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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    To clarify, when I said that, it meant please dont be a raging elitist dbag and waste my time with out of context stats, but you felt the need to do it anyway. Grats on that. What exactly is out of context about his ability to hit behind in the count, when your assertion was that he can't hit when behind in the count?
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's weird. Well, it's not weird that they normalize for the strike zones. It's weird the way they present the final results.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    It can't be more than a 20% paycut. If he doesn't improve in the second half, they can't possibly offer him arbitration.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    It would absolutely torch their relationship with the players association and every agent in the league. It's nice to dream on, though.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    it's not, the zone is adjusted just like it is when you follow along on gameday. of course mike fontenot and derrek lee don't have the same zone. It goes from exactly 1.5 to 3.5 vertical feet in every graph posted.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    We will suffer humiliation when the sports team from their area does not need a procedural financial maneuver, and the sports team from our area does.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Jay Bruce career: .235 .301 .448 National league average: .258 .331 .406 Jay Bruce with two strikes: .170 .228 .378 National league average: .183 257 .275 Jay Bruce after 0-1 count: .207 .250 .401 National league average: .229 .273 .347 Jay Bruce after 1-2 count: .157 .164 .296 National league average: .165 .172 .246 If anything, he holds up *better* when behind in the count than the average national leaguer. He's closer to league average in OBP and further above it in SLG in those situations. Percentage of career home runs in one-run games or tied: 48.7% National league average: 49.7% "Don't give me the SABR stuff" always seems to turn out to be code for "I'm completely, wildly wrong and this post is pure fail, but please don't call me on it."
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    That makes a lot more sense.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    Is it too much to hope that bankruptcy would rid us of some long-term contracts? If not that, what liabilities would the team have that need to be released? I can't think of anything.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Notice how something can be reported and nobody believes it or is surprised when it gets pulled back? This is why I hate the rush to be first among major beat sports reporters in the 24-hour news cycle. It shreds credibility all to heck.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Why is the strike zone the exact same height for every player?
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Given the makeup of your team, Lou, I doubt either of those things will happen.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Wells gave up 10 baserunners, including two home runs, and four runs in seven innings. He only struck out four. It's the Sean Gallagher "good game" curve all over again.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I find that rather fortunate, personally. Almost every pitcher has a good game outside of a few key at-bats.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Hustle gone wrong.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    So just to confirm, this was your opinion when we originally signed him and won back to back division titles right? I don't know about him, but there were a lot of us not thrilled with that signing.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was thinking that if we don't bring Makarov into the big club this season, there's a good chance we never see him over here.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's not about whether this was specifically predicted. It's about acknowledging the range of possibilities. The Cubs had a lot of slightly-past-their-prime and injury prone players, so I think it's safe to say the "worst-case" end of their bell curve was at least a little more likely than it was for most teams. And even given that, we're getting pretty average or above seasons from Derek Lee, Fukudome and Ryan Theriot, and Ramirez was doing great until he got hurt. If you swap Wells and Harden's ERAs, you get almost exactly what you'd expect from the entire starting rotation. The bullpen doesn't look that bad. Soriano, Soto, Bradley and 2b are where the sucking is coming from.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    He's 31. Damn, but still that isn't really at the age where you would expect a huge drop off. Anytime a ballplayer is in his 30s, there's a chance for a big dropoff. Maybe a small chance, but it happens. Of course, Ramirez was doing pretty well until he got hurt. But he's always had some injury issues.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    He's 31.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Definitely. I just think the idea that this team is playing as everyone should have expected going into the year is funny as hell. But there was a lot of concern that this team had some serious downside on offense, with all of our best hitters except for Soto being past their primes, and Soto being a catcher, which is always unpredictable.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    The PECOTA-adjusted playoff odds report should drop below 18% after today, maybe even a little further.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    An "across MLB" comparison is a bit disingenuous, seeing as how 14 of the teams play with a DH. Though an NL-only comparison would make roughly the same point: Hendry has put together a lot of mediocre offenses.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Two of those four teams were below NL average in run-scoring, though.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    That depends on how much of the "He loves St. Louis and doesn't care about money and is the perfect team player" stuff you hear out of St. Louis is true. If it's legit, he's staying. If it's just media hype and PR garbage, he's gone after 2011.
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