Hairyducked Idiot
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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot
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Well, the crappy thing there is that he's at the extreme, extreme end of the bell curve, and the norms are a little different out there. Just like great players often step in and contribute at abnormally young ages (smacking the crap out of the ball at an alleged 21), they also tend to last longer.
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It really wouldn't, that's what I'm trying to say. Guys fall off the cliff all the time in baseball. We understand now that the most likely result is a guy staying about the same each year (plexiglass principle and all), but we seem to be underestimating the spread of possibilities. The bell curve is much wider than common expectations around here seem to think. Baseball players rarely follow a simple curve over their career. They break out big and they bust out big quite frequently.
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If he's not an outfielder, he's a DH, because his legs couldn't dream of holding up in the infield these days.
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Not so much directed at you specifically, but this is just touching on a pet peeve of mine. The pendulum has swung way too far to the other end, and rather than overreact to small samples, we statheads refuse to accept that it's normal for players to have sudden changes in ability. We've got 250-350+ PAs of fresh data on these guys, and that means something. There was always a non-zero collapse rate on guys like Soriano, and now that we've seen him collapse for 356 PAs going into today, we should be upping that rate pretty substantially.
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I wanted him to be thrown out at second so bad.
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Expected levels at the beginning of the season? Yes. But with what we know now (Harden is probably completely and possibly permanently broken, Soriano may be aging faster than we hoped), I'd say it's close.
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No, but it's roughly equivalent to grit.
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When it looks inside to a left-handed batter with the camera coming in over the right shoulder, even I can't defend it.
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It'd be like last year's Dodgers beating this year's Cubs. Or the 2006 Cardinals winning the World Series despite being pretty mediocre.
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Really, no chemistry whatsoever. Which wouldn't be so bad, but they suck at baseball too.
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Yet another reason they are a useless stat.
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cue Ron.
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Not really http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfx/location.php?xml=http://gd2.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/year_2009/month_07/day_10/gid_2009_07_10_slnmlb_chnmlb_1//pbp/pitchers/112020.xml&batterX=0&innings=yyyyyyyyy&s_type=1&sp_type=1&h_size=700&v_size=500 Stop that. The umpire is out to screw the Cubs, and only Cubs fans can see it because we have no vested interests.
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Whoever it was, boo.
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10/300 and don't even look back We would do that, then find out that Pujlos is actually 36. Worth every penny for the crying you'd see from Cardinals' fans until that news came out. Even if it was only a day.
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I know Estes was bad but what exactly made him historically bad? I recall a lot of talk at the time about it being the worst statistical season by a Cubs starter since 1945 or something like that. A 76 ERA+ across 150+ innings is pretty hard to match.
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Rich Harden ERA+ after today: 80 Shawn Estes ERA+ during historically bad 2003 season: 76
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Fukudefense.
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I'm not convinced the money is there for the new owner to make the splash, even if he wanted to.
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Pitch to him two more times, maybe he'll slow down and settle for the cycle.
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Because hot dogs are disgusting and you need to mask the taste, and ketchup makes almost anything taste better.
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He tripped over his bag in the middle of the night and did a face plant. He also apparently has a huge rug burn on his back from the same incident. Heard that on one of the morning sports radio shows down here. Actually a rather humorous story. I'm thinking there's like a 5% chance that's the real story, though. Mound help!
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Dang it, Soriano trying to be a spraying, opposite field hitter. Should have pulled it.
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Hot dogs without ketchup are still fail. Sorry, Chicago.
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Trying to set up the morale-killing DP?