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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. How's his outing now? C'mon eat the crow. What crow? That I didn't realize his outing wasn't over? I guess that's fine. I eat crow that I didn't know the inning wasn't going to be his entire outing. It was still a bad inning.
  2. They also rightly set the bar very low for a guy's Major League debut, especially one with Samardzija's background. Carlos Zambrano gives up some runs in some innings this year. Does that mean he's pitching horribly too? From what I understand, it is only horrible if his stuff looks good and you have no vision of potential.` The innings in which he gave up runs were bad innings.
  3. I find the need for a sliding scale strange. A bad outing is a bad outing is a bad outing, unless we can convince MLB to award us a win in this game by discounting that run because it was Samardzija's debut. It's not an indictment on his potential or his abilities, it's still just one inning. But why is it so hard for this board to call it a bad inning?
  4. He gave up 2 hits to two very good hitters, and he got a K. Using rate stats to evaluate his outing makes you look ridiculous. Not singling anyone out, but I think some people just get in their mind that they aren't going to like a guy, no matter what. That or a decision made by Lou. (kinda like my anger with batting Ward with the bases loaded in the 6th) Shark could have whiffed the side and people would still complain about the opening 2 pitches. Right phenomenom, wrong conclusion. People were going to say it was a decent outing no matter what happened. They want to like the new Cubs young pitcher, they want to be excited by his debut, so they convince themselves it was good, when it wasn't. His fastball sure is pretty, though.
  5. Talk about small samples. It was the largest possible sample for discussing the question "How was his outing." It wasn't just a sample, it was the entire population of potential data for his outing.
  6. Agreed. But there's still no reason to sugarcout a bad outing.
  7. I don't think stats mean much when it comes to one inning. The "runs allowed in the inning" stat, unfortunately, does.
  8. The apology brigade is out in force, I see. Samardzija got a very borderline call on a 3-2 pitch for his first out, then gave up a solid gb single, then couldn't execute a pitchout, then gave up a deep line drive that was fortunately in the deepest part of the park, then gave up a solid double, then induced a popup. ERA of 9, WHIP of 2.00, hitters hit 400/400/600 off of him. There's no way you can slice this into a good outing. It was a bad outing.
  9. Santo would be a lot more tolerable if: 1) He'd shut up until it was time to scream "Yes!" or "No!" or "All right!" or 2) Pat Hughes quit letting himself get dragged down by Santo. Hughes used to be amazing and carried Santo along, now he lets Santo pull him back into stupid, pointless discussions and stories and gimmicks and schticks.
  10. You always need another good reliever.
  11. A large segment of NSBB has taken a good understanding of sample sizes and variance and turned it into an excuse to never believe anything is wrong with anybody.
  12. Plexiglass principle. Virtually no player is as bad as they look during a statistical nosedive, and can usually be expected to bounce part of the way back.
  13. Edmonds continues to exemplify plexiglass principle.
  14. Jason Marquis' ERA+ just peaked back over 100.
  15. I wouldn't be so sure that Murton is a Beane-type player. The point of Moneyball wasn't that OBP is the end-all of existence (though it is oh-so-important), it's that it was *undervalued*. These days, most teams appreciate the value of OBP, so it's not undervalued anymore. Most advanced sabermetric teams have moved on to other areas where they might be able to glean an edge.
  16. The fact that the Brewers got Sabathia still scares me. But it's a good scared. This is fun. This is an arms race (no pun intended) that leaves the rest of the league in the dust if done right. I got so sick of seeing the National League teams scrap together the hope for 90-wins and assume it was enough, while the AL teams stockpiled talent. Now the Cubs and Brewers are doing the same thing, and it's exciting.
  17. This is amazingly awesome. I love Gaudin coming along too. Bullpen depth, a good, somewhat young pitcher. Awesome. I do think we will miss Gallagher in the long run. I've never been as sold as some on him for the immediate season, but I think there's a good chance he has a very bright future.
  18. Calling the Cubs relevant for 25 years is some serious revisionist history. They were relevant for far less than half of those.
  19. It's now really, really important that the Cardinals go away quietly.
  20. It's a huge effect. You can take one look at the camera angle and know whether or not the game thread will be filled with moans about the outside corner.
  21. Although Ramirez and Lofton were nice, the difference maker in 2003 was Prior, Wood and eventually Zambrano pitching some of the best baseball of their lives at the same time.
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