Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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Just checked FG and they're giving the Cards 18.2% chance to win the division, which tracks with my expectations. But I still think the Brewers are clear favorites. They've gotten really lucky during this injury stretch by playing well over their run differential but that's a good thing for them. Those wins are in the books and a vastly different (and better) Brewers roster should be on the field a month from now. Of course, sometimes snakebitten teams remain snakebitten. -
At some point, the devil magic runs out. Betting on continued devil magic after the cluster that team has been this season seems like a longshot. It looked like they were going to make a run a few weeks ago but they're back to being 3-7 over their last ten. At some point, a bad team is just a bad team and it's not as if the Cardinals were free of concern going into the season (aging position players, shaky af rotation, etc). Sure, it's possible they rebound but I wouldn't put their chance at the division above 20%, if even that.
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Given the way this division is shaking out, I think the Brewers are clearly the best team in the division, with the caveat at some point their ridiculous number of injuries stop happening. I think the Cubs' best path to the postseason is using this relatively weak division to come in second with 85-ish wins and a Wild Card berth. But if the Brewers' injuries continue, 85 wins might take the division itself. But Milwaukee has several guys on the mend so that would require a bunch of re-injuries to guys like Miley, Lauer, Adames, and Urias in the short-term and guys like Woodruff in the mid-term.
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The Cubs can leave San Diego with a four-game series win tonight to kick off their west coast trip. Hard to consider that anything but a success. Oh, and thanks to the Brewers drubbing the Reds three games in a row, the Cubs are now back in third place!
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After two games of a wraparound series, the Cubs and Padres have a split on their hands. The Cubs have the distinct pitching advantage today with Stro on the mound. And thankfully, the game doesn't start so damned late today.
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It astounds me how the Padres are such a perpetual disappointment. But hey, I have no problems with the Cubs taking advantage of that and sneaking out another win.
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I'd be happy with 5-5. None of the Padres, Angels, or Giants are pushovers. But at some point, the Cubs need to start winning and there just aren't many pushover in the NL so maybe you're right about 6-4.
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It's the underperforming Cubs vs the underperforming Padres! Two teams enter, one must win! Also, this is the free MLB.tv game of the day for those who are interested in such things.
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Two out of three ain't bad.
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What a game, though.
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Impossible to take that one, though.
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Well, that helps. Thanks, Tampa.
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It wasn't always the case... maybe 3-4 years ago it started?
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Yeah, that was my feeling as well, maybe they felt the pitcher could use a couple of seconds to regain composure.
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Weird challenge by Tampa here.
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To be fair, this is a very winnable game but the Rays are a really good team. You're gonna lose some winnable games against teams like Tampa. Hard to get upset about anything here after banking two wins against this team.
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And if there was a runner on first and a double play was in order, I might feel differently. There just wasn't much upside in the sacrifice and not a lot of downside in letting Tauchman swing away.
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Well, that call wasn't awesome.
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Still, there's just so little upside playing for one run in the seventh inning on a team with a leaky bullpen.
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Playing for one run is always a great idea in modern baseball, it never goes wrong!
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Ugh.
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As unfortunate as Steele leaving the game is, Wesneski is certainly getting the job done thus far.
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Hoyer saying Steele kept trying to stretch his forearm and taking him out was a precaution.
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I'm not convinced this is the same team that played the Reds.
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He was shaking his arm a bit. I heard it but wasn't near the TV at the time. Maybe that was coincidental but if a pitcher is shaking their arm and then leaves the game, I think it's probably discomfort of some kind.
