success and instead you'll be terrible for five years. In order to avoid risking five terrible years, we must have five terrible years.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    2015 is the stated breakthrough year? The only report we've had recently about breakthrough years was Mooney's report that the team has decided it will be 2016: http://www.csnchicago.com/cubs/starting-samardzija-cubs-will-be-position-make-deals
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    You don't see how the presence of absence of an MLB pitcher better than any one in our organization, in the heart of his prime, changes the short-term outlook of our chances? Or do you not think the short-term outlook of our chances changes how the front office behaves in any given offseason? I'm not sure where the hang-up is here.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    All of a sudden? We are in the process right now of finishing up an entire offseason of doing just that.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Dude. We have all this money off the books. You can't seriously think they won't hit the FA market hard and give themselves the best chance to win they can in 2012 2013 2014 2015.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    The release fee was supposed to be paid 2/3rds this year and 1/3rd next year. So assuming $20m in salary and $13.3m in posting fee on this year's payroll, that would have put us on track to be right around or maybe a smidge above last year's payroll. And we're saving some money by not being able to spend on IFAs. So basically, no change in the finances.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think they should go balls-to-the-wall and try to put out a winner in 2014 with what little time they have left. But they're not going to do that. And I don't think they'll do it in 2015, either. So might as well get what we can for Samardzija
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think the most likely scenario is that we won't be serious enough about contending in 2015 to warrant passing on the prospect return that he would net. 28 now means 30 when the window opens. 30 is dead to us.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think we kind of have to trade him.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Disagree. It's more or less how they've framed the choice every offseason they've been here. If we're capped at a 100 mill payroll, it severely limits your options obviously. That said, between Darvish, Cespedes, Puig, Ryu, and Tanaka-with our complete emphasis being on youngsters, at least one and in my opinion, two, of this group should be Cubs currently. I don't think the payroll matters going forward. Assuming Tanaka's first year plus 2/3rds the posting fee would be about $35m, we're apparently content to leave $25m or more on the table this year. Edwin Jackson was 29 for his entire first season of the new contract, same with Anibal Sanchez. That appears to be the absolute upper limit that they'll go on these very large deals. They'd rather leave money unspent that commit it on buying a guy's age 32-37 seasons.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Disagree. It's more or less how they've framed the choice every offseason they've been here.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    And I've spent the last 32 years laboring under the delusion that I'm completely normal. Dang, there goes that. In the next calendar year, Epstein and the Cubs have two paths available to them: A) Trade Samardzija for prospects and continue to try to time out a Golden Era in the 2016-2020 range. Continue to monitor the trade market and FAs for young players that fit that timeline. B) Go nuts on post-prime 30-year-old FAs and try to binge on enough in one offseason to make the team a contender in 2015. I know which path I'm betting on, given their history.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    The aging curve of pitchers won't be any later. And refusing to budge despite the circumstances is something this front office revels in. One pitcher? Yeah, maybe. Multiple big-time pieces, which is what it probably takes? Nope.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Our front office has consistently been philosophically opposed to signing pitchers Max Scherzer's age that kind of money. It's not happening. I think they know that when they have no other options, they're smart enough to do it. Their other option is *always* there: Pass on the offseason and point to how many prospects they have.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    For a guy who has no interest in doing this, you sure do keep coming back for more. Wanna go make out?
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't blame them for not convincing Tanaka to sign. I blame them for doing such a poor job with the MLB team the last three years that not signing him hurts this badly.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Without Tanaka, we're not in point B to point C mode next offseason without hitting like the 95th percentile of our development projection. Depends on the TV deal too. It really doesn't. We proved this offseason yet again that it doesn't matter how much money we have to spend: We aren't targetting multiple post-prime FAs even if we can afford it.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Arbitrary and logical are not mutually exclusive. Yes and my post was not arbitrary. And it was logical. This is going to be the thing you want to grind into a pulp the way only you can? Can we go back to USS, et al making the same joke every other post? I suddenly long for those. It was alogical and arbitrary.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Without Tanaka, we're not in point B to point C mode next offseason without hitting like the 95th percentile of our development projection.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Our front office has consistently been philosophically opposed to signing pitchers Max Scherzer's age that kind of money. It's not happening.
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