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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fields being slow to pull the trigger was in his scouting report coming out of Ohio State, where he had plenty of time to throw. Sacks are as much a QB stat as they are an OL stat, and you don't become the most sackable team in modern NFL history without having a problem on both axes.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was just about to say, it's a good ol' fashinoed eff the closer.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    I assume we aren't tanking anymore, but I'm fine with taking someone who appears redundant if we think they're the best talent. We need to be drafting for long-term value, not immediate impact. I'm not going to let the existence of Teven Jenkins or Mooney/Claypool (both in contract years) dissuade me from Skoronski/JSN, if that's who they like.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    And thats two games Darnell Nurse has cost the Oilers by abandoning his man in front of the net to lunge at a puck-carrier he can't get to. A true No. 1 defenseman is sneaky mandatory to win hockey championships.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was about to come edit to clarify. That's a totally fair response. I don't mean I don't want any of them. Any of the top OL would be fine for me because even if they aren't perfect, I would still rather have an OL than a defensive piece. The lack of a clear no-doubt tackle just means I would be ok drafting something else. If there was a better OL, i'd want him to the exclusion of anyone else. Even if we take a *gag* defensive player, I'll be fine with it because the only no-doubt offensive talent at 9 is probably a running back and who wants that, or a slot WR who I do want but I can understand if 9th overall is too steep for him
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    With the offensive linemen in this draft, it just feels like they're all pretty flawed. If I'm taking an OL high in the first round, I want scouts to be telling he's a no-doubt average tackle at worst.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Someone give me the background on who this wisdom guy is and why he never stops mashing baseballs. He appears to have been some random nondescript 30something who just randomly decided to hit dongs from now on
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    I thought we had a night game for some reason, missed this entirely. Bad teams don't win by blowout this often
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's impossible to tell what's real and what's smokescreen at this point in the process, but I wouldn't hate that. Especially after a trade down.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Lions just lost a bunch of players to a gambling scandal
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    He's essentially saying the Cubs don't think Mervis is all that important as a prospect.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    The difference between Fulmer being right in line with previous years is literally one swing of the bat. It's too early to make big sweeping pronouncements on him. If you wanna start eyeing someone else for 9th inning duties for awhile that's fine but I don't really think it solves anything. This bullpen seems full of a lot of interchangeable parts. I wish it was constructed in a way that made attacking matchups easier. Re: ross, I don't have any problems with him. I don't love every single decision but it's still baseball, where most of the decisions don't end up mattering as long as you don't Dusty-nuke your pitchers.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Mervis is 25 and I assume we are past any service time deadlines (is that still a thing). No reason to stall
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I really like Fangraphs' projected standings page, which makes those sorts of micro adjustments daily and projects the rest of the season then adds it to the current record. They have us at 80-82 right now. https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm still fine with that send. That throw/tag doesn't get made the majority of the time.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Draft systems are like playoff systems. There's no single perfect way to do them because they're trying to balance multiple interests. Every time to tweak it to help one angle, people will say "but what about the other angle, that doesn't make sense" so they tweak it again, and it gets all weird and kludgy. They have a lottery because while the general idea of tanking/rebuilding is fine, you want to avoid situations where teams have an extremely obvious, strong incentives to lose specific games you're selling tickets for. If there was no lottery, you'd have teams shooting into their own net by on opening night if there was a Gretzky level prospect. Basically every change since then has been the result of something happening and a bunch of people saying "that feels unfair!" so they tweak the rules/percentages. They only draw for top two instead of top three because the Red Wings fell from 1st to 4th a few years ago and Yzerman pitched a fit. You can only move up a limited number of spots because the Flyers jumped from 13th to 2nd in 2017 and people said that felt unfair.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    There's no drawing for the third pick, just the first two
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Why wouldn't you stop reading and scroll past before the headache?
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Not exactly the same thing because they do update team strength and account for SOS, but Fangraphs' playoff projections now has the Cubs finishing 81-81 with a 28% chance of making the playoffs https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's still a probability, it's just a probability for the season not individual games. You're not wrong, you're just way overestimating how big the difference is. Converting the total season average into a per-game probability is a convenient simplification that gets you close enough for casual use.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Nothing but respect for my national league run differential leaders
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Run differential game
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's pretty plausible.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't think moving the mound back a few feet would be a drastic change. I know the boomers would squawk.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Change the mound distance
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