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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    We're roughly a quarter of the through the season and he's still on a 55 homer pace and yet a lot of people are *desperate* to get rid of him
  2. Bertz
    Obviously he needs to progress to the point he can sneak the occasional ball over the wall but man he's way improved YoY. BB/K is over 1, he's playing shortstop now, the power is now "bad" as opposed to "pathetic." And he's still just 20.
  3. Bertz
    I've noticed he doesn't show up in FG chats anymore and he didn't have any comments on the Cubs prospect list article so I suspect he's been banned there too
  4. Bertz
    Christian Olivo raised his OPS by like 130 points with his big game tonight I know he's not the biggest prospect but he's (now) hitting and is age appropriate and provides some defensive value. That's usually the trajectory of a high end reserve infielder.
  5. Bertz
    This Dawson Netz situation is nutz (I'm sorry I'm sorry I'm trying to delete it)
  6. Bertz
    I would have done Barnes or especially Wicks but I like Roberts a lot so I won't complain. He got shafted by that freak air conditioner accident in Philly.
  7. Bertz
    I used the ASB, so 7/18. Since then he's got a .266/.318/.506 line (127 wRC+) in 293 PAs. It's probably not fully earned, there's some xwOBA shenanigans like you call out (though worth noting the ASB is when he started doing his Isaac Paredes pulled fly ball impression) and he's overindexed against LHP. But he's also 24 and presumably still improving. Let's call him, especially by April 1 of next year, a true talent 110 wRC+ and +5 COF defender? Stylistically different but that's not too far off of Ian Happ. I'm fine moving Shaw, I think just in the past few days I wrote something on the minor league forum about us being in a pick 2 situation with Shaw/Alcantara/Ramirez and me preferring the latter two. But assuming he doesn't tank over the next five months I view Shaw as a viable backfill for one of those corner spots heading into next year.
  8. Bertz
    And has a 127 wRC+ in a shade under 300 PAs going back to last ASB
  9. Bertz
    Texas has to this point in the season been the worst team in the league against LHP. And that tracks too when you think about Seager, Joc, Nimmo, etc. Basically I think you let Brown go as far as he can, then you hand it over to Rolison for as far as he can go, and then you either go Wicks if things are going poorly or to your short relievers if they're going well. Save Assad for later in the weekend when you need length?
  10. Bertz
    I know his numbers against lefties are already superficially good (though that's pretty clearly just BABIP). But it feels like with the way he's getting inundated with lefty relievers and is starting to adjust has us pretty close to a "uh oh, Happy learned how to putt" moment. He's so good and the only question is if the bat takes its great leap forward while his defense is still at his peak and we get an MVP year out of him.
  11. Bertz
    FWIW PitchingBot really likes Ferguson. That's not to say he's going to be the new Pomeranz, but in the constant game of reliever roulette it generally has been a signal that the team actually likes a guy and isn't just fishing for a warm body.
  12. Bertz
    This is a very fun morning coffee read
  13. Bertz
    I do suspect we're going to see Charlie Barnes or Jordan Wicks pretty soon for this reason. Whether that's right away today or sometime in the next few days when the bullpen is in a little worse shape. Ferguson has an option so no guarantee he's coming right to Chicago or that he's got a spot on lock.
  14. Bertz
    So if he was less passive what would he be doing better? Like obviously the K's would come down, but the walks obviously would too. Is 16% BB/26% K worse than something more like 10 and 20? With a passive approach you're worried about letting hittable pitches go by...but what evidence do we have that's happening? A mid .600's slug and an ISO tickling .400 are top of the scale marks, and Cole is not even a guy with top of the scale raw power. I'm failing to see any sort of opportunity cost with this current approach. It's okay to not be in on Mathis. RHH 1B is one of the least valuable demographics for a prospect, there's a lengthy injury history, and he's not especially tooled up. But if we're poo-pooing any part of what he's done in the batters box in 2026 I think we're setting the bar preposterously high. There's also some definite you're sweet/hello human resources to Mathis and Kane Kepley's approaches but I'll try to leave that one be. Talking about Kepley too much makes me start sounding like Tom.
  15. Bertz
    Do we have any reason to think that's the case though? Again he's ISOing .380 on the season.
  16. Bertz
    Grant buddy get ready to learn corn
  17. Bertz
    He's slugging. 660 and has a .380 ISO (before a 1st inning double tonight) why are we just matter of factly assuming he's passive?
  18. Bertz
    Corollary to this: Go .500 from here and you win 88 games, which is almost certainly a playoff spot
  19. Bertz
    111 win pace by the way
  20. Bertz
    Honestly, kind of! He's at 4.30 pitches per plate appearance this season. I don't know of a good leaderboard for P/PA but like for instance Kyle Schwarber is at 4.23 for his career and Juan Soto is at 4.13. He'll get challenged more as he moves up the ladder but the K's are seemingly more of a deep counts/approach thing and not a contact thing.
  21. Bertz
    Keith Law mocks Zion Rose to us, and we're finally deep enough into the draft season where mocks are kind of real and not not just "here are my rankings next to the teams in the draft order"
  22. Bertz
    I'd assume he tops out at 3-4 innings this first time out. He hasn't thrown more than 50 pitches in an outing this year and has only topped 4 once in the past month
  23. Bertz
    I'd still much rather roll with Brown/Wicks/Assad than anyone you could reasonably get externally. Like go get another veteran body to stash at Iowa sure, but the young(ish) guys are: A) Probably better straight up B) Provide long term value by showing if they can stick (even if the answe is no) C) Are easy to move out of the way once reinforcements arrive
  24. Bertz
    lol lmao
  25. Bertz
    How long do we think before Carico moves up to SB? Bat's clearly ready, honestly was probably ready from draft day. But he's missed a lot of time so probably not the worst thing to just let him get some consistent successful ABs? Especially since he's slowly working his way back behind the plate. I also sort of wonder if the Cubs think their catching instructors are better at Myrtle than South Bend? Feels like that would explain a few minor mysteries like Carico now and Ayers never getting promoted last year.
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