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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. James Triantos hit a ball 109.2 yesterday. On its own that's nothing crazy, but it's 4.5 MPH harder than anything he hit during his cup of coffee at Iowa last year. Equates to probably 45 grade power? Encouraging stuff, though certainly nothing to throw a parade over.
  2. I feel good about this matchup. I feel good about Boyd generally, and the Dbacks presumably be sitting Moreno helps him out further. On offense, Rodriguez was a mess last year and this spring his velo was still down. So while the Cubs had trouble with lefties last year I'm still hoping this is a good game from the offense.
  3. Aging curves rarely work linearly on an individual player basis. And for pitchers especially it tends to be velo rather than years that leads to declines. Case in point, ZiPS projected a 3.35 ERA for Pressly coming into the year. The only guy better the also old Ryan Brasier (who tends to get shielded from tough lefties). A player who has declined is not necessarily bad, it matters if they declined from a really high perch like Pressly did.
  4. I don't care what Pressly was 3 years ago, that is irrelevant. All that matters is will he he good this year. Pressly was very good last year, and my suspicion is if he doesn't have the velo issues he had his first two outings he'll be fine. Maybe he won't! But saying he's washed before we hit April is very very silly.
  5. Honestly pretty okay with that Pressly outing. Velo was back where it's supposed to be, he got a bunch of whiffs, and aside from pitching around Marte he threw a bunch of strikes. Geno Suarez is Soriano-level streaky and clearly on fire right now. But process wise that was a good outing IMO. I feel better about Pressly than I did this morning.
  6. If it makes you feel better I think Raisin's been on him since like last May, so we can blame him if things go south. 😉
  7. Would love a couple of these A ball pitchers to pop.
  8. Extremely early returns are that the Williams/Cortes trade is going to be one of those "everybody loses" types like the Kimbrel trade.
  9. Pfaadt has huge L/R splits. I expected Workman yesterday but definitely today. Only question is whether it's for Nico or Shaw.
  10. When it looked like Brown and Shaw were going to open up at Iowa, I think that team would have been the most loaded affiliate we ever had. Honestly even better than anything circa 2014. For good reasons it not quite that insane anymore, but I'd still say it will rightfully get the majority of eyeballs all year. The middle half of the farm is in super rough shape. Tenn's rotation is okay, as is SB's lineup, but this is what a ~25th ranked farm system looks like. One of Rojas/Hernandez Wiggins going supernova would go a long way. Myrtle is fun. There will inevitably be 4-5 hitters from this crew that we view as serious prospects six months from now. Good luck guessing who that will be though! Pitching looks rough even with the rosiest colored glasses. I think we might be due for another draft where Kantrovitz takes like 16 pitchers.
  11. Pretty solid outing from Ethan Roberts too. Velo up a good bit from last year. Though still not back to where it was pre TJ.
  12. Taillon sitting 93. Not all the way back but half an MPH above what he had last year.
  13. Through 3 velo held at +1.5 and he is up to 10 whiffs
  14. I presume all the AAA guys are going short ~3ish inning outings here to start the season but through Connor Noland's velo is up about 1.5 MPH and he has 6 swings and misses.
  15. Honest to God I think that lineup is better than the Marlins. And probably not far from the Rockies or Pirates?
  16. Luke Little too. I knew both guys had gotten into a few games this spring but wondered if they'd both be a week or three behind. And I could have seen the team go either way with Long at either Iowa or Tenn. He demolished Tenn but it was only 200 PAs. Great to see him open at Iowa.
  17. Pressly was really good last year with his fastball a smidge under 94. He's been down under 93 his first two outings, however he had several outings at normal velo this spring. So there's a decent chance given the calendar he is simply in dead arm right now.
  18. Merrill Kelly and Brandon Pfaadt both had pretty big L/R splits last year. I'd expect Workman to start the next two days, one for Shaw and one for Hoerner.
  19. I vaguely recall the Athletic saying there was an expectation Flexen would stay in the org.
  20. Good win. Not the best pitching day but this is a tough lineup and I expect the ump scorecard is going to be pretty colorful tomorrow. Tomorrow could be tough. Doubt Counsell's willing to throw any relievers back to back, and that might include Merryweather. Likely going to need to need to put another beating on Kelly (which is doable).
  21. If Amaya is not only a guy you're okay having up at the plate, but in fact a guy you're glad to have up there? That changes the complexion of this lineup a ton.
  22. I'd let Steele start the 5th but not let him face Moreno and that ensuing block of righties a 3rd time
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