Hairyducked Idiot
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 5-6-14
Hairyducked Idiot replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Almora with a walk this morning. -
2014-15 International Free Agency Thread
Hairyducked Idiot replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
AKA the Chicago Cubs. -
No. It includes BIP, home runs and foul balls.
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If the season ended today, two teams with worse run differentials than us would make the playoffs.
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Did anyone have "Nate Schierholtz" and "First week of May" in the "First Cub to reach -1.0 fWAR" pool? Somebody must have, because I know I bought out all the Junior Lake squares.
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I don't think there's any ranking system that agrees with this. It goes beyond just prospect rankings, though, considering the team was the only one in the league still charting by hand and not having any video of prospects at any level. No teams could come close to the Cubs' level of improvements system-wide because the Cubs were so ass-backwards they were the laughing stock of the league. And you don't think these improvements show up in prospect rankings? At some point, you'd think it would show up in the MLB standings. The fact that it doesn't is concerning. If this front office was half as brilliant as they claim to be, you'd think they'd accidentally start stumbling onto some big-league success without needing $120m payrolls to do it.
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Okay, good talk. Anytime. With the number of ways modern fans understand variance imparts itself on the game of baseball, it's *really* easy to slip into focusing on the areas where your team is experiencing negative variance and try to arbitrarily regress those while ignoring the bigger picture.
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I guess, but that's impossible to replicate because a) Chicago isn't New York a) (part 2) the Cubs will never be the Yankees in revenue c) The system is set up better to enforce parity than it was then.
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Agreed. Now compare to the histrionics in the previous pages. As an aside, there's a bit of a difference between the ebb and flow of guys getting hot/slumping and your 5th starter and closer putting up a 10 ERA for a month, but that's a semantical road I'm not really interested in. A 76-win true talent team makes you one of the worst team in baseball and your front office should be ashamed of itself if they've had three offseasons to prevent that from happening. OK, we'll zoom in on Villanueva. He gave up, what, 12 runs more than xFIP says he should have. Well, Samardija's given up 8 less than xFIP says he should have. That's almost balanced out already. I bet Bonifacio more than makes up the difference with his hot streak.
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I don't think there's any ranking system that agrees with this. It goes beyond just prospect rankings, though, considering the team was the only one in the league still charting by hand and not having any video of prospects at any level. No teams could come close to the Cubs' level of improvements system-wide because the Cubs were so ass-backwards they were the laughing stock of the league. OK, congratulations front office. You aren't as awful as MacPhail and Hendry. Now stop being worse than most everybody else in 2014.
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Why is this the new thing now? The fact that the Rays got good in 2008 didn't make the previous 10 years of garbage baseball any less garbage-y. If the Astros get good with their merry band of prospects, it won't change the fact that they played [expletive] teams for like 5 years in a row on purpose. You can be aware of what the 'plan' is and still not like that you have to watch terrible teams for years waiting for it to hopefully work. [expletive], if we turn into a big market Rays, the 10 years of losing would be completely worth it. As it stands now, the Rays are looking at 4 playoff seasons in 7 years. If we lose for 10 years to get that, that's not a great result. None of these "built the right way" teams are making the playoffs every year. Not the Nationals, not the Royals, not the Pirates, not Rangers. They make it a decent chunk of the time, but they are just as caught up as everybody else in the big swirl of parity that is the modern MLB. But we're choosing not to participate in that big sea of parity because we think we can deliver some huge run of sustained success that nobody besides the Yankees has really done in recent years, and even they are showing some cracks.
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lol. I'm going to come back and quote this in August 2015 when we're talking about the reverse standings for the 2016 draft and hoping for a top-3 pick. Feel free to blame a wizard. It's what I'd do. And I'm going to come to your house and stomp on your dick if you try to enjoy our playoff run next year. No, you won't.
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So you're saying once we fix the really bad parts on the roster, we'll be not that bad? Change the names, and that's the *exact* same thing we said in 2012 and 2013. It won't work this time either. Because when we address Veras and Villanueva, other mediocrities will fall apart. Bonifacio or Hammel or Valbuena or all of them will stop producing (or BABIP might finally notice Welington Castillo), and some of our "hard-throwing but prone to bouts of wildness" bullpen guys will have a bad month, and then we'll say "Man, once we fix *those* parts, we wouldn't be that bad." We've got a roster full of bad players. Some of those bad players are playing very bad, and some of them are playing kinda good. But you can't just say "Well, once we fix the ones playing very bad, we'll be OK," because the ones playing kinda good will also probably be bad in the future. I could probably buy that we're a .467 true-talent team. That's a 76-win pace, minus the losses we've already incurred and before we gut it at the trade deadline.
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lol. I'm going to come back and quote this in August 2015 when we're talking about the reverse standings for the 2016 draft and hoping for a top-3 pick. Feel free to blame a wizard. It's what I'd do.
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The front office has a very recent history of holding on to starting pitchers they intend to trade until the trade deadline to try to drive up the price. I'm surprised you don't remember. Sheesh. With all these great things happening and only one problem (the outfield), we must have a pretty good record.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 5-5-14
Hairyducked Idiot replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Sort of like Brett Jackson in AA. It's completely different. I don't know how, but it is. -
Completely horsepoop narrative. A total and irredeemable myth. Every year that goes by, apologists have to pretend that the organizational talent and farm system was even worse than they pretended it was the year before. No teams' systems are improving like the Cubs' have because no other team is dumping half a dozen MLB players for prospects every year.
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Bukie being reasonable: http://stream1.gifsoup.com/view4/1338544/remain-calm-all-is-well-o.gif
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Plenty of people are sick of losing. Few make up narratives and turn a blind eye to everything good happening just to have an excuse to spout off regularly. There isn't nearly enough good happening for it to be described as an "everything." There's Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Starlin Castro and Armando Rivero. That's it. Everyone else associated with this organization sucks for all eternity.
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To be fair, you kinda always got constantly insulted on this board. It's kinda nice how the tide has turned and almost everyone is, if not outright hostile toward the front office, at the very least sick of losing.
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2014 Defending SC Champion Blackhawks playoff thread
Hairyducked Idiot replied to UMFan83's topic in Other Sports
Tommy Hawk is our mascot. -
Oh please, enlighten us. You are exactly who we need to explain to us why this is all a good thing.
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Nate Schierholtz is the Rob Schneider of our team. Oh joy, Olt vs. a righty is our last hope...
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The fact that a very large chunk of the fanbase will either argue that it's a good thing or that it was completely unavoidable because he inherited BA's No. 16 farm system and a 71-win team three years ago.
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Three straight balls. I wonder if he'll recover enough to get some outs...