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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. I just keep trying to imagine in my head how much WAR you get in the modern, low-offense MLB with a plus-defensive 3b (or average defensive SS) who hits .300 with 40 HRs and average walks. I'm guesstimating it at roughly a billion.
  2. That was Liam Hendriks. We still have the slightly better Kyle Hendricks.
  3. I really, really want Josh Vitters to make the team out of ST. Beyond that, it'd be cool to have at least one young player surprise everyone and earn a job, even if it's just Olt at 3b (which I guess isn't a surprise, but still). I really wonder what Epstein and Hoyer want out of this season. Do they want to show progress, flirt with .500 and build some buzz and maybe even sell some tickets? Or do they want draft position again? Do they want to stay in the protected pick zone, or do they not plan on getting any major FAs so it doesn't matter? What is it in human nature that makes us love guys like Hendricks with no velocity but good command? I really expect nothing from Jake Arrieta. If I never have to hear "upside" or "ceiling" in reference to a 27+ guy again, I would be happy. There is a very high probability that this is the season we see Javier Baez hit his first HR as a Cub. These next few months almost certainly represent rock bottom. I think it remains to be seen whether the peak will be as high as we hope, but it is uphill after this.
  4. Adding it up even though you aren't supposed to and they yell at you if you do, I think that's 74 wins.
  5. Browsing through Redszone, they are convinced that pitching health is going to make them way better than before. And also some nutjobbery about Hamilton being worth 2 wins on the basepaths *besides* his SB value.
  6. Hopefully this will look stupid even a few months from now, but Vizcaino doesn't even cross my mind for the top-10.
  7. If anyone falls apart, my guess would be the Pirates. No Burnett apparently, and having the most amazingest bullpen performance in the league can be very fickle year to year.
  8. Are you thinking Hamilton will be decent? I think they'll get some value out of him. And Cingrani should be full-time in the rotation this year.
  9. I luuuurve me some Vitters, but 25 HRs was good for 30th in MLB last year.
  10. Unfortunately, all three of those are graduating some interesting young players to full-time duty in 2014, which should definitely help alleviate some of their regression to the mean.
  11. It obviously is possible to overstate it, because we've got people seriously wondering if maybe the current front office got a top-5 prospect out of a kid who may not have been top-100 without their brilliant guidance. (He was also No. 61 in the Jan. 2012 lists)
  12. Honestly, they probably would have accidentally set him on fire by now. Because that's just how completely awful the old organization was, which is important to believe.
  13. For completely irrational reasons, I think a few years from now we're gonna look back and wonder how we missed Armando Rivero coming up.
  14. The strength of the SP market is irrelevant when they won't sign ordinary FA SPs. We don't appear to be interested in large deals for guys who are older than 29 in their first season of the contract. That leaves pretty much just Homer Bailey.
  15. Assuming we aren't going to rush any prospects in the event of injuries, this roster is tissue-paper thin outside the bullpen. Getting through ST healthy would mean a lot.
  16. Great for them. Neither of them has run a playoff team since 2009. Priorities, I guess. AND they've yet to win NFC North in their entire careers! Winning football divisions and winning MLB divisions seem equally low on their priority list, sure. At least when compared with the coveted prospect rankings.
  17. Great for them. Neither of them has run a playoff team since 2009. Priorities, I guess.
  18. No. He has all the same problems as Baez with less power, older, at a lower level and at a worse defensive profile.
  19. 75 Ricketts, 25 front office. The myth that they inherited nothing and thus three offseason on it's not anyone but Hendry's fault is just so ridiculous. The money has been most of the problem, but this really has devolved to the point where they seem to be living out some fantasy or experiment about an idealized way to build a baseball team with no pressure to actually produce or perform. They aren't as good as they think they are. Things like passing on entire offseasons just can't happen if they want to build the sort of success they think they are.
  20. Overly glib Kyle translation of that Olt argument: So the high-K, high-power AA guy had similar contact in a hitter-friendly AAA, without the power, and this is supposed to be reason for optimism?
  21. How's your doom boner? Raging majestically.
  22. Just to pick out the only downside in a massive piece of prospect porn, he had both Edwards and Johnson as No. 3 ceilings with likely results a reliever and No. 4.
  23. Olt is gold! 25 HRs, minimum.
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