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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. I'm just not sure how much being steadier on defense really means. You need playmakers to get off the field, and this team doesn't have them. Having only one or two weaknesses to attack won't really slow the offense down over having 3 or 4 if they have all the time in the world and don't have to worry about the defense making a big play on them. I could be very wrong though. We'll start finding out in two days.
  2. Same but minus the caveat.
  3. I think I remember that guy. Shouldn't he be on rehab assignment by now? Want him to be in rhythm for the playoffs.
  4. Great teams in the AL East mean it is the best. A bunch of mediocre teams also mean it is the best. Basically it is always the best regardless of reality.
  5. NLCS HFA should remain unclenched for a couple of weeks at least.
  6. I don't see how that is true. The major downfall to any win expectancy is injury to key players. There is no corollary to that on the upside. If 8-8 is a baseline, then some things working out better than expected may take them to 10-6 but things working out worse than expected plus a Cutler injury and you can rack up a lot of losses in a hurry. The upside is when you stay healthy and everyone else doesn't. If you've got 20 of your best 22 and the Vikings have 13, things improve considerably.
  7. With a three run lead, I'd be fine with any bullpen schlub
  8. This talk made me think about the 2003 Braves, who won 101 games and got bounced by the 88-win Cubs. Which made me try to remember Game 5 of that series, of which I could really only remember Borowski closing it out. So I looked it up on B-R and of course Dusty Baker sent Wood out there for the 8th with 106 pitches already thrown and a three-run lead. So basically now I'm just remembering how much I hate Dusty Baker and how much I love how our pitching is being managed this year.
  9. I'm going to wait until after the playoffs and then start an argument that Epstein was actually wasteful in building a team this good and that he should have saved some bullets for sustained success rather than trying to goose up his extension value.
  10. I'm not scared of anyone in that sense. I don't think specific match ups are going to matter all that often in the short series playoffs. I just don't want the Cardinals to have a chance to reverse last year, the Mets to repeat it, or another mediocre Giants team to get lucky and seem like special winners.
  11. They're the favorites to win the LDS. If they do that, they're the favorites to win the LCS. If they do that, they're the favorites to win the WS. Therefore their WS win odds can be no lower than 51%. QED.
  12. I don't want any of those teams in the playoffs. Stupid Marlins couldn't hold it together.
  13. They'd still be favored to win the division. Neither the Cardinals or Pirates look like they are getting to the 89 wins the Cubs already have.
  14. And keep in mind that a lot of those peripherals were accumulated with the team in coast mode, spreading the innings around and being generous with off days.
  15. Careful. SBTB threads have killed seasons before.
  16. Probably enough wins for a playoff spot right now
  17. It came from a nickname for young, promising players. So technically it started as species non-specific, but I think the bear connection has been pretty well established retroactively.
  18. seems to me the odds of scoring one run don't increase that much with 1 out and a runner on 2nd vs 0 out and runner on first anyway, without even taking into account that you're talking about wasting a good hitter http://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html That's showing you mean and not median. I've also thought that it's a little simplistic to look at on the whole since bunting falls into both categories(save for failed bunts). This. Depending on how you account for things like fielding errors and bunt hits and double plays, you can basically come up with anything from "very slight negative" to "very slight positive" for bunting. It's fine.
  19. DAMN IT I THOUGHT JORGE DID IT i don't care if bad hitters bunt. i hate hate hate giving away outs with good hitters. Which one is which in this scenario?
  20. Meh, it's fine, even if it has sucked the last two nights.
  21. It just occurred to me that Jake is probably saving sliders because who cares in the regular season and is going to unleash hell in the playoffs.
  22. The remaining 20 game threads will still be insufferable.
  23. oh I should hope we have more seasons like this, I mean, the team and management is set up to have many more seasons like this Don't think like a Cubs fan. Think like a fan of a team run by Theo Epstein and Jed Hoyer They are on pace for 105 wins. The Yankees have only won that many once in the last 50 years. The 1990s Indians never did it (though they would have if not for the strike at 100-44). So on the one hand, it'd be kind of crazy to expect more seasons like this even within the context of sustained excellence. But at this point, betting on regression to the mean has repeatedly not paid off so who knows maybe they are still just warming up.
  24. Being worried about the playoffs is reasonable. The odds of this team being eliminated by an inferior team are about 80%
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